On the consistency of credibility premiums regarding Esscher principle

In this paper, we investigate the problems of convergence of experience-based ratemakings regarding the Esscher principle. In addition to the Bayes and the classical credibility premiums, we suggest a new credibility formula for the Esscher premium. Then we show the convergence of the Bayes and the newly defined credibility premiums towards the individual premium and point out that the classical credibility premium does not generally converge to the individual premium by presenting a sufficient and necessary condition under which the classical credibility Esscher premium converges to the individual premium. A simulation study is carried out to illustrate the theoretical conclusions.     

Sensitivity analysis of the moments of the profit on an Income Protection Policy

The main purpose of this paper is to perform a sensitivity analysis where we quantify and analyse the effects on the mean of the profit on an Income Protection policy and two risk measures of changing the values of the transition intensities. All the calculations carried out are based on a multiple state model for Income Protection proposed in Continuous Mortality Investigation Committee (Continuous Mortality Investigation Reports 1991; 12 ). Within this model, we derive a formula for the mean of the profit, which enables to evaluate it more efficiently. In order to calculate the two risk measures we use the numerical algorithms for the calculation of the moments of the profit proposed by Waters (Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 1990; 9 :101–113). We carry out the sensitivity analysis considering two different situations: in the first situation, we update the premium rates used to calculate the moments of the profit, according to the changes in the values of the transition intensities; in the second one, we do not update the premium rates. Both analyses are of practical interest to insurance companies selling Income Protection policies. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Third-order extensions of Lo’s semiparametric bound for European call options

Computing semiparametric bounds for option prices is a widely studied pricing technique. In contrast to parametric pricing techniques, such as Monte-Carlo simulations, semiparametric pricing techniques do not require strong assumptions about the underlying asset price distribution. We extend classical results in this area. Specifically, we derive closed-form semiparametric bounds for the payoff of a European call option, given up to third-order moment (i.e., mean, variance, and skewness) information on the underlying asset price. We analyze how these bounds tighten the corresponding bounds, when only second-order moment (i.e., mean and variance) information is provided. We describe applications of these results in the context of option pricing; as well as in other areas such as inventory management, and actuarial science.     

Asymmetric impacts of global risk appetite on the risk premium for an emerging market

This paper analyzes the impact of global risk appetite on the risk premium utilizing high-frequency data. Taking the Turkish economy as our laboratory, we find that the risk premium volatility responds only to a worsening in the risk appetite for the Turkish economy, which is a result that we do not observe for the other emerging markets. Then, we investigate the role of current account dynamics on this asymmetric effect, by focusing also on an economy with similar current account performance. The empirical results find supporting evidence for the role of current account dynamics on the estimated asymmetry.     

Multi-agent controlled teleportation of multi-qubit quantum information via two-step protocol

Utilizing both the general quantum teleportation and the two-step protocol, a new method is presented by which multi-qubit quantum information can be teleported in a much easier way from a sender Alice to a receiver Bob via the control of many agents in a network than by Yang et al＇s method. In this method, only all the agents collaborate with Bob can the unknown states in Alice＇s qubits be fully reconstructed in Bob＇s qubits. Comparisons between the method and Yang et al＇s method are made. Results show that, in this method, the preparation difficulty of initial states and the identification difficulty of entangled states are considerably reduced, new method is more feasible in technique, and Hadamard operations are not needed at all.     

Preparation of a silicon micro-strip nuclear radiation detector by a two-step annealing process

The annealing process for boron implantation is a crucial step during large size nuclear radiation detector fabrication. It can reduce the lattice defects and the projection straggling. A two-step annealing process for boron implantation was developed instead of a one-step annealing process, and the reverse body resistance of a silicon micro-strip detector was significantly increased, which means that the performance of the detector was improved.     

求解PageRank问题的多步幂法修正的内外迭代法

引用两种加速计算PageRank的算法,分别为内外迭代法和两步分裂迭代算法.从这两种方法中,得到多步幂法修正的内外迭代方法.首先,详细介绍了算法实施过程.然后,对此算法的收敛性进行证明,并且将此算法的谱半径与两步分裂迭代算法的谱半径进行比较.最后,数值试验说明该算法的计算速度比两步分裂迭代法要快.     

大视角两步彩虹全息术

本文巧妙地运用了全息图的光路可逆性,采用两面反射镜与小面积全息图相结合,制得了视场角接近180°的大视角彩虹全息图.整个过程分两步完成,无需任何特殊的光学元件.文中给出了实验结果,并进行了讨论.     

关于停止损失再保险的调节系数最大化问题

停止损失再保险作为一种再保险方式,在具有相同保费的前提下,能使保险人的期望效用最大,并能使其自留风险方差最小.另外在保费和费率相等的前提下,停止损失再保险的调节系数不可能比其他再保险方式的调节系数小.本论文在此基础上作了相应推广,讨论了在保费相等的前提下,停止损失再保险的费率满足时,其调节系数不小于其他再保险方式的调节系数.