行波管质量与可靠性信息管理系统的设计

本文从应用角度简要介绍了《行波管质量与可靠性信息管理系统》的研制背景，数据库的数据来源，数据结构，系统构成及功能特点。     

试生产中产品的可靠性保证

阐述了试行产中产品质量和可靠性的主要保证方法，由于这些做法来自于工厂的生产实践，所以，对承制方，订购方等各级，各类人员都有借鉴意义。同时对理论工作者也有一定的参考价值。     

给定拓扑结构的网络的可靠性设计

本文首先讨论了网络链路堵概率的加权平均值，提出了网络分配的一般准则，并在考虑了网络链路生存链路概率的因素后，提出了更一般的网络链路堵塞概率的加权平均值，以此为基础，分别讨论了网络在给定点的费用条件下，使得网络可靠性最大的网络设计问题，以及在给定网络可靠性指标的前提下，使得网络费用最小的网络设计问题。     

A NEW ALGORITHM FOR ADAPTIVE LATTICE FILTERAND ITS APPLICATION IN THE SPEECH LINEARPREDICTIVE SYNTHESIS

In this paper, an adaptive line spectral pair filter is derived from an adaptive lattice filter. A least-mean-square(LMS) type adaptive algorithm used to calculate directly the line spectral pair(LSP) coefficients on a stage-by-stage basis is presented. Experimental results show that the algorithm has higher convergence rate and lower misadjustment as compared with the other algorithms. The LSP coefficients calculated by the algorithm have been used to carry out speech linear predictive synthesis, resulting in better results than PARCOR coefficients.     

Network traffic prediction based on a new time series model

Fast and accurate methods for predicting traffic properties and trend are essential for dynamic network resource management and congestion control. With the aim of performing online and feasible prediction of network traffic, this paper proposes a novel time series model, named adaptive autoregressive (AAR). This model is built upon an adaptive memory‐shortening technique and an adaptive‐order selection method originally developed by this study. Compared to the conventional one‐step ahead prediction using traditional Box–Jenkins time series models (e.g. AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA and ARFIMA), performance results obtained from actual Internet traffic traces have demonstrated that the proposed AAR model is able to support online prediction of dynamic network traffic with reasonable accuracy and relatively low computation complexity. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Barrier layer effect of tantalum on the electromigration in sputtered copper films on hydrogen silsesguioxane and SiO2

As IC devices scale down to the submicron level, the resistance-capacitance (RC) time delays are the limitation to circuit speed. A solution is to use low dielectric constant materials and low resistivity materials. In this work, the influence of underlying barrier Ta on the electromigration (EM) of Cu on hydrogen silsesquioxane (HSQ) and SiO₂ substrates was investigated. The presence of a Ta barrier not only improves the adhesion between Cu and dielectrics, but also enhances the crystallinity of Cu film and improves the Cu electromigration resistance. The activation energy obtained suggests a grain boundary migration mechanism and the current exponent calculated indicates the Joule heating effect.     

低频天波传播预测与低电离层模式参数的测定

在理想化的均匀球面通过进一步地与具有突变边界的均匀各向同性同心球面电离层条件下的LF天波全波解的基础上，考虑由海陆之差引起的地面导电率的变化、大气和低电离层的不均匀性以及由地磁场引起的各向异性特性等因素的影响，推导出了较严格预测实际地与低电离层条件下场强与传播相延精确预测的完善公式。 给出了一些低电离层模式参数的实测结果。这些模式参数为参考高度h0、参考浓度N0与梯度参数α。由罗兰－C天波信号场强与相位的精细测量数据求得的。     

现代优化计算方法在蛋白质结构预测中的应用

现代优化计算方法在蛋白质结构预测中占有重要地位.简要地介绍了模拟退火算法,遗传算法,人工神经网络和图论算法在蛋白质结构预测中的应用.对国内外近年来应用这些算法,特别是在蛋白质构象搜索问题中,解决蛋白质结构预测的研究作了回顾,并分析、比较了这几种算法的效果和特点.     

Non-Parametric Regression Methods

The nature of the financial time series is complex, continuous interchange of stochastic and deterministic regimes. Therefore, it is difficult to forecast with parametric techniques. Instead of parametric models, we propose three techniques and compare with each other. Neural networks and support vector regression (SVR) are two universally approximators. They are data-driven non parametric models. ARCH/GARCH models are also investigated. Our assumption is that the future value of Istanbul Stock Exchange 100 index daily return depends on the financial indicators although there is no known parametric model to explain this relationship. This relationship comes from the technical analysis. Comparison shows that the multi layer perceptron networks overperform the SVR and time series model (GARCH).     

一类二元相关威布尔分布的可靠性问题

本文考虑生存函数为${\ol{F}(x_{1},x_{2})}=\exp\{-[(x_{1}^{1/\alpha}/\theta_{1})^{1/\delta}+(x_{2}^{1/\alpha}/\theta_{2})^{1/\delta}]^{\delta}\},\;x_{i}>0,\;\alpha>0$, $1\geq\delta>0,\;\theta_{i}>0\;(i=1,2)$的二元威布尔分布的两种可靠性问题, 提出可靠度$\pr$的估计并讨论了它们的渐近性, 最后还作了模拟计算.