Multinomial permutations on a circle

Multinomial permutations on a circle are considered in the framework of combinatorics. Different cases are presented and shown to agree with previously derived formula for the number of cyclic necklaces. Two applied examples are discussed with a view to illustrate the implications of derived formulas. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Exponential distributions on semigroups

Three fundamental characterizations of the standard exponential distribution on [0, ) are the remaining life, memoryless and constant failure properties. Analogs of these properties are studied for distributions on a class of semigroups in which the semigroup operation replaces addition, a compatible partial order replaces the ordinary order, and a left-invariant measure replaces Lebesgue measure. Partial characterizations of exponential distributions on such semigroups are obtained and the semigroup formulation provides new characterizations of certain aging properties studied in reliability-increasing failure rate, new better than used, and increasing failure rate average.     

The diagnonal multivariate natural exponential families and their classification

A natural exponential family (NEF)F in ? ⁿ ,n>1, is said to be diagonal if there existn functions,a ₁,...,a _n , on some intervals of ?, such that the covariance matrixV _F (m) ofF has diagonal (a ₁(m ₁),...,a _n (m _n )), for allm=(m ₁,...,m _n ) in the mean domain ofF. The familyF is also said to be irreducible if it is not the product of two independent NEFs in ? ^k and ? ^n-k , for somek=1,...,n?1. This paper shows that there are only six types of irreducible diagonal NEFs in ? ⁿ , that we call normal, Poisson, multinomial, negative multinomial, gamma, and hybrid. These types, with the exception of the latter two, correspond to distributions well established in the literature. This study is motivated by the following question: IfF is an NEF in ? ⁿ , under what conditions is its projectionp(F) in ? ^k , underp(x ₁,...,x _n )∶=(x ₁,...,x _k ),k=1,...,n?1, still an NEF in ? ^k ? The answer turns out to be rather predictable. It is the case if, and only if, the principalk×k submatrix ofV _F (m ₁,...,m _n ) does not depend on (m _k+1,...,m _n ).     

Phase transitions and hysteresis in a cellular automata-based model of opinion formation

A particular case of a cellular automata-based model of two-state opinion formation in social groups with a strong leader is studied. We consider a 2D Euclidian geometry of social space and mutual interactions 1/r ⁿ . The model shows an interesting dynamics which can be analytically calculated. There are two stable states of the system: a cluster around the leader and unification. Unstable clusters may also appear. A variation in parameters such as the leader's strength or the social temperature can change the size of a cluster or, when they reach some critical values, make the system jump into another state. For a certain range of parameters the system exhibits bistability and hysteresis phenomena. We obtained explicit formulas for the cluster size, critical leader's strength, and critical social temperature. These analytical results are verified by computer simulations.     

Robustness Evaluation of the Open Source Product Community Network Considering Different Influential Nodes

With the rapid development of Internet technology, the innovative value and importance of the open source product community (OSPC) is becoming increasingly significant. Ensuring high robustness is essential to the stable development of OSPC with open characteristics. In robustness analysis, degree and betweenness are traditionally used to evaluate the importance of nodes. However, these two indexes are disabled to comprehensively evaluate the influential nodes in the community network. Furthermore, influential users have many followers. The effect of irrational following behavior on network robustness is also worth investigating. To solve these problems, we built a typical OSPC network using a complex network modeling method, analyzed its structural characteristics and proposed an improved method to identify influential nodes by integrating the network topology characteristics indexes. We then proposed a model containing a variety of relevant node loss strategies to simulate the changes in robustness of the OSPC network. The results showed that the proposed method can better distinguish the influential nodes in the network. Furthermore, the network’s robustness will be greatly damaged under the node loss strategies considering the influential node loss (i.e., structural hole node loss and opinion leader node loss), and the following effect can greatly change the network robustness. The results verified the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed robustness analysis model and indexes.     

Opinion Polarization in Human Communities Can Emerge as a Natural Consequence of Beliefs Being Interrelated

The emergence of opinion polarization within human communities—the phenomenon that individuals within a society tend to develop conflicting attitudes related to the greatest diversity of topics—has been a focus of interest for decades, both from theoretical and modelling points of view. Regarding modelling attempts, an entire scientific field—opinion dynamics—has emerged in order to study this and related phenomena. Within this framework, agents’ opinions are usually represented by a scalar value which undergoes modification due to interaction with other agents. Under certain conditions, these models are able to reproduce polarization—a state increasingly familiar to our everyday experience. In the present paper, an alternative explanation is suggested along with its corresponding model. More specifically, we demonstrate that by incorporating the following two well-known human characteristics into the representation of agents: (1) in the human brain beliefs are interconnected, and (2) people strive to maintain a coherent belief system; polarization immediately occurs under exposure to news and information. Furthermore, the model accounts for the proliferation of fake news, and shows how opinion polarization is related to various cognitive biases.     

Consensus,Polarization and Hysteresis in the Three-State Noisy q-Voter Model with Bounded Confidence

In this work, we address the question of the role of the influence of group size on the emergence of various collective social phenomena, such as consensus, polarization and social hysteresis. To answer this question, we study the three-state noisy q-voter model with bounded confidence, in which agents can be in one of three states: two extremes (leftist and rightist) and centrist. We study the model on a complete graph within the mean-field approach and show that, depending on the size q of the influence group, saddle-node bifurcation cascades of different length appear and different collective phenomena are possible. In particular, for all values of q>1, social hysteresis is observed. Furthermore, for small values of q∈(1,4), disagreement, polarization and domination of centrists (a consensus understood as the general agreement, not unanimity) can be achieved but not the domination of extremists. The latter is possible only for larger groups of influence. Finally, by comparing our model to others, we discuss how a small change in the rules at the microscopic level can dramatically change the macroscopic behavior of the model.     

区域频谱资源数据融合方法

为实现高效的数据融合,提出了一种多源频谱资源数据融合方法.该方法将多个监测节点的频谱可用资源评估信息进行融合,利用意见形成理论,对关心地域的频谱资源可用性进行评估,为频谱动态管理提供资源状态信息.通过对不同网络规模的仿真分析,结果表明：在意见形成理论的基础上,通过设定“骨干”节点,缩减了50%的融合时间;在网络节点不超过100个的情况下,通过30轮次的沟通即可完成频谱资源数据的融合.     

基于层次分析法的企业网络舆情危机应对评价研究

网络舆情危机应对评价是企业在新的舆论背景下研究危机应对的重点.采用定量和定性分析有机结合的层次分析法确定指标体系及权重,给出了企业网络舆情危机应对评价的步骤,并进行了评价验证.该评价体系为相关单位网络舆情危机应对评价提供一定的参考和指导.     

The Sound of Silence: Minorities,Abstention and Democracy

Despite the existence of an extensive literature, no definitive conclusion seems to emerge on the extent to which minorities are guaranteed by democratic rules in political systems. This paper contributes to this debate by proposing a modified Heigselmann and Krauss two-dimensional model of preferences in order to capture the role of abstention on minority representativeness. Regardless of the typology of abstention, simulation results show that voter abstention always benefits minorities.