A property of the renewal counting process with application to the finite-time ruin probability

We consider the renewal counting process , where θ ₁ , θ ₂ ,… are nonnegative independent identically distributed nondegenerate random variables with finite mean. The asymptotics for the tail of the exponential moment are derived. The obtained results are applied to the finite-time ruin probability in a renewal risk model.     

Further improved recursions for a class of compound Poisson distributions

In the present paper we develop more efficient recursive formulae for the evaluation of the t-order cumulative function Γ^th(x) and the t-order tail probability Λ^th(x) of the class of compound Poisson distributions in the case where the derivative of the probability generating function of the claim amounts can be written as a ratio of two polynomials. These efficient recursions can be applied for the exact evaluation of the probability function (given by De Pril [De Pril, N., 1986a. Improved recursions for some compound Poisson distributions. Insurance Math. Econom. 5, 129-132]), distribution function, tail probability, stop-loss premiums and t-order moments of stop-loss transforms of compound Poisson distributions. Also, efficient recursive algorithms are given for the evaluation of higher-order moments and r-order factorial moments about any point for this class of compound Poisson distributions. Finally, several examples of discrete claim size distributions belonging to this class are also given.     

A perturbed risk model with dependence between premium rates and claim sizes

This paper considers a dependent risk model with diffusion for the surplus of an insurer, in which a current premium rate will be adjusted after a claim occurs and the adjusted rate is determined by the amount of the claim. At the same time, the diffusion is changed correspondingly. Using Rouché’s theorem, we first derive the closed-form solution for the Laplace transform of the survival probability in the dependent risk model. Then, using the Laplace transform, we derive a defective renewal equation satisfied by the survival probability. For the exponential claim sizes, we present the explicit recursion expression for the survival probability, by which we can exactly solve the survival probability step-by-step. We also illustrate the influence of the model parameters in the dependent risk model on the survival probability by numerical examples.     

Large deviation results for generalized compound negative binomial risk models

In this paper we extend and improve some results of the large deviation for random sums of random variables. Let {Xn;n 〉 1} be a sequence of non-negative, independent and identically distributed random variables with common heavy-tailed distribution function F and finite mean μ ∈R^＋, {N（n）; n ≥0} be a sequence of negative binomial distributed random variables with a parameter p C （0, 1）, n ≥ 0, let {M（n）; n ≥ 0} be a Poisson process with intensity λ 〉 0. Suppose {N（n）; n ≥ 0}, {Xn; n≥1} and {M（n）; n ≥ 0} are mutually independent. Write S（n） =N（n）∑i=1 Xi-cM（n）.Under the assumption F ∈ C, we prove some large deviation results. These results can be applied to certain problems in insurance and finance.     

MARKOWITZ STRATEGIES REVISED

Continuous-time Markowitz＇s by parameterizing a critical quantity. It mean-variance efficient strategies are modified is shown that these parameterized Markowitz strategies could reach the original mean target with arbitrarily high probabilities. This, in turn, motivates the introduction of certain stopped strategies where stock holdings are liquidated whenever the parameterized Markowitz strategies reach the present value of the mean target. The risk aspect of the revised Markowitz strategies are examined via expected discounted loss from the initial budget. A new portfolio selection model is suggested based on the results of the paper.     

On multiserver feedback retrial queue with finite buffer

This paper deals with a multiserver feedback retrial queueing system with finite waiting position and constant retrial rate. This system is analyzed as a quasi-birth-and-death (QBD) process and the necessary and sufficient condition for stability of the system is investigated. Some important system performance measures are obtained using matrix geometric method. The effect of various parameters on the system performance measures are illustrated numerically. Finally, the algorithmic development of the full busy period for the model under consideration is discussed.     

The influence of delivery times on repairable k-out-of-N systems with spares

The k-out-of-N structure is a popular type of redundancy in fault-tolerant systems with wide applications in computer and communication systems, and power transmission and distribution systems, among others, during the past several decades. In this paper, our interest is in such a reliability system with identical, repairable components having exponential life times, in which at least k out of N components are needed for the system to perform its functions. There is a single repairman who attends to failed components on a first-come-first-served basis. The repair times are assumed to be of phase type. The system has K spares which can be tapped to extend the lifetime of the system using a probabilistic rule. We assume that the delivery time of a spare is exponentially distributed and there could be multiple requests for spares at any given time. Our main goal is to study the influence of delivery times on the performance measures of the k-out-of-N reliability system. To that end, the system is analyzed using a finite quasi-birth-and-death process and some interesting results are obtained.     

多险种复合Poisson风险模型和破产概率

经典风险模型只描述了单一险种的经营模式,具有局限性,本文对多险种的复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率进行了研究。本文给出了初始资本为0时破产概率皿（O）的明确表达式,以及理赔量服从指数分布且初始资本为u时破产概率ψ（u）的明确表达式。     

具有延迟索赔风险模型的破产概率

本文考虑一类具有延迟索赔的风险模型,模型中包含两种索赔,其中一种索赔可能延迟发生.在索赔额服从指数分布的情形下,建立此风险模型破产概率所满足的微分方程,得到破产概率的精确表达式,给出了数值模拟结果.     

重尾索赔下带干扰风险模型破产概率的等价式

Embrechts—Goldie-Veraverbeke公式给出了在重尾索赔Cramer-Lundberg风险模型下关于破产概率的等价式．本文将上述风险模型推广到带干扰的Cramer-Lundberg风险模型,研究了索赔分布时破产概率的等价关系式．