最大似然方法和Bayes方法在结构方程模型分析中的讨论(英文)

本文通过模拟研究,讨论了最大似然方法和Bayes方法在分析结构方程模型中的相似点和不同之处。     

加热炉热过程动态操作数学模型

根据加热炉生产特点,建立了钢坯加热过程的动态操作数学模型,分析了待轧时间变化时炉内钢坯温度分布情况。并针对加热炉待轧的灰色性,采用多目标灰色局势决策方法,得出了相应合理的待轧优化控制策略。模拟结果表明:该方法具有良好的动态性能,适合于在线控制。     

承受拉-扭组合载荷的薄壁圆筒屈服时产生塑性流动的条件

提出了在无外力作功的情况下，具有Bauschinger效应的弹塑性材料处于屈服状态产生自发的塑性流动时应满足的条件．这个条件不仅与材料的力学性能有关，而且还处决于材料的具体的载荷边界条件和变形．举例说明了承受拉一扭组合的薄壁圆筒中，采用组合强化模型时，产生塑性流动的具体条件．     

微观世界探索

论文系统地阐述了从原子、原子核到基本粒子内部结构研究的历史及现状，讨论了微观物理理论和实验研究的前景和展望．论文还阐述了微观物理与宏观物理(宇宙论和天体物理等)的结合与交叉，以无可争辨的实验事实阐明了微观世界和宏观世界的无限性．     

微观世界探索(续)

论文系统地阐述了从原子、原子核到基本粒子内部结构研究的历史及现状，讨论了微观物理理论和实验研究的前景和展望．论文还阐述了微观物理与宏观物理(宇宙论和天体物理等)的结合与交叉，以无可争辨的实验事实阐明了微观世界和宏观世界的无限性．     

平面物体在曲面状态下扫描仪图像的校正理论

平面物体在曲面状态下经扫描仪扫描后,其图像将发生复杂的畸变。提出将其分类为灰度畸变、投影畸变和成像畸变。通过理论分析,提出了在二元曲面模型下对投影畸变和成像畸变进行数字校正的方法,给出了对灰度畸变进行数字校正的实用方法。     

半参数回归模型中小波估计的随机加权逼近速度

把小波光滑方法和随机加权方法结合在一起，获得了半参数回归模型中参数分量的小波估计的随机加权逼近速度为σ(n^-1/2)。因此，从大样本意义上说，小波光滑方法和随机加权方法对半参数回归模型是可用的。     

网络图在产品配送中的应用

面对多样化的市场需求，企业的销售渠道也变得异常复杂，利用网络图可以简化实际问题，并能形象地描述它。本根据网络知识建立了产品分销模型，探求企业在市场需求固定和随机时的最优收益。最后，章还进行实例验算，并做出相应的结果分析。     

Crossover Critical Behavior in the Three-Dimensional Ising Model

The character of critical behavior in physical systems depends on the range of interactions. In the limit of infinite range of the interactions, systems will exhibit mean-field critical behavior, i.e., critical behavior not affected by fluctuations of the order parameter. If the interaction range is finite, the critical behavior asymptotically close to the critical point is determined by fluctuations and the actual critical behavior depends on the particular universality class. A variety of systems, including fluids and anisotropic ferromagnets, belongs to the three-dimensional Ising universality class. Recent numerical studies of Ising models with different interaction ranges have revealed a spectacular crossover between the asymptotic fluctuation-induced critical behavior and mean-field-type critical behavior. In this work, we compare these numerical results with a crossover Landau model based on renormalization-group matching. For this purpose we consider an application of the crossover Landau model to the three-dimensional Ising model without fitting to any adjustable parameters. The crossover behavior of the critical susceptibility and of the order parameter is analyzed over a broad range (ten orders) of the scaled distance to the critical temperature. The dependence of the coupling constant on the interaction range, governing the crossover critical behavior, is discussed.     

Time-domain simulations of sound propagation through screen-induced turbulence

A flow model in combination with a statistical-dynamical turbulence generator and a linearised Euler time-domain model for sound waves were used to simulate the effect of screen-induced turbulence on the noise level in the acoustical shadow of a screen in wind. Instead of simulating a great number of different frozen turbulence realisations, the concept of transient turbulence was successfully tested and applied. This concept is adequate to the time-domain model and reduces the computational demands. Several two-dimensional simulations allowed to isolate the individual effects of wind and screen on the propagation of 500 Hz sound waves over a 4-m high noise barrier. At a distance of 250 m from the source (240 m behind the screen) the sheltering effect of the screen and the refraction effect of the wind are in the order of 6 and 4 dB, respectively. The screen-induced turbulence leads to fluctuations in the noise level with a standard deviation of 1.2 dB and a maximum amplitude of 3 dB. However, the time averaged effect turned out to be in the order of merely 0.2 dB. The effect of the screen-induced turbulence on the average noise level behind the screen is therefore negligible.