论企业技术创新战略

从技术创新的涵义人手,对增强企业技术创新的意识、建立企业技术创新机制、加大企业技术创新的投入、提高企业技术创新人员的素质、营造企业技术创新文化、建立国家技术创新体系等作了系统的战略性论述.     

我国信息安全产业现状及发展研究

给出了信息安全和信息安全产业的基本概念和主要内容，从经济效益和社会效益两方面阐述了我国信息安全产业的现状；分析了我国信息、安全建设中急待解决的关键性技术；提出了加快我国信息安全产业发展的战略性构想。     

铁路运输过程控制模拟实验系统中列车运行仿真模型的研究

阐述了一种基于离散事件系统模拟的列车运行仿真模型它综合考虑了列车运行过程中可能遇到的种种情况，在应用于铁路运输过程控制模拟实验系统中，收到了很好的效果．     

套期保值计算模型在中国市场的有效性

运用中国期铜合约数据,计算分析了普通最小二乘回归模型、误差修正模型和多元Garch模型在计算最优套期保值率方面的效果．通过针对不同的套期保值周期进行事前检验及事后检验,研究发现动态调整套期保值率能有效降低组合风险,当套期保值周期较短时,多元Garch模型计算套期保值率较优．同时,计算结果表明中国市场不能很好实现价格发现功能,套期保值效果有限．     

Pathwise superhedging for time-dependent barrier options on càdlàg paths—Finite or infinite tradeable European,One-Touch,lookback or forward starting options

We establish pathwise duality using simple predictable trading strategies for the robust hedging problem associated with a barrier option whose payoff depends on the terminal level and the infimum of a càdlàg strictly positive stock price process, given tradeable European options at all strikes at a single maturity. The result allows for a significant dimension reduction in the computation of the superhedging cost, via an alternate lower-dimensional formulation of the primal problem as a convex optimization problem, which is qualitatively similar to the duality which was formally sketched using linear programming arguments in Duembgen and Rogers [10] for the case where we only consider continuous sample paths. The proof exploits a simplification of a classical result by Rogers (1993) which characterizes the attainable joint laws for the supremum and the drawdown of a uniformly integrable martingale (not necessarily continuous), combined with classical convex duality results from Rockefellar (1974) using paired spaces with compatible locally convex topologies and the Hahn–Banach theorem. We later adapt this result to include additional tradeable One-Touch options using the Kertz and Rösler (1990) condition. We also compute the superhedging cost when in the more realistic situation where there is only finite tradeable European options; for this case we obtain the full duality in the sense of quantile hedging as in Soner (2015), where the superhedge works with probability $1?\epsilon$ where $\epsilon$ can be arbitrarily small), and we obtain an upper bound for the true pathwise superhedging cost. In Section 5, we extend our analysis to include time-dependent barrier options using martingale coupling arguments, where we now have tradeable European options at both maturities at all strikes and tradeable forward starting options at all strikes. This set up is designed to approximate the more realistic situation where we have a finite number of tradeable Europeans at both maturities plus a finite number of tradeable forward starting options.¹     

Mean-Variance Hedging Under Multiple Defaults Risk

We solve a mean-variance hedging problem in an incomplete market where multiple defaults can occur. For this purpose, we use a default-density modeling approach. The global market information is formulated as a progressive enlargement of a default-free Brownian filtration, and the dependence of the default times is modelled using a conditional density hypothesis. We prove the quadratic form of each value process between consecutive default times and recursively solve systems of coupled quadratic backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We demonstrate the existence of these solutions using BSDE techniques. Then, using a verification theorem, we prove that the solutions of each subcontrol problem are related to the solution of our global mean-variance hedging problem. As a byproduct, we obtain an explicit formula for the optimal trading strategy. Finally, we illustrate our results for certain specific cases and for a multiple defaults case in particular.     

“新常态”下铜加工企业营销思考

随着我国经济发展的深刻变化,目前国内铜加工行业也面临着“新常态”,需求增长放缓,产能过剩严重,市场竞争加剧,资金流动紧张以及盈利能力下降等因素导致大多数铜加工企业处于亏损或微利状态,形势异常严峻.基于此背景,认为“从粗放型转向精益型,从追求规模转向追求风险控制”的营销管理理念是当前铜加工企业适应“新常态”比较务实的选择,并在定价管理、资金和价格风险规避、服务管理等方面给出了一些建议和思考,以期能帮助铜加工企业进一步提升营销管理水平,从而能够改善当前的经营困境,更好地应对激烈的市场竞争.     

Optimal hedging strategies for multi-period guarantees in the presence of transaction costs: A stochastic programming approach

Multi-period guarantees are often embedded in life insurance contracts. In this paper we consider the problem of hedging these multi-period guarantees in the presence of transaction costs. We derive the hedging strategies for the cheapest hedge portfolio for a multi-period guarantee that with certainty makes the insurance company able to meet the obligations from the insurance policies it has issued. We find that by imposing transaction costs, the insurance company reduces the rebalancing of the hedge portfolio. The cost of establishing the hedge portfolio also increases as the transaction cost increases. For the multi-period guarantee there is a rather large rebalancing of the hedge portfolio as we go from one period to the next. By introducing transaction costs we find the size of this rebalancing to be reduced. Transaction costs may therefore be one possible explanation for why we do not see the insurance companies performing a large rebalancing of their investment portfolio at the end of each year.     

LQ理论在参数随机的证券投资组合套期保值中的应用

在连续时间情形、不考虑交易费用、市场无摩擦假设,以及套期保值准则等条件下,考察了参数随机的证券投资组合中加入未定权益类衍生品形成的最优动态投资策略(u*(t)),并给出了该投资组合的最优模型所对应的黎卡提(Riccati)方程的解的存在性证明.     

具限制投资组合和交易费用的博弈未定权益的保值

博弈期权是由kifer(2000)提出的,但就其本质而言,仍是美式期权的一种,只是增加了卖方中止合约的权利.本文主要对连续市场模型中具交易费用和限制投资组合的博弈未定权益的保值问题进行了研究,给出了买卖双方的保值价格和一个无套利区间.