基于HMM的机载设备状态健康评估方法研究

针对机载设备的状态健康评估问题,采用隐马尔科夫模型(HMM)对其进行性能退化程度的评估。首先引入状态条件概率矢量对HMM进行不确定性改进,并推导了其表达式;其次以状态条件概率比值为基础,给出了机载设备状态等级量化分值的计算方法,并据此设计了机载设备状态健康评估流程。最后以飞机发动机温控放大器为例进行仿真验证,结果表明上述方法能够给出直观、准确的状态评估结果。     

某机载瞄准系统精度评估测试方法

为了评估某型机载瞄准系统的精度,根据飞行试验参数测试需要,提出了通过图像测量与DGPS融合处理方法进行瞄准精度评估的试验方案。该方案利用飞行试验获取的图像数据与其他测量数据相结合,建立精度评估的方法,该评估方法在该机载武器瞄准系统精度评估得到应用,并且可在同类试验课题中推广应用。     

基于ANP-MCGC的装备保障性评价建模研究

从装备保障性满足装备保障能力及其执行任务能力的角度出发,对装备保障性评价内涵进行了界定,在综合考虑装备执行任务能力和保障能力生成过程的基础上,构建了装备保障性评价指标体系。针对评价指标的内部依存性及外部依赖性,采用网络分析法(ANP)及超级决策软件对评价指标体系进行赋权;针对评价过程中的模糊性和随机性,采用云重心评判法(MCGC)对装备保障性的评价。结果表明：此模型对装备保障性能够给出有效的综合评价,为装备保障性科学评价提供了一种适用有效方法。     

An improved capillary electrophoresis method for in vitro monitoring of the challenging early steps of Aβ1–42 peptide oligomerization: Application to anti‐Alzheimer's drug discovery

We report an improved CE method to monitor in vitro the self‐assembly of monomeric amyloid β‐peptide (42 amino acids amyloid β‐peptide, Aβ_1–42) and in particular the crucial early steps involved in the formation of the neurotoxic oligomers. In order to start the kinetics from the beginning, sample preparation was optimized to provide samples containing exclusively the monomeric form. The CE method was also improved using a dynamic coating and by reducing the separation distance. Using this method, the disappearance of the monomer as well as the progressive formation of four species during the self‐assembly process can now be monitored and quantified over time. The hydrodynamic radius of the species present at the initial kinetics step was estimated around 1.8 nm by Taylor dispersion analysis while SDS‐PAGE analyses showed the predominance of the monomer. These results confirmed that the Aβ_1–42 species present at this initial time was the monomer. Methylene blue, an anti‐Alzheimer disease candidate, was then evaluated. In spite of an oligomerization inhibition, the enhanced disappearance of the Aβ_1–42 monomer provoked by methylene blue was demonstrated for the first time. This method, allowing the monomeric and smallest oligomeric species to be monitored, represents a new accurate and precise way to evaluate compounds for drug discovery.     

国内外化学教师PCK评价量规的实证研究述评*

主要从化学教师PCK评价量规的建立方式、测查内容、特征属性,以及应用量规测查PCK水平实证研究的研究设计、研究目的等维度梳理了相关文献。综述表明:(1)国内外研究均较多基于已有成果建立量规,较少基于原始数据生成量规,对比国外,国内有关后者的研究更为稀缺;(2)国内外研究均较多测查KoC,KoL,KoS,而较少测查KoA,CTO以及整合水平;(3)国内外研究均较多应用化学学科专属型评价量规,少部分国内研究开发了化学主题专属型评价量规;(4)与国外相比,国内研究较少应用概念图法和定性定量混合型分析方法;(5)相对而言,国内研究更关注调查型研究,但较少探查PCK水平与其他变量的关系,较少关注干预型研究。文末据此对我国开发本土化的化学教师PCK评价量规用于实证研究与化学教师教育提出建议。     

