无失效数据的Bayes和多层Bayes分析

本文推广了文献[6]的结果，对指数分布无失效数据的失效率，给出了Bayes估计、Bayes置信上限以及多层Bayes估计，从而可以得到无失效数据可靠度的估计，最后，结合实际问题进行了计算。     

细菌代谢调控机制的系统性：初论从分子水平理解细菌代谢调节的系统性

利用系统科学的基本原理,从分子水平上对细菌代谢调节,功能网络及其与外界环境的关系进行了初步探讨,得出了细菌代谢调节系统性的一般结论.     

Global Optimal Image Reconstruction from Blurred Noisy Data by a Bayesian Approach

In this paper, a procedure is presented which allows the optimal reconstruction of images from blurred noisy data. The procedure relies on a general Bayesian approach, which makes proper use of all the available information. Special attention is devoted to the informative content of the edges; thus, a preprocessing phase is included, with the aim of estimating the jump sizes in the gray level. The optimization phase follows; existence and uniqueness of the solution is secured. The procedure is tested against simple simulated data and real data.     

恒压供水变频控制系统

变频控制供水系统先进的工作原理及实施方法,克服了传统的供水系统浪费较大、稳定精度较差的缺点,可以取得较大的经济效益。详细论述了这种系统的节能工作原理及实现方法。     

太原市东山热电厂和调峰热源厂双热源并网设计

根据太原市集中供热总体规划,确定在东山新建二台64MW的调峰热源厂。针对供热系统并网的特殊情况和地形条件,通过对水压图和可行性进行理论分析,提出了在热电厂供水管网上增设加压泵的技术措施。使双热源并网运行技术可行、安全可靠、高效节能。     

A Monte Carlo method for an objective Bayesian procedure

This paper describes a method for an objective selection of the optimal prior distribution, or for adjusting its hyper-parameter, among the competing priors for a variety of Bayesian models. In order to implement this method, the integration of very high dimensional functions is required to get the normalizing constants of the posterior and even of the prior distribution. The logarithm of the high dimensional integral is reduced to the one-dimensional integration of a cerain function with respect to the scalar parameter over the range of the unit interval. Having decided the prior, the Bayes estimate or the posterior mean is used mainly here in addition to the posterior mode. All of these are based on the simulation of Gibbs distributions such as Metropolis' Monte Carlo algorithm. The improvement of the integration's accuracy is substantial in comparison with the conventional crude Monte Carlo integration. In the present method, we have essentially no practical restrictions in modeling the prior and the likelihood. Illustrative artificial data of the lattice system are given to show the practicability of the present procedure.     

A subjective Bayesian approach to the theory of queues II — Inference and information in M/M/1 queues

This is a sequel to Part I of A Subjective Bayesian Approach to the Theory of Queues. The focus here is on inference and a use of Shannon's measure of information for assessing the amount of information conveyed by the various types of data from queues. The notation and terminology used here is established in Part I.     

Temperature regulation for thermal analysis under microwave radiation

In a microwave study a program was designed for thermal regulation. This software allows different types of regulations: P, PI, PD or PID (proportional integration derivation). Results obtained with PID and PI regulation for different previous linear heating schedules (1 deg·s^?1 and 0.15 deg·s^?1) imposed on a polymer sample (DGEBA/3DCM) up to 280°C and more are reported. Mathematical resolution of thermal laws applied to the sample permits the regulation constants (T _i,T _d andG _s) to be linked to the physical features of the polymer. A method used to calculate: the reflexion constant of the wave on the polymer, ρ and the diminution factor, α is presented.     

我国粘度计量工作中存在的问题

指出我国粘度计量工作中存在的一些问题，在修订粘度计检定规程，规范标准粘度的名称和有效期以及加强对粘度计检定工作的管理等方面的出了建议，强调了在标准粘度液证书中应给出不同温度下的运动粘度和粘度值，以满足粘度计检定工作的需要。     

Bayesian sequential reliability for Weibull and related distributions

Assume that the probability density function for the lifetime of a newly designed product has the form: [H(t)/Q()] exp{–H(t)/Q()}. The Exponential(), Rayleigh, WeibullW(, ) and Pareto pdf's are special cases.Q() will be assumed to have an inverse Gamma prior. Assume thatm independent products are to be tested with replacement. A Bayesian Sequential Reliability Demonstration Testing plan is used to eigher accept the product and start formal production, or reject the product for reengineering. The test criterion is the intersection of two goals, a minimal goal to begin production and a mature product goal. The exact values of various risks and the distribution of total number of failures are evaluated. Based on a result about a Poisson process, the expected stopping time for the exponential failure time is also found. Included in these risks and expected stopping times are frequentist versions, thereof, so that the results also provide frequentist answers for a class of interesting stopping rules.This research was supported by NSF grants DMS-8703620 and DMS-8923071, and forms part of the Ph.D. Thesis of the first author, the development of which was supported in part by a David Ross grant at Purdue University. The authors thank the editors and a referee for insightful comments and suggestions.