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101.
李敏 《数学的实践与认识》2012,42(6):145-150
引进诱导有序加权平均算子,建立诱导有序加权平均组合预测模型,借助它对四川省普通高等学校招生人数进行预测.通过两个误差指标值的比较,说明这种方法的合理性,从而为教育部门制定相关的就业体制提供依据. 相似文献
102.
We study the problem of suitably locating US Coast Guard air stations to respond to emergency distress calls. Our goal is to identify robust locations in the presence of uncertainty in distress call locations. Our analysis differs from the literature primarily in the way we model this uncertainty. In our optimization and simulation based methodology, we develop a statistical model and demonstrate our procedure using a real data set of distress calls. In addition to guiding strategic decisions of placement of various stations, our methodology is also able to provide guidance on how the resources should be allocated across stations. 相似文献
103.
The learning approach of empirical risk minimization (ERM) is taken for the regression problem in the least square framework. A standard assumption for the error analysis in the literature is the uniform boundedness of the output sampling process. In this paper we abandon this boundedness assumption and conduct error analysis for the ERM learning algorithm with unbounded sampling processes satisfying an increment condition for the moments of the output. The key novelty of our analysis is a covering number argument for estimating the sample error. 相似文献
104.
Rate optimal estimation with the integration method in the presence of many covariates 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
For multivariate regressors, integrating the Nadaraya–Watson regression smoother produces estimators of the lower-dimensional marginal components that are asymptotically normally distributed, at the optimal rate of convergence. Some heuristics, based on consistency of the pilot estimator, suggested that the estimator would not converge at the optimal rate of convergence in the presence of more than four covariates. This paper shows first that marginal integration with its internally normalized counterpart leads to rate-optimal estimators of the marginal components. We introduce the necessary modifications and give central limit theorems. Then, it is shown that the method apply also to more general models, in particular we discuss feasible estimation of partial linear models. The proofs reveal that the pilot estimator shall over-smooth the variables to be integrated, and, that the resulting estimator is itself a lower-dimensional regression smoother. Hence, finite sample properties of the estimator are comparable to those of low-dimensional nonparametric regression. Further advantages when starting with the internally normalized pilot estimator are its computational attractiveness and better performance (compared to its classical counterpart) when the covatiates are correlated and nonuniformly distributed. Simulation studies underline the excellent performance in comparison with so far known methods. 相似文献
105.
依据重庆市公安局刑警大队提供的监控数据,分析监控器摄象时影响身高的因素,利用多元回归的原理建立了三个预测身高的回归模型,并对其作出了优劣评价,最终确定出犯罪嫌疑人实际身高与其在照片上的像高、电子监控器距地面的高度、人与监控器的垂直和偏离距离四个因素的最优回归模型.该最优模型的可决系数R2=0.9931,预测身高与实际身高有97.89%的误差点在±0.02m范围内,73.09%在±0.01m范围内.并对最优模型中的预测身高与实际身高进行配对样本的t检验,两者间无显著性差异. 相似文献
106.
针对三种复苏液治疗失血性休克的血气指标,利用机理分析方法建立了血气指标的微分模型,给出血气指标的指数曲线表达式,并结合试验数据进行了曲线拟合,得到了指数曲线的具体形式,结果与试验数据高度吻合同时分析了用药的效果.利用统计分析方法给出三种复苏液治疗失血性休克的动脉血、静脉血和肠系膜静脉血的血气指标间的回归曲线关系式. 相似文献
107.
Antonio Punzo Antonello Maruotti 《Journal of computational and graphical statistics》2016,25(4):1097-1098
The Gaussian hidden Markov model (HMM) is widely considered for the analysis of heterogenous continuous multivariate longitudinal data. To robustify this approach with respect to possible elliptical heavy-tailed departures from normality, due to the presence of outliers, spurious points, or noise (collectively referred to as bad points herein), the contaminated Gaussian HMM is here introduced. The contaminated Gaussian distribution represents an elliptical generalization of the Gaussian distribution and allows for automatic detection of bad points in the same natural way as observations are typically assigned to the latent states in the HMM context. Once the model is fitted, each observation has a posterior probability of belonging to a particular state and, inside each state, of being a bad point or not. In addition to the parameters of the classical Gaussian HMM, for each state we have two more parameters, both with a specific and useful interpretation: one controls the proportion of bad points and one specifies their degree of atypicality. A sufficient condition for the identifiability of the model is given, an expectation-conditional maximization algorithm is outlined for parameter estimation and various operational issues are discussed. Using a large-scale simulation study, but also an illustrative artificial dataset, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model in comparison with HMMs of different elliptical distributions, and we also evaluate the performance of some well-known information criteria in selecting the true number of latent states. The model is finally used to fit data on criminal activities in Italian provinces. Supplementary materials for this article are available online 相似文献
108.
Sándor Csörgő 《Statistics & probability letters》1985,3(1):45-49
A nonparametric large sample test is proposed for testing the linearity of a regression model with independent and identically distributed errors satisfying only a very mild tail condition. The statistic is based on the functional least squares estimator of the slope vector. The test is applied to the stack loss data. 相似文献
109.
随着信息技术的进步和发展,现代生物学越来越多地将这些技术用于大规模生物数据的收集、分析、挖掘等过程.大量计算机技术,特别是统计方法被用来进行复杂疾病的分析.大量研究表明,人体的许多表型性状差异以及对药物和疾病的易感性等都可能与某些位点相关联,或和包含有多个位点的基因相关联.因此,定位与性状或疾病相关联的位点在染色体或基因中的位置,能帮助研究人员了解性状和一些疾病的遗传机理,也能使人们对致病位点加以干预,防止一些遗传病的发生.利用随机森林方法、Bootstrap重抽样、logistic回归等大数据分析方法,意在解决优化生物学位点关联性分析中单一致病位点识别、多位点相互作用和多性状位点关联性分析等子问题. 相似文献
110.
Jannik Matuschke S. Thomas McCormick Gianpaolo Oriolo Britta Peis Martin Skutella 《Operations Research Letters》2017,45(1):53-59
We present a new robust optimization model for the problem of maximizing the amount of flow surviving the attack of an interdictor. Given some path flow, our model allows the interdictor to specify the amount of flow removed from each path individually. In contrast to previous models, for which no efficient algorithms are known, the most important basic variants of our model can be solved in poly-time. We also consider extensions where there is a budget to set the interdiction costs. 相似文献