大数据背景下基于5S的城市交通拥堵评价模型研究

近几年来,城市交通拥堵问题日益突出,极大制约了城市发展。在大数据背景下,为了准确掌握交通实时拥堵状况,改善城市交通,便利市民出行,本文深入挖掘城市交通拥堵的影响因素,构建了基于交通5S要素的城市拥堵理论模型,运用径向基函数神经网络方法工具,以上海静安寺、上海站、陆家嘴周围三大拥堵路段的交通数据集为例,验证了该模型的有效性。实验结果表明,由该模型获得的城市交通拥堵预测值与上海实际交通路况具有较好的拟合效果,表明交通5S模型与方法能够准确有效地评价城市交通拥堵。     

Asymptotic behavior of averaged and firmly nonexpansive mappings in geodesic spaces

We further study averaged and firmly nonexpansive mappings in the setting of geodesic spaces with a main focus on the asymptotic behavior of their Picard iterates. We use methods of proof mining to obtain an explicit quantitative version of a generalization to geodesic spaces of a result on the asymptotic behavior of Picard iterates for firmly nonexpansive mappings proved by Reich and Shafrir. From this result we obtain effective uniform bounds on the asymptotic regularity for firmly nonexpansive mappings. Besides this, we derive effective rates of asymptotic regularity for sequences generated by two algorithms used in the study of the convex feasibility problem in a nonlinear setting.     

A General Framework for Mining Massive Data Streams

In many domains, data now arrive faster than we are able to mine it. To avoid wasting these data, we must switch from the traditional “one-shot” data mining approach to systems that are able to mine continuous, high-volume, open-ended data streams as they arrive. In this article we identify some desiderata for such systems, and outline our framework for realizing them. A key property of our approach is that it minimizes the time required to build a model on a stream while guaranteeing (as long as the data are iid) that the model learned is effectively indistinguishable from the one that would be obtained using infinite data. Using this framework, we have successfully adapted several learning algorithms to massive data streams, including decision tree induction, Bayesian network learning, k-means clustering, and the EM algorithm for mixtures of Gaussians. These algorithms are able to process on the order of billions of examples per day using off-the-shelf hardware. Building on this, we are currently developing software primitives for scaling arbitrary learning algorithms to massive data streams with minimal effort.     

AMlet,RAMlet, and GAMlet: Automatic Nonlinear Fitting of Additive Models,Robust and Generalized,With Wavelets

A simple and yet powerful method is presented to estimate nonlinearly and nonparametrically the components of additive models using wavelets. The estimator enjoys the good statistical and computational properties of the Waveshrink scatterplot smoother and it can be efficiently computed using the block coordinate relaxation optimization technique. A rule for the automatic selection of the smoothing parameters, suitable for data mining of large datasets, is derived. The wavelet-based method is then extended to estimate generalized additive models. A primal-dual log-barrier interior point algorithm is proposed to solve the corresponding convex programming problem. Based on an asymptotic analysis, a rule for selecting the smoothing parameters is derived, enabling the estimator to be fully automated in practice. We illustrate the finite sample property with a Gaussian and a Poisson simulation.     

Improved customer choice predictions using ensemble methods

In this paper various ensemble learning methods from machine learning and statistics are considered and applied to the customer choice modeling problem. The application of ensemble learning usually improves the prediction quality of flexible models like decision trees and thus leads to improved predictions. We give experimental results for two real-life marketing datasets using decision trees, ensemble versions of decision trees and the logistic regression model, which is a standard approach for this problem. The ensemble models are found to improve upon individual decision trees and outperform logistic regression.     

To ask or not to ask,that is the question

Applicants for credit have to provide information for the risk assessment process. In the current conditions of a saturated consumer lending market, and hence falling “take” rates, can such information be used to assess the probability of a customer accepting the offer?     

基于粗糙集理论的智能数据分析模型

粗糙集理论作为一种智能数据分析和数据挖掘的新的数学工具,其主要优点在于它不需要任何关于被处理数据的先验或额外知识.提出了一种基于粗糙集理论的智能数据分析模型,从目标数据集出发,通过数据预处理、数据分类和规则获取,实现对原始数据集的智能分析,并通过实例测试验证了该模型的有效性.     

Reformulation of the support set selection problem in the logical analysis of data

The paper is concerned with the problem of binary classification of data records, given an already classified training set of records. Among the various approaches to the problem, the methodology of the logical analysis of data (LAD) is considered. Such approach is based on discrete mathematics, with special emphasis on Boolean functions. With respect to the standard LAD procedure, enhancements based on probability considerations are presented. In particular, the problem of the selection of the optimal support set is formulated as a weighted set covering problem. Testable statistical hypothesis are used. Accuracy of the modified LAD procedure is compared to that of the standard LAD procedure on datasets of the UCI repository. Encouraging results are obtained and discussed.     

基于Hits算法的Web安全改进模型

针对某些恶意页面利用搜索引擎的局限性隐藏在搜索结果排名较靠前的位置这一问题,本文提出了基于Hits算法的Web安全改进模型.该模型在Hits算法的基础上,结合向量空间模型来评价网页的风险程度,通过对恶意页面的Authority值进行＂惩罚＂来降低恶意页面在搜索结果中的排序,从而减低恶意页面被访问到的概率.实验结果表明,恶意网页的Authority值明显降低,而非恶意网页的Authority值有所上升,这使得用户通过搜索引擎点击到恶意页面的概率大幅降低.     

Synchronization in evolving snowdrift game model

The interaction between the evolution of the game and the underlying network structure with evolving snowdrift game model is investigated. The constructed network follows a power-law degree distribution typically showing scale-free feature. The topological features of average path length, clustering coefficient, degree-degree correlations and the dynamical feature of synchronizability are studied. The synchronizability of the constructed networks changes by the interaction. It will converge to a certain value when sufficient new nodes are added. It is found that initial payoffs of nodes greatly affect the synchronizability. When initial payoffs for players are equal, low common initial payoffs may lead to more heterogeneity of the network and good synchronizability. When initial payoffs follow certain distributions, better synchronizability is obtained compared to equal initial payoff. The result is also true for phase synchronization of nonidentical oscillators.