Lacunary Measures and Self-similar Probability Measures in Function Spaces

The paper deals with multifractal quantities for some types of Radon measures,especiallyself-similar probability measures,and their relations to Besov spaces.     

The evolution of a truncated gaussian probability density through time—modelling animal liveweights after selection

The form of the probability density derived from the evolution in time of a previously truncated frequency distribution of animal Liveweights is of interest in animal husbandry. Truncated frequency distributions arise when the heavier animals are sold for slaughter and the lighter animals retained. The demands of modern quality assurance schemes require that, given information on animal growth, the farmer is able to estimate the number of animals that would meet the specifications at some time in the future after truncation. Assuming that animal growth can be described by a linear stochastic differential equation, we derive an explicit expression for the probability density of animal Liveweights at any time after the truncation of an initial Gaussian density. It is shown that this probability density converges rapidly to a Gaussian density, so that after about 20 days of typical growth rates for lambs, the resulting density is practically indistinguishable from Gaussian.     

Assessing the Error Probability of the Model Selection Test

The asymptotic error probability of Linhart's model selection test isevaluated, and compared with the nominal significance level. We examine thecase where the expected discrepancies of the candidate models from the truemodel are asymptotically equal. The local alternatives method is employed inthe limiting operation of the asymptotic evaluation. Although the errorprobability under the null hypothesis is actually shown to be equal to orless than the level for most situations, intolerable violations of the errorcontrol are observed for nested models: It is often erroneously concludedthat the smaller model is significantly better than the larger model. Toprevent this violation, a modification of Linhart's test statistic isproposed. The effectiveness of the proposed test is confirmed throughtheoretical analysis and numerical simulations.     

Monitoring the packet gap of real-time packet traffic

Real-time packet traffic is characterized by a strict deadline on the end-to-end time delay and an upper bound on the information loss. Due to the high correlation among consecutive packets, the individual packet loss does not well characterize the performance of real-time packet sessions. An additional measure of packet loss is necessary to adequately assess the quality of each real-time connection. The additional measure considered here is the average number of consecutively lost packets, also called the average packet gap. We derive a closed form for the average packet gap for the multiclassG/G/m/B queueing system in equilibrium and show that it only depends on the loss behavior of two consecutive packets. This result considerably simplifies the monitoring process of real-time packet traffic sessions. If the packet loss process is markovian, the consecutive packet loss has a geometric distribution.     

Estimating Invariant Probability Densities for Dynamical Systems

Knowing a probability density (ideally, an invariant density) for the trajectories of a dynamical system allows many significant estimates to be made, from the well-known dynamical invariants such as Lyapunov exponents and mutual information to conditional probabilities which are potentially more suitable for prediction than the single number produced by most predictors. Densities on typical attractors have properties, such as singularity with respect to Lebesgue measure, which make standard density estimators less useful than one would hope. In this paper we present a new method of estimating densities which can smooth in a way that tends to preserve fractal structure down to some level, and that also maintains invariance. We demonstrate with applications to real and artificial data.     

PURE STATE APPROACH TO $C(X)×_\alpha Z_n$

ＰＵＲＥ ＳＴＡＴＥ ＡＰＰＲＯＡＣＨ ＴＯ Ｃ（ｘ）_αＺ_nＬＩＢＩＮＧＲＥＮ；ＬＩＮＱＩＮＧ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃｓ，ＡｃａｄｅｍｉａＳｉｎｉｃａ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１０００８０，Ｃｈｉｎａ．Ｐｒｏｊｅｃｔｓｕｐｐｏｒｔｅｄｂｙｔｈ?..     

教学质量的时齐马尔可夫链评估法

本文研究了教学质量评估中的一种定量分析方法──时齐马尔可夫链评估法．阐明了这种方法的理论依据及其实施程序、并指出它较之其他教学质量评估法更显合理．     

排球比赛中的二传最优过程

为了研究排球比赛中的二传最优过程 ,本文基于决策论的理论和方法建立了排球二传最优过程的数学模型 .通过对模型的分析研究分别给出了最大概率准则和最大期望准则下的最优传球方式 .本文所得到的结果对排球队的训练和比赛有一定的指导意义 .     

武器系统生存能力模型分析

对抗过程中，武器系统的生存概率包括以下的四个方面，即：被发现的可能性、被命中的可能性、易毁性和可修理性。武器系统生存能力的动态描述主要划分为四个阶段：被发现阶段、被命中阶段、被毁伤和修复阶段。本文从这四个阶段给出了对抗过程中武器系统生存能力的动态描述，并分析了各个阶段的计算模型。