一种基于自主配置的网络可生存性增强算法

基于中心极限定理和假设检验理论，通过比较当前关键服务请求的服务响应时间与该关键服务历史平均服务响应时间置信区间的关系，提出了一种增强网络可生存性的自主配置算法（NSAC）．该算法对关键服务执行过程中的不同时段分两种情况采取适时的资源剥夺、服务迁移或者服务降级等策略，最大限度地保证关键服务请求在用户期望的截止时间内完成，整个配置过程对用户透明．仿真试验表明，本文提出的算法在网络重负载和轻负载情况下都可以更好地改善系统关键服务的可生存性．     

正态总体中方差的两步置信区间

利用两阶段抽样，我们具体给出了正态总体方差的一个置信区间，它同时满足可靠度与精度。利用数值计算的方法，我们计算出第一阶段的最优抽样量。此外，我们证明了一次抽样时同时满足可靠度与精度的置信区间的不存在性。     

概率密度函数的广义最小二乘估计

本文提出了应用线性回归的方法改良核密度估计的一种方法,改良的估计量为GLS估计.并讨论了几个与之相关的问题.     

统计模型中均方误差的区间估计

本文研究了线性统计模型（Ⅰ）与（Ⅱ）中参数β月的估计量β的均方误差ＭＳＥ（β），分别给出了其１—ａ置信区间．     

CONSENSUS FORMATION OF TWO-LEVEL OPINION DYNAMICS

Opinion dynamics have received significant attention in recent years. This paper proposes a bounded confidence opinion model for a group of agents with two different confidence levels. Each agent in the population is endowed with a confidence interval around her opinion with radius αd or(1- α)d, where α∈(0, 1/2] represents the differentiation of confidence levels. We analytically derived the critical confidence bound dc = 1/(4α) for the two-level opinion dynamics on Z. A single opinion cluster is formed with probability 1 above this critical value regardless of the ratio p of agents with high/low confidence. Extensive numerical simulations are performed to illustrate our theoretical results. Noticed is a clear impact of p on the collective behavior: more agents with high confidence lead to harder agreement. It is also experimentally revealed that the sharpness of the threshold dc increases with α but does not depend on p.     

Estimation for partially linear models with missing responses: the fixed design case

Suppose that we have a partially linear model Yi=x′iβ+g(ti)+εi with independent zero mean errorsεi,where{xi,ti,i=1,···,n}are non-random and observed completely and{Yi,i=1,···,n}are missing at random(MAR).Two types of estimators ofβand g(t)for fixed t are investigated:estimators based on semiparametric regression and inverse probability weighted imputations.Asymptotic normality of the estimators is established,which is used to construct normal approximation based confidence intervals onβand g(t).Results are reported of a simulation study on the finite sample performance of the estimators and confidence intervals proposed in this paper.     

Panel数据模型中方差分量的广义p值检验

利用广义p值和广义置信区间的概念构造含有四个随机效应的Panel数据模型中方差分量的几种新的精确检验和置信区间,并讨论它们在尺度变换下的不变性.模拟结果表明,这种检验能很好地控制检验水平.     

关于测验等值几个问题的研究

通过对测验等值方法和等值设计进行研究,得到改进后的线性等值公式,该公式不仅与两分测验的相关系数有关,而且同两分测验的信度有关,常用线性等值公式是其当两份测验信度相等的一个特例,文中还给出了预报值的置信区间估计,同时提出一种新的等值设计方法,试卷分半组合的单组设计方法。