广西能源、环境和经济增长的动态关系研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析

利用广西1990-2011年GDP、能源消费和工业废气排放总量的数据,应用基于VAR模型的动态计量分析方法,对广西经济、能源和环境的关系进行实证研究.结果表明:三者之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,能源消耗是经济增长和环境污染的Granger原因,经济增长是能源消耗和环境污染的Granger原因.能源消耗对经济增长的正向影响效应时间较长且较稳定,环境污染初期对经济增长的抑制作用较弱却呈现缓慢增强的趋势;而经济增长对能源消耗和环境污染的影响持续时间较短.经济增长与能源消耗两者之间的相互影响较大,而环境污染受能源消耗变化影响较明显.     

GM(1,N)与GM(0,N)模型在能源消费碳排放预测中的比较研究

近年来,减少碳排放已成为缔约国家社会经济发展和生产经营活动的重要目标之一,研究并使用科学的方法对我国未来碳排放进行分析与预测对我国应对气候变化政策的制定具有重要意义.拟将GM(1,N)和GM(0,N)模型用于能源消费碳排放量的预测,建立能源消费碳排放量的多因素灰色预测模型,并对GM(1,N)和GM(0,N)模型预测能源消费碳排放量的精度进行了检验和对比分析.结果表明:在对四川省能源消费碳排放预测中,GM(0,N)具有更高的预测精度和可靠性.     

基于主成分-集对分析法的联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案评估模型研究

陆军作为联合火力打击的重要组成部分,具有反应快、火力猛、精度高、机动灵活的特点,是实施联合火力打击不可缺少的重要力量.陆军在联合火力打击中,如何快速准确的从多种弹药预测方案中分析、评估优选出最佳的陆军弹药消耗预测方案,对提高陆军快速反应能力,提升部队战斗力,打赢未来战争至关重要.为此,在分析影响联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗主要因素的基础上,构建了符合联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗特点的评估指标体系,提出了一种基于主成分和集对分析法综合分析的联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案的评估优选方法,通过方法可求得指标权重,最终评估优选出最佳的联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案.结合实例分析,验证构建的评估模型能够用于多种联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案的评估优选,为进一步提高联合火力打击陆军弹药消耗预测方案提供技术指导.     

西藏林芝地区城镇居民消费支出的G(1,1)模型预测及其影响因素的关联度分析

利用2006—2012年林芝地区城镇居民人均生活消费支出数据为研究对象,应用灰色系统理论建立了林芝地区城镇居民消费的G(1,1)预测模型,对其未来几年的人均生活消费进行预测,分析得出:在未来五年中林芝地区城镇居民人均生活消费支出呈现攀升的态势,平均年增长率预计达到7.93%.并运用灰色关联分析方法对影响林芝地区城镇居民消费支出的主要因素进行系统分析,确定了各因素相对于消费支出的关联程度.     

天然气消费量的偏最小二乘支持向量机预测

结合偏最小二乘法和支持向量机的优缺点,提出基于偏最小二乘支持向量机的天然气消费量预测模型。首先,利用偏最小二乘法确定影响天然气消费量的新综合变量,建立以新综合变量为输入,天然气消费量为输出的支持向量机模型,对天然气消费量进行了预测;然后,与多元回归、偏最小二乘回归、普通支持向量机做误差检验比较,验证该方法的可行性与正确性。结果表明,此天然气消费量预测模型具有较高的精确度和应用价值。     

Comparative study of Ni-silicide and Co-silicide for sub 0.25-μm technologies

In this work, the phase formation is compared for Ni- and Co-silicidation with and without Ti cap. In addition, the electrical performance of Ni-silicidation with and without Ti-cap is investigated and compared to the performance of a Co-silicidation process with a Ti cap that has the same Si consumption. The lateral confinement of the silicide in the active areas is also studied.     

Instant controlled pressure drop extraction of lavandin essential oils: Fundamentals and experimental studies

Détente Instantanée contrôlée (DIC), French for Instant Controlled Pressure Drop, was performed on laboratory apparatus as well as on a pilot plant for proving its feasibility, and identifying the optimized processing conditions and recognizing the energy consumption and the quantity of water used for such an operation. GC–MS and SPME analysis of the extracts and residue material were carried out to assess the extracts and solid residues. The lavandin essential oils obtained by using the new DIC extraction process was studied, modeled and quantitatively and qualitatively compared to the conventional hydrodistillation method. The most important differences between the two essential oils were reflected in the yields, with 4.25 as against 2.3 g EO/100 g of raw matter, and in the extraction time, with 480 s as against some hours for respectively the DIC and the hydrodistillation operations. These differences have been previewed through the fundamental analysis. They can normally explain the great decreasing of energy consumption to be 662 kWh/t of raw material. The amount of water to be added was about 42 kg water/t of raw material.     

国产智能机芯片发展现状

简要介绍了国内安卓智能手机和智能平板芯片发展现状,分析了国产智能机芯片在CPU性能、GPU能力、功耗、制程工艺等方面的技术指标以及与高通等国际领先智能机芯片厂商之间存在的差距.华为海思、珠海全志、广东新岸线等公司依托自身的特点和技术积累,针对市场的各种需求,占据了一席之地.面对更为残酷的竞争和创新的压力,中国芯还有很长的路要走.     

Microorganisms baroinactivation of germinated mung bean (green gram) seeds

It is possible to describe the pressure degradation of microorganisms as being analogous to thermal inactivation. Equation for baroinactivation is derived from thermal death time (TDT) model D _p = D _pref 10^{(pref-p)/z _p} , where D _pref is decimal reduction time at the reference pressure (min), p _ref is the reference pressure (MPa), z _p is the pressure increase (MPa) required to reduce the D _p value by a factor of 10. This method was used for the calculation of baroinactivation model parameters of the total number of microorganisms of pressurized germinated mung bean (green gram) seeds (Vigna radiata (L.) Wilczek). Microbial contamination of germinated mung bean (green gram) seeds can be effectively decreased by treatment at a high pressure of 400 MPa, time of pressurization 5 min.     

Low-Power Design of Ethernet Data Transmission

For the reliability and power consumption issues of Ethernet data transmission based on the field programmable gate array （FPGA）, a low-power consumption design method is proposed, which is suitable for FPGA implementation. To reduce the dynamic power consumption of integrated circuit （IC） design, the proposed method adopts the dynamic control of the clock frequency. For most of the time, when the port is in the idle state or lower-rate state, users can reduce or even turn off the reading clock frequency and reduce the clock flip frequency in order to reduce the dynamic power consumption. When the receiving rate is high, the reading clock frequency will be improved timely to ensure that no data will lost. Simulated and verified by Modelsim, the proposed method can dynamically control the clock frequency, including the dynamic switching of high-speed and low-speed clock flip rates, or stop of the clock flip.