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To satisfy the volatile nature of today’s markets, businesses require a significant reduction in product development lead times. Consequently, the ability to develop precise product sales forecasts is of fundamental importance to decision-makers. Over the years, many forecasting techniques of varying capabilities have been introduced. The precise extent of their influences, and the interactions between them, has never been fully clarified, although various forecasting factors have been explored in previous studies. Accordingly, this study adopts the Taguchi method to calibrate the controllable factors of a forecasting model. An L9(34) inner orthogonal array is constructed for the controllable factors of data period, horizon length, and number of observations required. An experimental design is then performed to establish the appropriate levels for each factor. At the same time, an L4(23) outer orthogonal array is used to consider the inherited parameters of forecasting method as the noise factors of Taguchi method simultaneously. An illustrated example, employing data from a power company, serves to demonstrate the thesis. The results show that the proposed model permits the construction of a highly efficient forecasting model through the suggested data collection method. 相似文献
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Humberto César Chaves Fernandes Arthur Rodrigo Barros da Rocha 《International Journal of Infrared and Millimeter Waves》2003,24(7):1171-1176
The use of photonic materials has been used in the theory of optical waves. The PBG (Photonic Band Gap) theory and material, was developed recently for optical frequencies and can be easily applied to millimeter waves, microwaves and planar antenna frequencies. The presence of photonic materials as substrate in antennas has some good characteristics such as, supression of light spontaneous emission and suppression of surface waves, allowing the application in planar antenna array. In this work an elaborate analysis using the full wave Transverse Transmission Line - TTL method, that provides efficient and concise results is applied to the planar antennas array with PBG substrate. 相似文献
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Formulas for calculating the spectral characteristics of waveguide arrays, which are incorporated into waveguide spectrum analyzers based on planar waveguides, channel waveguides, and fiber optical waveguides, are derived taking into account the contribution of both the waveguide dispersion and the material dispersion to the dispersion factor. These formulas are used to study the dependence of the dispersion factor on the waveguide-system parameters for specific models of waveguide arrays. It is shown that consideration of contributions of the waveguide dispersion and material dispersion can affect profoundly the spectral characteristics of waveguide arrays. 相似文献
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秦运文 《核聚变与等离子体物理》2003,23(2):84-88
托卡马克磁探针阵列通常是围绕等离子体均匀布置的完整环形系统。由于受到布置空间的限制,HL-2A装置的磁探针只能组成带空白区域的间断阵列。在分析了HL-lM极向磁场振荡——Mirnov振荡模式的基础上,探索了HL-2A磁探针阵列诊断应注意的问题。 相似文献
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The educational system has gradually shifted from a face-to-face to an e-learning system, which has become prevalent in advanced countries with the advance of information technology, and connection of global networks. Accordingly, a growing demand is emerging for more reliable individual certification with technical precision in order to measure and record learning achievements and credentials of participants. The present system has a limit in terms of registration capacity, therefore, its accuracy has often been questioned. Against this background, an individual certification system is proposed particularly for access control in e-learning. Under our proposed system, a compact optical correlator for facial recognition is employed. This correlator was previously tested for of biometrics authentication accuracy and proved highly reliable, having recorded remarkably low error rates (below 1%). The recorded error rate is sufficiently robust that the system itself can be regarded as a valid and practical viable attestation system. 相似文献