一类综合评价指数编制路径及案例

综合评价指数是一种广义上的统计指数,在讨论了综合评价指数与一般统计指数不同的基础上,引述了综合评价指数一般编制步骤并详细分析研究了综合评价指数编制过程中的权重确定,提出了基于等权设计思想的加权修正综合评价指数编制方法,最后以甘肃省装备制造产业为例进行了展示.     

Uniform limit laws of the logarithm for nonparametric estimators of the regression function in presence of censored data

In this paper, we establish uniform-in-bandwidth limit laws of the logarithm for nonparametric Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighted (I.P.C.W.) estimators of the multivariate regression function under random censorship. A similar result is deduced for estimators of the conditional distribution function. The uniform-in-bandwidth consistency for estimators of the conditional density and the conditional hazard rate functions are also derived from our main result. Moreover, the logarithm laws we establish are shown to yield almost sure simultaneous asymptotic confidence bands for the functions we consider. Examples of confidence bands obtained from simulated data are displayed.      

A new test on the conditional capital asset pricing model

Testing the validity of the conditional capital asset pricing model(CAPM) is a puzzle in the finance literatureLewellen and Nagel[14]find that the variation in betas and in the equity premium would have to be implausibly large to explain important asset-pricing anomaliesUnfortunately, they do not provide a rigorous test statisticBased on a simulation study, the method proposed in Lewellen and Nagel[14]tends to reject the null too frequently.We develop a new test procedure and derive its limiting distribution under the null hypothesis.Also, we provide a Bootstrap approach to the testing procedure to gain a good finite sample performanceBoth simulations and empirical studies show that our test is necessary for making correct inferences with the conditional CAPM.     

基于残差加权经验过程方法的自回归模型分布变点监测

Change monitoring of distribution in time series models is an important issue.This paper proposes a procedure for monitoring changes in the error distribution of autoregressive time series,which is based on a weighed empirical process of residuals with weights equal to the regressors.The asymptotic properties of our monitoring statistic are derived under the null hypothesis of no change in distribution.The finite sample properties are investigated by a simulation.As it turns out,the procedure is not only able to detect distributional changes but also changes in the regression coefficient and mean.Finally,we apply the statistic to a groups of financial data.     

Rivality index neighbourhood algorithm with density and distances weighted schemes for the building of robust QSAR classification models with high reliable applicability domain

The rivality index (RI) is a normalized distance measurement between a molecule and their first nearest neighbours providing a robust prediction of the activity of a molecule based on the known activity of their nearest neighbours. Negative values of the RI describe molecules that would be correctly classified by a statistic algorithm and, vice versa, positive values of this index describe those molecules detected as outliers by the classification algorithms. In this paper, we have described a classification algorithm based on the RI and we have proposed four weighted schemes (kernels) for its calculation based on the measuring of different characteristics of the neighbourhood of molecules for each molecule of the dataset at established values of the threshold of neighbours. The results obtained have demonstrated that the proposed classification algorithm, based on the RI, generates more reliable and robust classification models than many of the more used and well-known machine learning algorithms. These results have been validated and corroborated by using 20 balanced and unbalanced benchmark datasets of different sizes and modelability. The classification models generated provide valuable information about the molecules of the dataset, the applicability domain of the models and the reliability of the predictions.     

Optimal and approximate boundary controls of an elastic body with quasistatic evolution of damage

In this paper, we study an optimal control problem for the mixed boundary value problem for an elastic body with quasistatic evolution of an internal damage variable. We suppose that the evolution of microscopic cracks and cavities responsible for the damage is described by a nonlinear parabolic equation. A density of surface traction p acting on a part of boundary of an elastic body Ω is taken as a boundary control. Because the initial boundary value problem of this type can exhibit the Lavrentieff phenomenon and non‐uniqueness of weak solutions, we deal with the solvability of this problem in the class of weak variational solutions. Using the convergence concept in variable spaces and following the direct method in calculus of variations, we prove the existence of optimal and approximate solutions to the optimal control problem under rather general assumptions on the quasistatic evolution of damage. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.