钩形弯交叉口信号协同控制优化方法研究

针对车辆在钩形弯交叉口与相邻常规交叉口间的整体运行特性，建立了各条车道的车辆平均延误计算模型。以各交叉口的周期时长和相位绿灯时间为约束，钩形弯交叉口与相邻常规交叉口间的车辆平均延误最小为目标，建立了信号协同配时方案。以位于苏州市高新区内有轨电车沿线的两个相邻交叉口为例，采用实际数据验证所建立的方法，并设置钩形弯渠化方案。将设置的钩形弯交叉口与其相邻常规交叉口的信号协同作为改进方法，在VISSIM软件中对比分析改进方案与现状方案的车辆延误指标。实验结果表明，钩形弯交叉口与相邻常规交叉口的信号协同优化方法可有效提高交叉口的通行能力，尤其是干道直行机动车的通行能力，可降低车辆的平均延误。     

基于DIS数字信息化系统对透光物质透光性能的研究

采用DIS数字信息化系统,对不同浓度的蓝墨水溶液在激光光源照射下的透射平均照度及照度分布图像进行实验研究,得到了平均照度值随溶液浓度变化的规律。对不同颜色塑料膜片对白炽灯光源透过照度值及照度分布图像进行实验研究得到及其相关之规律。     

统计物理中三种系综之间的关系

本文从粒子数和能量的涨落和粒子数和能量的平均值与极大值之间的关系，说明统计物理中三种系综之间的区别与联系．     

组合期权交易策略的概率分析

在假定股票价格服从Ito过程条件下，讨论了采用组合期权交易策略的投资者获益的概率及损益的数学期望，得到了具体计算式，只要投资者获得相应数据，通过具体计算式加以计算，便可以为期权投资者提供数量上的重要参考依据，对期权投资者具有实用价值。     

可变抽样区间的非参数控制图

最近几年一些学者研究了可变抽样区间的质量控制图。Amin等提出了可变抽样区间(VSI)的非参数控制图———符号 (Sign)统计量图〔1〕。本文在此基础上研究位置VSI符号控制图的制定方法 ,并设计离散VSI符号控制图。符号控制图的优点是对非正态总体亦可应用 ,并且不需要过程方差的信息。本文将所设计的VSI符号控制图同固定抽样区间 (FSI)的常规图作比较 ,并举实例说明符号控制图的应用     

寡头垄断市场下的广告竞争策略研究

在寡头垄断市场条件下 ,给出了广告竞争下进行同时决策及两阶段决策时的广告策略模型 ,得出了厂商利润最大化时的广告策略 ,通过对结果的分析 ,说明了在不同情况下广告策略的选择 ,并在此基础上 ,分析了利润最大化时的市场份额的确定。     

Calibrating software reliability models when the test environment does not match the user environment

Software failures have become the major factor that brings the system down or causes a degradation in the quality of service. For many applications, estimating the software failure rate from a user's perspective helps the development team evaluate the reliability of the software and determine the release time properly. Traditionally, software reliability growth models are applied to system test data with the hope of estimating the software failure rate in the field. Given the aggressive nature by which the software is exercised during system test, as well as unavoidable differences between the test environment and the field environment, the resulting estimate of the failure rate will not typically reflect the user‐perceived failure rate in the field. The goal of this work is to quantify the mismatch between the system test environment and the field environment. A calibration factor is proposed to map the failure rate estimated from the system test data to the failure rate that will be observed in the field. Non‐homogeneous Poisson process models are utilized to estimate the software failure rate in both the system test phase and the field. For projects that have only system test data, use of the calibration factor provides an estimate of the field failure rate that would otherwise be unavailable. For projects that have both system test data and previous field data, the calibration factor can be explicitly evaluated and used to estimate the field failure rate of future releases as their system test data becomes available. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

对浙江高平均数背后城乡居民收入分配差距的冷思考

无论人均GDP、还是人均收入和人均储蓄,浙江在全国都名列前茅,但在高平均数的背后,城乡合一、城乡之间、城镇内部和农村内部都存在着事实上不断扩大的、在全国也非常突出的收入差距。浙江城乡居民收入分配差距不断拉大的原因,主要是巨富抬高人均水平和发展战略、分配原则、社保制度、再分配措施偏向所致。     

Heterochain model for simultaneous long‐chain branching and crosslinking. III. Multicomponent polymerization

The matrix formula developed in the context of heterochain theory, M?_w = M?_wp + WF ( I ? M )^?1 S , was applied to describe the molecular weight development during free‐radical multicomponent polymerization. All of the required probabilistic parameters are expressed in terms of the kinetic‐rate constants and the various concentrations associated with them. In free‐radical polymerization, the number of heterochain types, N, needs to be extrapolated to infinity, and such extrapolation is conducted with only three different N values. This matrix formula can be used as a benchmark test if other approximate approaches can give reasonable estimates of the weight‐average molecular weights. The moment equations with the average pseudo‐kinetic‐rate constants for branching and crosslinking reactions may provide poor estimates when the copolymer composition drift during polymerization is very significant. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Polym Sci Part B: Polym Phys 42: 2801–2812, 2004