Improving forecasting performance by employing the Taguchi method

To satisfy the volatile nature of today’s markets, businesses require a significant reduction in product development lead times. Consequently, the ability to develop precise product sales forecasts is of fundamental importance to decision-makers. Over the years, many forecasting techniques of varying capabilities have been introduced. The precise extent of their influences, and the interactions between them, has never been fully clarified, although various forecasting factors have been explored in previous studies. Accordingly, this study adopts the Taguchi method to calibrate the controllable factors of a forecasting model. An L₉(3⁴) inner orthogonal array is constructed for the controllable factors of data period, horizon length, and number of observations required. An experimental design is then performed to establish the appropriate levels for each factor. At the same time, an L₄(2³) outer orthogonal array is used to consider the inherited parameters of forecasting method as the noise factors of Taguchi method simultaneously. An illustrated example, employing data from a power company, serves to demonstrate the thesis. The results show that the proposed model permits the construction of a highly efficient forecasting model through the suggested data collection method.     

Analysis of Antennas with PBG Substrate

The use of photonic materials has been used in the theory of optical waves. The PBG (Photonic Band Gap) theory and material, was developed recently for optical frequencies and can be easily applied to millimeter waves, microwaves and planar antenna frequencies. The presence of photonic materials as substrate in antennas has some good characteristics such as, supression of light spontaneous emission and suppression of surface waves, allowing the application in planar antenna array. In this work an elaborate analysis using the full wave Transverse Transmission Line - TTL method, that provides efficient and concise results is applied to the planar antennas array with PBG substrate.     

利用垂直阵列构作Cartesian认证码

利用垂直阵列构作了一类Cartesian认证码,计算了它们的参数,并且在编码规则按等概率分布选取时,成功的模仿攻击和成功的替换攻击概率也被算出。     

高精度CCD尺寸自动检测系统的光学系统设计

介绍测量精度为±０．００３ｍｍ的ＣＣＤ尺寸检测系统的光学系统设计特点及远心物镜设计原理，并给出了测试结果。     

用于X光激光实验的反射式线聚焦光学系统的设计和分析

基于三维光线追迹的象差计算,对卢瑟福实验室用离轴球面反射线聚焦系统作了分析。然后,首次提出了用于X光激光实验的两类新的反射式线聚焦构型,即反射式光楔列阵和光锥列阵系统,并作了计算。最后,对所得结果作了比较和讨论。     

串联系统可靠性虚拟系统法置信下限的小样本性质

本文讨论了具有r个成败型元件串联系统可靠性的置信下限问题。研究了虚拟系统法置信下限的小样本性质,证明了,在通常情况下虚拟系统法置信下限要大于常见的L-M法置信下限.更一般地,本文证明了在成败型试验中,当成功数与试验数之比保持不变时,试验次数的增加将直接缩小成功率置信区间的长度。     

Design and Experimental Characterization of Low‐Volume PM10/2.5/1.0 Trichotomous Sampler Inlet

This paper presents the development and laboratory evaluation of a PM10/2.5/1.0 trichotomous sampling inlet that consists of two main parts: a previously designed PM10 size‐selective inlet part and a PM2.5/1.0 two‐stage virtual impactor, which was newly fabricated and attached serially to the PM10 size selective inlet part. Particles are collected in three locations through the trichotomous sampling inlet to provide for not only particle concentration measurements of PM10, PM2.5 and PM1.0, but also those of PM2.5–10 and PM1.0–2.5.     

紧凑型FLC光纤PDL模块

描述了紧凑型FLC（铁电液晶）光纤PDL（光子延迟线）模块的结构和运转特性；分析了插入损失；提出多信道运转时依赖于波长的设计方案。     

激光二极管自混合干涉和微振动的实验观测

介绍了利用LabView软件虚拟示波器和信号源,对激光二极管自混合干涉和微振动进行的实验观测.该实验可以作为本科低年级学生的综合设计实验.     

自由空间二维榕树网实现方法

鉴于榕树网在自由空间光子交换网络中具有重要的应用价值,分析了榕树网的特点和4×4二维榕树网的空间拓扑结构,通过偏振光分光棱镜、微闪耀光栅阵列、平面反射镜、半反半透镜和液晶空间光调制器的集成,构建二维的榕树交换网实验模块,利用微闪耀光栅的衍射特性,控制每块微闪耀光栅的周期,以实现入射光信号不同方向的闪耀输出,最终完成二维榕树网自由空间水平和竖直方向上的交叉互连,直通则由平面镜反射实现。对二维榕树网实验模块的功能分析表明,该实验模块理论上可以完成4×4二维面阵内光信号(或数据)的排序、交换、组播、广播、矩阵变换等操作,具有交换透明、速度快、空间带宽高等特点,在全光交换和光通信中具有一定的应用。