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141.
142.
Seiya Uyeda Atsumi Kumamoto 《Proceedings of the Japan Academy. Series B, Physical and biological sciences》2004,80(3):140
Kushida and Kushida found that FM radio waves from stations at distances over-the-horizon are received before earthquakes. Based on this finding, since the mid-1990’s, the Kushidas have been practicing “Earthquake Precursor Detection Experiment”. The performance of the Kushida method during 2000–2003 has been evaluated by checking their predictions against the actual seismicity. During the period, there were 92 Kushida predictions mentioning the possibility of M ≥ 5.5 event, whereas there were 49 M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in the Japanese region. If the criteria for successful prediction are set as: the errors in date is less than one day, epicentral position is roughly within specified area, and error in M is less than 0.5, the success rate was 20% and the alarm rate was 12%. If we relax the criteria to: the errors in dates within 10 days, epicenter within additional 100 km of specified area and the magnitude error less than 1.0, the success rate was 40% and the alarm rate was 27%. These rates may look insufficient for a practical prediction method. Considering, however, the fact that no other short-term prediction has ever been made in Japan so far it is a significant achievement. Moreover, it was found that in almost all failed predictions, meaningful signals were detected although the interpretations were incorrect. This indicates that the method is promising provided further investigation is carried out. The same evaluation at the M ≥ 6.0 level showed that the general performance was similar to the M ≥ 5.5 level, except that both success rate and alarm rate were lower at the M ≥ 6.0 level. If this unexpected finding is real, it might be inherent to the methodology using scattering of short-wave length radio waves as suggested by M. Hayakawa and may contain important information in understanding the earthquake physics and LAI-coupling. The results of the present study indicate strongly that the earthquake prediction research using anomalous transmission of VHF FM radio waves should be enhanced in parallel with complementary research in other frequency ranges. 相似文献
143.
Da-Zhi Li Li Gan Zi-Qiang Yang Zheng Liang Jia-Yin Li 《International Journal of Infrared and Millimeter Waves》1997,18(10):1885-1896
The dispersion characteristic of the plasma-loaded relativistic backward wave oscillator has been analyzed. The theoretical
model has been established and the numerical calculations accord with the experimental results, which provides some useful
suggestions on the designing of slow-wave structure of BWO. 相似文献
144.
145.
林支桂 《数学物理学报(B辑英文版)》1998,(3)
1IntroductionInthispaper,weconsidertheinitial-boundaryvalueproblem,where"o(x)isnon-negativesmoothfunctionsatisfying"o.(0)=0,"o.(1)=1'Whenconsideringtheblow-upofsolution,thefollowingproblemarisenaturally:Doesblow-upoccur?Howdoesthesolutionapproachtheblow-uptime'!Andwilersisthehotspotlocated(blow-upset)?WelookattheheatequationwithanonlillearboundaryconditiollHerefiisaboundeddomaininR",p>1isarealnumber.IthasbeenknownforalongtimethattheDroblelil(1.1).(1.2)withAL(~,0)--'no(x)doesnothaveaglobals… 相似文献
146.
Tony Shardlow 《BIT Numerical Mathematics》2006,46(1):111-125
We describe a backward error analysis for stochastic differential equations with respect to weak convergence. Modified equations are provided for forward and backward Euler approximations to Itô SDEs with additive noise, and extensions to other types of equation and approximation are discussed. 相似文献
147.
一类时变需求且存货影响销售率的EOQ模型 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
从实际背景出发,在R AM P型需求和存货影响销售率条件下,讨论了一类以缺货开始的变质性物品的EOQ模型.给出了模型的求解方案及单位时间内平均利润最大化的两个充分条件,并用数值算例进行了验证. 相似文献
148.
对一个统计控制问题的再探讨 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文对利用回归模型进行统计控制的问题进行了进一步研究,发现已有的方法有值得改进之处,并为此提出了一种新的求解控制阈值的方法。模拟和实例研究表明我们的方法适用于一般的误差分布情形,而且在误差分布为非正态时优于已有的方法。 相似文献
149.
经济增长影响因素实证研究 总被引:5,自引:1,他引:4
本文将人力资本作为生产要素之—,运用误差校正模型,估计出中国1952-1998年期间扩展的索洛模型。研究结果表明,物质资本存量的增长仍然是经济增长的主要因素,教育对经济增长有显著作用但贡献率不高(12.00%),劳动对经济增长的作用十分有限,三种投入要素对经济增长的总贡献仅占69.11%,其余应归功于包括技术进步在内的综合要素。 相似文献
150.