Admissibility and minimaxity of generalized Bayes estimators for spherically symmetric family

We give a sufficient condition for admissibility of generalized Bayes estimators of the location vector of spherically symmetric distribution under squared error loss. Compared to the known results for the multivariate normal case, our sufficient condition is very tight and is close to being a necessary condition. In particular, we establish the admissibility of generalized Bayes estimators with respect to the harmonic prior and priors with slightly heavier tail than the harmonic prior. We use the theory of regularly varying functions to construct a sequence of smooth proper priors approaching an improper prior fast enough for establishing the admissibility. We also discuss conditions of minimaxity of the generalized Bayes estimator with respect to the harmonic prior.     

The increment ratio statistic

We introduce a new statistic written as a sum of certain ratios of second-order increments of partial sums process of observations, which we call the increment ratio (IR) statistic. The IR statistic can be used for testing nonparametric hypotheses for d-integrated () behavior of time series X_t, including short memory (d=0), (stationary) long-memory and unit roots (d=1). If S_n behaves asymptotically as an (integrated) fractional Brownian motion with parameter , the IR statistic converges to a monotone function Λ(d) of as both the sample size N and the window parameter m increase so that N/m→∞. For Gaussian observations X_t, we obtain a rate of decay of the bias EIR-Λ(d) and a central limit theorem (N/m)^1/2(IR-EIR)→N(0,σ²(d)), in the region . Graphs of the functions Λ(d) and σ(d) are included. A simulation study shows that the IR test for short memory (d=0) against stationary long-memory alternatives has good size and power properties and is robust against changes in mean, slowly varying trends and nonstationarities. We apply this statistic to sequences of squares of returns on financial assets and obtain a nuanced picture of the presence of long-memory in asset price volatility.     

An extension of Fisher's discriminant analysis for stochastic processes

In this paper we present a general notion of Fisher's linear discriminant analysis that extends the classical multivariate concept to situations that allow for function-valued random elements. The development uses a bijective mapping that connects a second order process to the reproducing kernel Hilbert space generated by its within class covariance kernel. This approach provides a seamless transition between Fisher's original development and infinite dimensional settings that lends itself well to computation via smoothing and regularization. Simulation results and real data examples are provided to illustrate the methodology.     

Nonparametric methods for unbalanced multivariate data and many factor levels

We propose different nonparametric tests for multivariate data and derive their asymptotic distribution for unbalanced designs in which the number of factor levels tends to infinity (large a, small n_i case). Quasi gratis, some new parametric multivariate tests suitable for the large a asymptotic case are also obtained. Finite sample performances are investigated and compared in a simulation study. The nonparametric tests are based on separate rankings for the different variables. In the presence of outliers, the proposed nonparametric methods have better power than their parametric counterparts. Application of the new tests is demonstrated using data from plant pathology.     

Bootstrap approximation of tail dependence function

For estimating a rare event via the multivariate extreme value theory, the so-called tail dependence function has to be investigated (see [L. de Haan, J. de Ronde, Sea and wind: Multivariate extremes at work, Extremes 1 (1998) 7-45]). A simple, but effective estimator for the tail dependence function is the tail empirical distribution function, see [X. Huang, Statistics of Bivariate Extreme Values, Ph.D. Thesis, Tinbergen Institute Research Series, 1992] or [R. Schmidt, U. Stadtmüller, Nonparametric estimation of tail dependence, Scand. J. Stat. 33 (2006) 307-335]. In this paper, we first derive a bootstrap approximation for a tail dependence function with an approximation rate via the construction approach developed by [K. Chen, S.H. Lo, On a mapping approach to investigating the bootstrap accuracy, Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 107 (1997) 197-217], and then apply it to construct a confidence band for the tail dependence function. A simulation study is conducted to assess the accuracy of the bootstrap approach.     

Sharp adaptive estimation of quadratic functionals

Estimation of a quadratic functional of a function observed in the Gaussian white noise model is considered. A data-dependent method for choosing the amount of smoothing is given. The method is based on comparing certain quadratic estimators with each other. It is shown that the method is asymptotically sharp or nearly sharp adaptive simultaneously for the “regular” and “irregular” region. We consider l_p bodies and construct bounds for the risk of the estimator which show that for p=4 the estimator is exactly optimal and for example when p ∈[3,100], then the upper bound is at most 1.055 times larger than the lower bound. We show the connection of the estimator to the theory of optimal recovery. The estimator is a calibration of an estimator which is nearly minimax optimal among quadratic estimators. Writing of this article was financed by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft under project MA1026/6-2, CIES, France, and Jenny and AnttiWihuri Foundation.     

Total Variation Distance for Poisson Subset Numbers

Let n be an integer and A₀,..., A_k random subsets of {1,..., n} of fixed sizes a₀,..., a_k, respectively chosen independently and uniformly. We provide an explicit and easily computable total variation bound between the distance from the random variable , the size of the intersection of the random sets, to a Poisson random variable Z with intensity λ = EW. In particular, the bound tends to zero when λ converges and for all j = 0,..., k, showing that W has an asymptotic Poisson distribution in this regime. Received February 24, 2005     

A parametric approach to correspondence analysis

We compare correspondence analysis (CA) and the alternative approach using Hellinger distance (HD), for representing categorical data in a contingency table. As both methods may be appropriate, we introduce a parameter and define a generalized version of correspondence analysis (GCA) which contains CA and HD as particular cases. Comparison with alternative approaches are performed. We propose a coefficient which globally measures the similarity between CA and GCA, which can be decomposed into several components, one component for each principal dimension, indicating the contribution of the dimensions on the difference between both representations. Two criteria for choosing the best value of the parameter are proposed.     

Analysis of two-sample truncated data using generalized logistic models

Parallel to Cox's [JRSS B34 (1972) 187-230] proportional hazards model, generalized logistic models have been discussed by Anderson [Bull. Int. Statist. Inst. 48 (1979) 35-53] and others. The essential assumption is that the two densities ratio has a known parametric form. A nice property of this model is that it naturally relates to the logistic regression model for categorical data. In astronomic, demographic, epidemiological, and other studies the variable of interest is often truncated by an associated variable. This paper studies generalized logistic models for the two-sample truncated data problem, where the two lifetime densities ratio is assumed to have the form exp{α+φ(x;β)}. Here φ is a known function of x and β, and the baseline density is unspecified. We develop a semiparametric maximum likelihood method for the case where the two samples have a common truncation distribution. It is shown that inferences for β do not depend the nonparametric components. We also derive an iterative algorithm to maximize the semiparametric likelihood for the general case where different truncation distributions are allowed. We further discuss how to check goodness of fit of the generalized logistic model. The developed methods are illustrated and evaluated using both simulated and real data.