熵损失函数下两参数指数威布尔分布尺度参数的Bayes估计

本文给定一截尾样本，在熵损失函数下，研究了两参数指数威布尔分布尺度参数在先验伽玛分布下的Bayes估计，并给出了该参数的Bayes区间估计。     

Global a posteriori error estimates for convection–reaction–diffusion problems

In this note we propose a nonstandard technique for constructing global a posteriori error estimates for the stationary convection–reaction–diffusion equation. In order to estimate the approximation error in appropriate weighted energy norms, which measures the overall quality of the approximations, the underlying bilinear form is decomposed into several terms which can be directly computed or easily estimated from above using elementary tools of functional analysis. Several auxiliary parameters are introduced to construct such a splitting and tune the resulting upper error bound. It is demonstrated how these parameters can be chosen in some natural and convenient way for computations so that the weighted energy norm of the error is almost recovered, which shows that the estimates proposed are, in fact, quasi-sharp. The presented methodology is completely independent of numerical techniques used to compute approximate solutions. In particular, it is applicable to approximations which fail to satisfy the Galerkin orthogonality, e.g., due to an inconsistent stabilization, flux limiting, low-order quadrature rules, round-off and iteration errors etc. Moreover, the only constant that appears in the proposed error estimates is of global nature and comes from the Friedrichs–Poincaré inequality.     

Synchronization of neural networks based on parameter identification and via output or state coupling

For neural networks with all the parameters unknown, we focus on the global robust synchronization between two coupled neural networks with time-varying delay that are linearly and unidirectionally coupled. First, we use Lyapunov functionals to establish general theoretical conditions for designing the coupling matrix. Neither symmetry nor negative (positive) definiteness of the coupling matrix are required; under less restrictive conditions, the two coupled chaotic neural networks can achieve global robust synchronization regardless of their initial states. Second, by employing the invariance principle of functional differential equations, a simple, analytical, and rigorous adaptive feedback scheme is proposed for the robust synchronization of almost all kinds of coupled neural networks with time-varying delay based on the parameter identification of uncertain delayed neural networks. Finally, numerical simulations validate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed technique.     

Significance of absolute energy scale for physics at BESⅢ

The effects of absolute energy calibration on BESⅢ physics are discussed in detail,which mainly involve the effects on τ mass measurement,cross section scan measurement,and generic error determination in other measurements.     

半线性Klein—Gordon方程Cauchy问题整体解存在定理

本文讨论半线性Klein—Gordon方程Cauchy问题。对初值φ(x)、ψ(x),对空间维数n及半线性项加以适当限制,在Sobolev空间框架下、用不动点原理得到了整体解的存在唯一性。     

一种双扰动数量特征随机化问答策略

本文给出一种双扰动随机化回答模型.理论上扰动变量的引入会降低随机化调查的效率,本文使用两个设计参数设计了一种合理的双扰动变量随机化问答技术,在不降低装置对个体保护度的情况下,得出的结论表明,使用两个扰动变量可以提高调查装置的效率.通过数值模拟验证了本文模型的效率优于Bar-Lev,Bobovitch和Boukai 2004年单扰动回答模型的效率.     

Forecasting cancellation rates for services booking revenue management using data mining

Revenue management (RM) enhances the revenues of a company by means of demand-management decisions. An RM system must take into account the possibility that a booking may be canceled, or that a booked customer may fail to show up at the time of service (no-show). We review the Passenger Name Record data mining based cancellation rate forecasting models proposed in the literature, which mainly address the no-show case. Using a real-world dataset, we illustrate how the set of relevant variables to describe cancellation behavior is very different in different stages of the booking horizon, which not only confirms the dynamic aspect of this problem, but will also help revenue managers better understand the drivers of cancellation. Finally, we examine the performance of the state-of-the-art data mining methods when applied to Passenger Name Record based cancellation rate forecasting.     

基于多维名义模型的加权似然估计方法(英文)

The Monte Carlo study evaluates the relative accuracy of Warm's (1989) weighted likelihood estimate (WLE) compared to the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) using the nominal response model. And the results indicate that WLE was more accurate than MLE.     

检验两个部分线性模型中非参函数相等

We propose the test statistic to check whether the nonparametric func-tions in two partially linear models are equality or not in this paper. We estimate the nonparametric function both in null hypothesis and the alternative by the local linear method, where we ignore the parametric components, and then estimate the parameters by the two stage method. The test statistic is derived, and it is shown to be asymptotically normal under the null hypothesis.     

Bayesian inference using record values from Rayleigh model with application

In this article, based on a set of upper record values from a Rayleigh distribution, Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches have been used to obtain the estimators of the parameter, and some lifetime parameters such as the reliability and hazard functions. Bayes estimators have been developed under symmetric (squared error) and asymmetric (LINEX and general entropy (GE)) loss functions. These estimators are derived using the informative and non-informative prior distributions for σ. We compare the performance of the presented Bayes estimators with known, non-Bayesian, estimators such as the maximum likelihood (ML) and the best linear unbiased (BLU) estimators. We show that Bayes estimators under the asymmetric loss functions are superior to both the ML and BLU estimators. The highest posterior density (HPD) intervals for the Rayleigh parameter and its reliability and hazard functions are presented. Also, Bayesian prediction intervals of the future record values are obtained and discussed. Finally, practical examples using real record values are given to illustrate the application of the results.