农林院校校外实验教学基地分类考评机制及考评指标改革研究——大学化学校外实践基地实证分析*

针对大学化学校外实践教学基地建设和运行过程中的基地与高校的协同管理机制,实践教学基地软硬条件建设和资源配置及实践教学与理论学习的连贯性等问题,在OBE理论指导下,探究分类考核机制,在实证中构建分层次考评模型及考评指标,并建立适合于农林高校的化学校外实践教学基地的分类考评指标体系。     

基于NVivo的卓越化学教师课堂教学创新能力评价*——以东芝杯教学技能创新大赛为例

研究采用视频分析法,利用NVivo软件,以东芝杯教学技能创新大赛的化学组选手为对象,从教学理念、教学情境、实验设计和教学手段等4个维度,评价卓越职前化学教师课堂教学的创新能力。结果发现:教学理念新颖,但具体落实尚有不足;情境创设生动,但主题与学生的联系不够紧密;实验设计别致,但在水平上还有提升空间;教学技术手段先进,但还需要深度融合。研究为创新型卓越化学教师的培养提供了启示。     

Fitting elephants in the density functionals zoo: Statistical criteria for the evaluation of density functional theory methods as a suitable replacement for counting parameters

Counting parameters has become customary in the density functional theory community as a way to infer the transferability of popular approximations to the exchange‐correlation functionals. Recent work in data science, however, has demonstrated that the number of parameters of a fitted model is not related to the complexity of the model itself, nor to its eventual overfitting. Using similar arguments, here, we show that it is possible to represent every modern exchange‐correlation functional approximations using just one single parameter. This procedure proves the futility of the number of parameters as a measure of transferability. To counteract this shortcoming, we introduce and analyze the performance of three statistical criteria for the evaluation of the transferability of exchange‐correlation functionals. The three criteria are called Akaike information criterion, Vapnik‐Chervonenkis criterion, and cross‐validation criterion and are used in a preliminary assessment to rank 60 exchange‐correlation functional approximations using the ASCDB database of chemical data.     

Convergence properties and practical estimation of the probability of rank reversal in pairwise comparisons for multi-criteria decision making problems

In this paper, we address the impact of uncertainty introduced when the experts complete pairwise comparison matrices, in the context of multi-criteria decision making. We first discuss how uncertainty can be quantified and modeled and then show how the probability of rank reversal scales with the number of experts. We consider the impact of various aspects which may affect the estimation of probability of rank reversal in the context of pairwise comparisons, such as the uncertainty level, alternative preference scales and different weight estimation methods. We also consider the case where the comparisons are carried out in a fuzzy manner. It is shown that in most circumstances, augmenting the size of the expert group beyond 15 produces a small change in the probability of rank reversal. We next address the issue of how this probability can be estimated in practice, from information gathered simply from the comparison matrices of a single expert group. We propose and validate a scheme which yields an estimate for the probability of rank reversal and test the applicability of this scheme under various conditions. The framework discussed in the paper can allow decision makers to correctly choose the number of experts participating in a pairwise comparison and obtain an estimate of the credibility of the outcome.     

Synthesis,spectral characterization and biological evaluation of novel 1-(2-(4,5-dimethyl-2-phenyl-1H-imidazol-1-yl)ethyl)piperazine derivatives

A simple, highly useful synthesis of 1-(2-(4,5-dimethyl-2-phenyl-1H-imidazol-1-yl)ethyl)piperazine derivatives is achieved by a four component cyclo condensation of diacetyl, aromatic aldehyde, 2-(piperazin-1-yl)ethanamine and ammonium acetate using SO₄²⁻/Y₂O₃ as a catalyst in ethanol. The synthesized compounds were characterized by IR, ¹H and ¹³C NMR and mass spectral studies. All the synthesized compounds were screened for their in vitro antimicrobial studies. Among the newly synthesized compounds 5d, 5e, 5h and 5m showed excellent antibacterial and antifungal activities when compared to the standard drugs.