有序分组资料的线性趋势检验的确切概率计算

有序分组资料的线性趋势检验主要用于检验几个二项总体反应率的线性趋势；在医学与生物学中最典型的用途是研究剂量和反应的关系． 如果用Ｚ检验来代替通常在本检验中所用的卡方检验，就可容易地导出本检验的确切概率计算方法，和其他２×Ｃ有序列联表有着相同的形式．本文给出了该检验的确切概率计算方法．     

BaFCl_（x）Br_（1－x）：Sm~（2＋）中_（5）D_2→~（7）F_

本文以ＢａＦＣｌｘＢｒ－１－ｘ：Ｓｍ２＋Ｄ２→７Ｆ０的跃迁几率随ｘ变化为中心对ＢａＦＣｌｘＢｒ－１－ｘ：Ｓｍ２＋体系４ｆ５ｄ带的激发光谱、５Ｄ２→７Ｆ０跃迁的荧光衰减随温度的变化特性、５Ｄ２→７Ｆ０的跃迁几率等进行了研究．从而得出结论：在ＢａＦＣｌｘＢｒ１－ｘ：Ｓｍ２＋中，随Ｂｒ含量的增大，４ｆ５ｄ带与５Ｄ２能级更加接近，使７Ｆ０→Ｄ２的吸收截面增大，从而可能提高在５Ｄ２：能级烧孔的效率．     

概率罐子模型中一种最优设计

基于错误概率达到最小的原则，该文在罐子模型序贯试验中构造了一种渐近最优设计。在这种设计下，不仅能使病员以较多机会分配到较好的处理，而且能使估计量的统计效率在一定意义下达到最优。     

有向图上的随机游动

设G=(V,Г)是有向图,G上的随机游动X(G)定义如下:位于某个顶点上的一个粒子将以等概率转移到该顶点的所有后继顶点.令M(j,n)表示随机游动X(G)在前n步内访问顶点j的平均次数,用W(j)表示随机游动X(G)到达顶点j所需要的平均步效.我们对M(j,n)和W(j)的值进行了估计,证明了M(j,n)=O(n),并给出了W(j)的上界.     

流量管理中信息重发问题的研究

信息重发在通信网络中广泛存在。通过对信息重发问题的研究，建立了概率模型，分析了信息到达流的各种性质，得到了到达间隔时间的分布及平均到达速率等重要性能指标，利用数值实验对理论结论进行了验证。所得结果对网络流量管理和拥塞控制有一定的参考价值。     

广义保险模型的破产概率问题研究

本文对于广义保险模型，利用鞅的表示性，随机Thiele微分方程，计数过程以及随机积分的有关理论，研究了保险的破产概率问题，得到了破产概率上界的理论形式以及Lunberg指数。     

复合广义齐次Poisson过程的多险种破产概率

本文推广了经典的复合泊松风险模型，建立了两类复合广义齐次poisson过程的多险种破产模型．对于新模型，我们得到了初始资本为u的破产概率φ(u)的精确表达式以及特殊情况下φ(0)的表达式，并且导出了调节系数方程和调节系数R的上下界．     

Sufficiency and fuzziness in random experiments

In previous papers, the consequences of the “presence of fuzziness” in the experimental information on which statistical inferences are based were discussed. Thus, the intuitive assertion «fuzziness entails a loss of information» was formalized, by comparing the information in the “exact case” with that in the “fuzzy case”. This comparison was carried out through different criteria to compare experiments (in particular, that based on the “pattern” one, Blackwell's sufficiency criterion). Our purpose now is slightly different, in the sense that we try to compare two “fuzzy cases”. More precisely, the question we are interested in is the following: how will different “degrees of fuzziness” in the experimental information affect the sufficiency? In this paper, a study of this question is carried out by constructing an alternative criterion (equivalent to sufficiency under comparability conditions), but whose interpretation is more intuitive in the fuzzy case. The study is first developed for Bernoulli experiments, and the coherence with the axiomatic requirements for measures of fuzziness is also analyzed in such a situation. Then it is generalized to other random experiments and a simple example is examined.     

Simple Constructions of Almost k-wise Independent Random Variables

We present three alternative simple constructions of small probability spaces on n bits for which any k bits are almost independent. The number of bits used to specify a point in the sample space is (2 + o(1)) (log log n + k/2 + log k + log 1/?), where ? is the statistical difference between the distribution induced on any k bit locations and the uniform distribution. This is asymptotically comparable to the construction recently presented by Naor and Naor (our size bound is better as long as ? < 1/(k log n)). An additional advantage of our constructions is their simplicity.     

扩散先验分布下Bayes多总体分类判别方法的构造

本文研究了各总体服从多元正态分布 ,其未知参数的先验分布均为扩散先验分布时 ,如何利用待判样品的预报密度函数、构造后验概率比并据此对样品进行分类与判别 ;此方法并不需要假设各总体分布的协方差相同 ,而且在预试样本容量较小时仍然可行。