Improving forecasting performance by employing the Taguchi method

To satisfy the volatile nature of today’s markets, businesses require a significant reduction in product development lead times. Consequently, the ability to develop precise product sales forecasts is of fundamental importance to decision-makers. Over the years, many forecasting techniques of varying capabilities have been introduced. The precise extent of their influences, and the interactions between them, has never been fully clarified, although various forecasting factors have been explored in previous studies. Accordingly, this study adopts the Taguchi method to calibrate the controllable factors of a forecasting model. An L₉(3⁴) inner orthogonal array is constructed for the controllable factors of data period, horizon length, and number of observations required. An experimental design is then performed to establish the appropriate levels for each factor. At the same time, an L₄(2³) outer orthogonal array is used to consider the inherited parameters of forecasting method as the noise factors of Taguchi method simultaneously. An illustrated example, employing data from a power company, serves to demonstrate the thesis. The results show that the proposed model permits the construction of a highly efficient forecasting model through the suggested data collection method.     

Analysis of Antennas with PBG Substrate

The use of photonic materials has been used in the theory of optical waves. The PBG (Photonic Band Gap) theory and material, was developed recently for optical frequencies and can be easily applied to millimeter waves, microwaves and planar antenna frequencies. The presence of photonic materials as substrate in antennas has some good characteristics such as, supression of light spontaneous emission and suppression of surface waves, allowing the application in planar antenna array. In this work an elaborate analysis using the full wave Transverse Transmission Line - TTL method, that provides efficient and concise results is applied to the planar antennas array with PBG substrate.     

Hyers–Ulam stability of linear differential operator with constant coefficients

Let P(z) be a polynomial of degree n with complex coefficients and consider the n–th order linear differential operator P(D). We show that the equation P(D)f = 0 has the Hyers–Ulam stability, if and only if the equation P(z) = 0 has no pure imaginary solution. (© 2003 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Randomly censored partially linear single-index models

This paper proposes a method for estimation of a class of partially linear single-index models with randomly censored samples. The method provides a flexible way for modelling the association between a response and a set of predictor variables when the response variable is randomly censored. It presents a technique for “dimension reduction” in semiparametric censored regression models and generalizes the existing accelerated failure-time models for survival analysis. The estimation procedure involves three stages: first, transform the censored data into synthetic data or pseudo-responses unbiasedly; second, obtain quasi-likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients in both linear and single-index components by an iteratively algorithm; finally, estimate the unknown nonparametric regression function using techniques for univariate censored nonparametric regression. The estimators for the regression coefficients are shown to be jointly root-n consistent and asymptotically normal. In addition, the estimator for the unknown regression function is a local linear kernel regression estimator and can be estimated with the same efficiency as all the parameters are known. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to illustrate the proposed methodology.     

Probabilistic Analysis of Condition Numbers for Linear Programming

In this paper, we provide bounds for the expected value of the log of the condition number C(A) of a linear feasibility problem given by a n × m matrix A (Ref. 1). We show that this expected value is O(min{n, m log n}) if n > m and is O(log n) otherwise. A similar bound applies for the log of the condition number C _R(A) introduced by Renegar (Ref. 2).     

X波段双极化有源相控阵天线的设计

机载或星载X波段有源相控阵雷达系统具有很高的分辨率，由于雷达系统使用了大量双极化子阵组成的有源相控阵天线（俯仰面和方位面均需扫描），频率的升高使得子阵馈线网络的可用面积受到了很大的限制。本文着重论述了有源相控阵天线中的双极化阵设计，提出了一系列解决方法，进而叙述了整个天线阵的设计。     

利用垂直阵列构作Cartesian认证码

利用垂直阵列构作了一类Cartesian认证码,计算了它们的参数,并且在编码规则按等概率分布选取时,成功的模仿攻击和成功的替换攻击概率也被算出。     

高精度CCD尺寸自动检测系统的光学系统设计

介绍测量精度为±０．００３ｍｍ的ＣＣＤ尺寸检测系统的光学系统设计特点及远心物镜设计原理，并给出了测试结果。     

行为级DSP算法描述的阵列处理器综合方法研究

本文提出了针对递归DSP算法的高层次系统综合流程,并以脉动(systolic)式处理器阵列结构实现.从DSP算法的FDDL行为级描述开始,经由编译及划分,产生数据相关流图(Data Dependency Graph),然后实现对算法流图的空间映射及时域规划,得到算法的信号流图(Signal Flow Graph),经时序重构,生成脉动阵列,最后实现对处理器单元的数据路径综合及控制器综合,并对处理器单元定位,本文同时提出了各设计阶段的算法策略及优化策略,并给出综合结果。