Computer-assisted optimization of mobile phase compositions and development distance selectivity in gradient two-step development high-performance thin-layer chromatography

A computer-assisted method is presented for optimization of mobile phase compositions and development distance in gradient two-step development HPTLC. The method is based on a system which can predict the final Rf values for gradient two-step development from values measured using five preliminary runs. The statistical scanning method is then used for optimization, using Rf difference as the selection criterion. The method was evaluated using a mixture of eight components. Excellent agreement was obtained between predicted and experimental results. Gradient two-step development HPTLC, mobile phase composition optimization, velopment distance optimizationde-     

两步离子交换玻璃光功分器的折射率分布

介绍了在用两步离子交换方法制作光功分器中，在高斯分布为初始条件下采用平均法求出非线性两步离子扩散方程的折射率分布，与实验测出的折射率分布符合得很好。该法尤其对单模光功分器求其折射率更为简单和实用。     

Estimation of a mean in the presence of an extreme observation

The performance of Anscombe, semi-Winsorization and Winsorization (A, S and W) rules for dealing with extreme observations are investigated for observations from N(μ, σ²) and the simple case where it is assumed that at most one observation in the sample may be biased, arising from N(μ + aσ, σ²) and the primary objective is to estimate μ when σ is unknown. Each of these rules is separately treated in terms of the estimated standard deviation, range and interquartile range. A Monte Carlo method is used to evaluate certain expectation integrals that arise in the computations. We give the results for sample sizes n = 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 80, 100 of determining the constants necessary to give ‘premiums’ of 0.01 and 0.05 for each of the rules. The performance of the rules is measured in terms of ‘protection’. Features of the resulting tables are discussed.     

综合人寿保险精算模型

保险是金融的重要组成部分，国际保险业发展迅速，我国保险业务较晚，资料匮乏，迫切需要引进国外先进的保险经验和保险技术，并结合我国的实际情况加以运用。本文建立了一个综合的人寿保险精算模型，其中包括生存年金，终身寿险和还本部分。通过适当的调整参数进行组合，可以获得不同的保险产品。     

Marginal Indemnification Function formulation for optimal reinsurance

In this paper, we propose to combine the Marginal Indemnification Function (MIF) formulation and the Lagrangian dual method to solve optimal reinsurance model with distortion risk measure and distortion reinsurance premium principle. The MIF method exploits the absolute continuity of admissible indemnification functions and formulates optimal reinsurance model into a functional linear programming of determining an optimal measurable function valued over a bounded interval. The MIF method was recently introduced to analyze the reinsurance model but without premium budget constraint. In this paper, a Lagrangian dual method is applied to combine with MIF to solve for optimal reinsurance solutions under premium budget constraint. Compared with the existing literature, the proposed integrated MIF-based Lagrangian dual method provides a more technically convenient and transparent solution to the optimal reinsurance design. To demonstrate the practicality of the proposed method, analytical solution is derived on a particular reinsurance model that involves minimizing Conditional Value at Risk (a special case of distortion function) and with the reinsurance premium being determined by the inverse-S shaped distortion principle.     

Optimal insurance design in the presence of exclusion clauses

The present work studies the design of an optimal insurance policy from the perspective of an insured, where the insurable loss is mutually exclusive from another loss that is denied in the insurance coverage. To reduce ex post moral hazard, we assume that both the insured and the insurer would pay more for a larger realization of the insurable loss. When the insurance premium principle preserves the convex order, we show that any admissible insurance contract is suboptimal to a two-layer insurance policy under the criterion of minimizing the insured’s total risk exposure quantified by value at risk, tail value at risk or an expectile. The form of optimal insurance can be further simplified to be one-layer by imposing an additional weak condition on the premium principle. Finally, we use Wang’s premium principle and the expected value premium principle to illustrate the applicability of our results, and find that optimal insurance solutions are affected not only by the size of the excluded loss but also by the risk measure chosen to quantify the insured’s risk exposure.     

基于动态财务分析的地质灾害保险定价

将经济学中的动态财务分析(DFA)模型应用于地质灾害保险定价中,对离散的灾害事件、经济损失等进行建模分析,计算出纯保费.实证分析以湖南省邵阳市为例,结果表明该模型实用性强、操作简单,计算出来的保费率具有一定的参考价值.     

投资者注意的风险补偿对股市回报的预测

利用历史累积交易金额数据,本文构造了中国股票市场增量注意风险补偿和存量注意风险补偿,并检验其对中国股票市场收益率的预测能力。样本外检验结果显示,以上两种注意风险补偿均能显著预测下个月中国股市的超额收益率,其R²分别达到了2.68%和2.50%;与中国股票市场中其他预测变量相对比,增量注意和存量注意风险补偿表现出更强的预测能力。此外,基于不同的样本外检验期、不同的风险厌恶参数以及五种不同的变量构造方式,投资者注意风险补偿均产生显著的预测能力。围绕着经济周期波动,本文对注意风险补偿的预测能力进行了解释,同时还发现,相较于经济衰退期间,经济繁荣期间的投资者注意风险补偿样本外预测能力更强。     

碱/酸两步催化法制备耐候性SiO2增透膜的研究

以正硅酸乙酯(TEOS)为先驱体,采用碱/酸两步催化溶胶-凝胶法制备出一种兼具碱催化增透膜的高透过率和酸催化增透膜的良好耐摩擦性能的优点的SiO2增透膜。对酸碱催化SiO2相对比例及酸催化时水含量的系统研究表明,当酸催化SiO2的含量为50%时,增透膜综合性能最好,即具有高透过率和高耐摩擦性;当nH2O/nHCl=1∶0.0010时,增透膜的透过率最高。碱/酸两步催化法制备的增透膜与水的接触角仅为11.3°,本文进一步用六甲基二硅氧烷(HMDS)对增透膜表面进行了修饰,修饰后增透膜的接触角提高至52.5°,增透膜的疏水性及环境稳定性得到较大的提高。     

The Risk Premium and the Esscher Transform in Power Markets

In power markets one frequently encounters a risk premium being positive in the short end of the forward curve and negative in the long end. Economically it has been argued that the positive premium is reflecting retailers aversion for spike risk, wheras in the long end of the forward curve, the hedging pressure kicks in as in other commodity markets. Mathematically, forward prices are expressed as risk-neutral expectations of the spot at delivery. We apply the Esscher transform on power spot models based on mean-reverting processes driven by independent increment (time-inhomogeneous Lévy) processes. It is shown that the Esscher transform is yielding a change of mean-reversion level. Moreover, we show that an Esscher transform together with jumps occuring seasonally may explain the occurence of a positive risk premium in the short end. This is demonstrated both mathematically and by a numerical example for a two-factor spot model being relevant for electricity markets.