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101.
This paper deals with the estimation of loss severity distributions arising from historical data on univariate and multivariate losses. We present an innovative theoretical framework where a closed-form expression for the tail conditional expectation (TCE) is derived for the skewed generalised hyperbolic (GH) family of distributions. The skewed GH family is especially suitable for equity losses because it allows to capture the asymmetry in the distribution of losses that tends to have a heavy right tail. As opposed to the widely used Value-at-Risk, TCE is a coherent risk measure, which takes into account the expected loss in the tail of the distribution. Our theoretical TCE results are verified for different distributions from the skewed GH family including its special cases: Student-t, variance gamma, normal inverse gaussian and hyperbolic distributions. The GH family and its special cases turn out to provide excellent fit to univariate and multivariate data on equity losses. The TCE risk measure computed for the skewed family of GH distributions provides a conservative estimator of risk, addressing the main challenge faced by financial companies on how to reliably quantify the risk arising from the loss distribution. We extend our analysis to the multivariate framework when modelling portfolios of losses, allowing the multivariate GH distribution to capture the combination of correlated risks and demonstrate how the TCE of the portfolio can be decomposed into individual components, representing individual risks in the aggregate (portfolio) loss. 相似文献
102.
Gerhard König Michael Moldaschl Wilfried N. Gansterer 《Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics》2012
New methods for computing eigenvectors of symmetric block tridiagonal matrices based on twisted block factorizations are explored. The relation of the block where two twisted factorizations meet to an eigenvector of the block tridiagonal matrix is reviewed. Based on this, several new algorithmic strategies for computing the eigenvector efficiently are motivated and designed. The underlying idea is to determine a good starting vector for an inverse iteration process from the twisted block factorizations such that a good eigenvector approximation can be computed with a single step of inverse iteration. 相似文献
103.
Francois NICOLEAU 《数学学报(英文版)》2006,22(5):1485-1492
We consider a pair of Hamiltonians (H, H0) on L2(R^n), where H0=p^2 -x^2 is a SchrSdinger operator with a repulsive potential, and H = H0+V(x). We show that, under suitable assumptions on the decay of the electric potential, V is uniquely determined by the high energy limit of the scattering operator. 相似文献
104.
105.
For Gaussian process models, likelihood-based methods are often difficult to use with large irregularly spaced spatial datasets, because exact calculations of the likelihood for n observations require O(n3) operations and O(n2) memory. Various approximation methods have been developed to address the computational difficulties. In this article, we propose new, unbiased estimating equations (EE) based on score equation approximations that are both computationally and statistically efficient. We replace the inverse covariance matrix that appears in the score equations by a sparse matrix to approximate the quadratic forms, then set the resulting quadratic forms equal to their expected values to obtain unbiased EE. The sparse matrix is constructed by a sparse inverse Cholesky approach to approximate the inverse covariance matrix. The statistical efficiency of the resulting unbiased EE is evaluated both in theory and by numerical studies. Our methods are applied to nearly 90,000 satellite-based measurements of water vapor levels over a region in the Southeast Pacific Ocean. 相似文献
106.
The objectives of this paper are twofold. Firstly, we formulate a system of partial differential equations that models the contamination of groundwater due to migration of dissolved contaminants through unsaturated to saturated zone. A closed form solution using the singular perturbation techniques for the flow and solute transport equations in the unsaturated zone is obtained. Indeed, the solution can be used as a tool to verify the accuracy of numerical models of water flow and solute transport. The second part of this paper, deals with how the water level in a water reserve drops due to pumping water out of a well that is some distance away. 相似文献
107.
Let ∥ · ∥ be the Frobenius norm of matrices. We consider (I) the set SE of symmetric and generalized centro-symmetric real n × n matrices Rn with some given eigenpairs (λj, qj) (j = 1, 2, … , m) and (II) the element in SE which minimizes for a given real matrix R∗. Necessary and sufficient conditions for SE to be nonempty are presented. A general form of elements in SE is given and an explicit expression of the minimizer is derived. Finally, a numerical example is reported. 相似文献
108.
An inverse problem of transient heat conduction in a thin finite circular plate with the given temperature distribution on the interior surface of a thin circular plate being a function of both time and position has been solved with the help of integral transform technique and also determine the thermal deflection on the outer curved surface of a thin circular plate defined as 0 ? r ? a, 0 ? z ? h. The results, obtained in the series form in terms of Bessel’s functions, are illustrated numerically. 相似文献
109.
A Tikhonov-type method for solving a multidimensional inverse heat source problem in an unbounded domain 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this study we prove a stability estimate for an inverse heat source problem in the n-dimensional case. We present a revised generalized Tikhonov regularization and obtain an error estimate. Numerical experiments for the one-dimensional and two-dimensional cases show that the revised generalized Tikhonov regularization works well. 相似文献
110.