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基础房价的相关指标及其走势一直是大众关心的热门话题.本文通过对上海基础房价相关指标的分析,建立了市场房价走势的两个数学模型.模型一:在相关性分析的基础上利用主成分分析消除指标间的共线性,再用回归拟合房价模型并进行预测;模型二:在相关性分析的基础上利用核估计方法预测出房价.继呵对2005年下半年的房价走势进行了预测,得出的结果与实际情况相吻合. 相似文献
23.
E. Mathieu Y. Foucher P. Dellamonica J. P. Daures 《Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability》2007,9(3):389-397
In AIDS control, physicians have a growing need to use pragmatically useful and interpretable tools in their daily medical
taking care of patients. Semi-Markov process seems to be well adapted to model the evolution of HIV-1 infected patients. In
this study, we introduce and define a non homogeneous semi-Markov (NHSM) model in continuous time. Then the problem of finding
the equations that describe the biological evolution of patient is studied and the interval transition probabilities are computed.
A parametric approach is used and the maximum likelihood estimators of the process are given. A Monte Carlo algorithm is presented
for realizing non homogeneous semi-Markov trajectories. As results, interval transition probabilities are computed for distinct
times and follow-up has an impact on the evolution of patients.
相似文献
24.
Jiang Wei 《Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications》2004,297(1):305-316
The eigenvalue and the stability of singular differential systems with delay are considered. Firstly we investigate some properties of the eigenvalue, then give the exact exponential estimation for the fundamental solution, and finally discuss the necessary and sufficient condition of uniform asymptotic stability. 相似文献
25.
Improved holographic particle sizing by using absolute values of the wavelet transform 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
A new method for sizing particle from in-line particle holograms by using absolute values of the wavelet transform is proposed in order to improve accuracy in measurements. The proposed method provides direct calculation of the particle size by using spatial frequency information of a chirp signal at minima position of an envelope function. Simulation and experimental results are presented. 相似文献
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In this paper a predictive control strategy is applied to a periodic-review dynamic inventory system with deteriorating items.
Given the current inventory level, we determine the optimal production rates to be implemented at the beginning of each of
the following periods over the control horizon. The effectiveness of this approach is the use of future information of the
inventory target level and the desired production rate, which are available, along the fixed horizon. The deterioration coefficient
may be known or unknown and both cases are considered. In the case where it is unknown, the self-tuning predictive control
is applied. The proposed control algorithms are illustrated by simulations. 相似文献
28.
本文综合近邻权函数法及最小二乘法,用两阶段最小二乘估计的方法得到了半参数EV模型中参数的估计量及其强相合性,渐近正态性。同时也得到了非参数函数的估计量及其强相合性,一致强相合性。 相似文献
29.
Rolando Cavazos-Cadena 《Annals of Operations Research》1991,28(1):169-184
We consider a class of Markov decision processes withfinite state and action spaces which, essentially, is determined by the following condition: The state space isirreducible under the action of any stationary policy. However, except by this restriction, the transition law iscompletely unknown to the controller. In this context, we find a set of policies under which thefrequency estimators of the transition law are strongly consistent and then, this result is applied to constructadaptive asymptotically discount-optimal policies.Dedicated to Professor Truman O. Lewis, on the occasion of his sixtieth birthdayThis research was supported in part by the Third World Academy of Sciences (TWAS) under Grant TWAS RG MP 898-152, and in part by the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACYT) under Grant A128CCOEO550 (MT-2). 相似文献
30.
Naoki Miyamoto Shusuke Nisiyama Satoshi Tomioka Takeaki Enoto 《Optics Communications》2007,272(1):67-72
We utilize nitroanisole, that absorbs infrared (IR) radiation as heat, as an optical modulation device based on a thermal process. The nitroanisole exhibits a thermal lens effect, i.e. a temperature dependent refractive index. Hence, the nitroanisole can induce phase modulation to visible light, in direct response to intensity of the incident IR radiation. The proposed method can be used to obtain the phase modulation distribution that corresponds to the IR intensity distribution, i.e. the IR hologram itself, on the nitroanisole by examining the phase map of visible light that is modulated upon passing through the nitroanisole. The IR wavefront can be reconstructed by calculating extracted IR holograms through the Fresnel transform. It is verified that both the amplitude and the phase of the IR wavefront can be reconstructed accurately by proposed method. 相似文献