Bayes in the sky: Bayesian inference and model selection in cosmology

The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more traditional statistical tools, offering the advantage of higher efficiency and of a consistent conceptual basis for dealing with the problem of induction in the presence of uncertainty. This trend is likely to continue in the future, when the way we collect, manipulate and analyse observations and compare them with theoretical models will assume an even more central role in cosmology.

This review is an introduction to Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics and recent results in the field. I first present Bayesian probability theory and its conceptual underpinnings, Bayes' Theorem and the role of priors. I discuss the problem of parameter inference and its general solution, along with numerical techniques such as Monte Carlo Markov Chain methods. I then review the theory and application of Bayesian model comparison, discussing the notions of Bayesian evidence and effective model complexity, and how to compute and interpret those quantities. Recent developments in cosmological parameter extraction and Bayesian cosmological model building are summarised, highlighting the challenges that lie ahead.     

成批到达排队系统的随机比较

本文研究成批到达排队系统中队长过程的随机比较问题．利用随机比较方法我们对成批到达指数服务的多服务台排队系统进行分析,得到了该排队系统中队长过程的随机比较以及队长函数关于时间的凹性和凸性．同时我们也给出了成批到达一般服务的单服务台排队系统队长过程、稳态队长的随机比较以及队长函数关于时间的凹性和凸性．     

一阶捕食-被捕食系统的单调方法

本文利用单调逼近方法,研究带大小结构的捕食-被捕食系统的初边值问题,得到了系统解的存在唯一性,并且证明了序列是线性收敛的.     

SINGULARLY PERTURBED NONLINEARELLIPTIC SYSTEMS IN STRIP DOMAIN

Singularly perturbed problems for the nonlinear dliptie systems in a strip domain are considered. Under suitabla conditions, by using the comparison theorem, the existence andasymptotic behavior of solution for the boundary value problems are studied.     

高维倒向随机微分方程比较定理

倒向随机微分方程由Pardoux和彭实戈首先提出，彭实戈给出了一维BSDE的比较定理，周海滨将其推广到了高维情形．毛学荣将倒向随机微分方程解的存在唯一性定理推广到非Lipschitz系数情况，曹志刚和严加安给了相应的一维比较定理．本文将曹志刚和严加安的比较定理推广到高维情形．     

关于零级亚纯函数的一类新的奇异方向

本文研究了平面上的亚纯函数的奇异方向,利用Tsuji’s的第二基本定理和几个已有的关于函数增长性估计的引理,证明了平面上的零级亚纯函数至少存在一条T方向,这种方向直接以特征函数为比较函数,克服了Borel方向的定义中关于增长级不能为零的限制.     

非线性二阶中立型时滞微分方程正解的存在性

考虑非线性二阶中立型微分方程,[a(t)x(t)-∑ from i=1 to m (p_i(t)x(τi(t)))]″-∫from n=a to b (f(t,ξ,x[g(t,ξ)])dσ(ξ))=0,t≥t_0,和相应不等式[a(t)x(t)-∑ from i=1 to m (p_i(t)x(τi(t)))]″-∫from n=a to b (f(t,ξ,x[g(t,ξ)])dσ(ξ))≥0,t≥t_0.存在正解是相互等价的.其中a(t),pi(t)∈C([t0,∞),R+),a(t)>0,τi(t)∈C(R~+,R~+),τi(t)t,limt→∞τi(t)=∞(i=1,2,…,m).g(t,ξ)∈C([t_0,∞)×[a,b],R+).g(t,ξ)是分别关于t和ξ的增函数.g(t,ξ)t,ξ∈[a,b],limt→∞,ξ∈[a,b]g(t,ξ)=∞.f(t,ξ,x)∈C([t_0,∞)×[a,b]×R,R+).当x>0时,xf(t,ξ,x)>0.σ(ξ)∈C([a,b],R),且σ(ξ)非减.     

用白炽灯作光源测量普朗克常量--第36届国际奥林匹克物理竞赛实验题分析

介绍了第36届国际奥林匹克物理竞赛“用白炽灯测量普朗克常量”实验,该题利用白炽灯作为辐射源并配合波长滤波器、减光板以及光敏电阻等装置,测量普朗克常量.文章对该实验进行了分析并给出解答.     

STURM COMPARISON THEOREMS FOR SECOND ORDER NONLINEAR NEUTRAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS

In this paper, we first establish some differential inequalities and then some Sturm comparison theorems are derived for the second order neutral nonlinear differential equations. Our results generalize some classical Sturm comparison theorems.