Exact L 2 Small Balls of Gaussian Processes

We prove a comparison theorem extending Li(6) and develop a complex-analytic approach to treat L ² small ball probabilities of Gaussian processes. We demonstrate the techniques for the m-times integrated Brownian motions and in examples where one can not apply Li comparison theorem.     

Network-based ranking methods for prediction of novel disease associated microRNAs

BackgroundMany studies have shown roles of microRNAs on human disease and a number of computational methods have been proposed to predict such associations by ranking candidate microRNAs according to their relevance to a disease. Among them, machine learning-based methods usually have a limitation in specifying non-disease microRNAs as negative training samples. Meanwhile, network-based methods are becoming dominant since they well exploit a “disease module” principle in microRNA functional similarity networks. Of which, random walk with restart (RWR) algorithm-based method is currently state-of-the-art. The use of this algorithm was inspired from its success in predicting disease gene because the “disease module” principle also exists in protein interaction networks. Besides, many algorithms designed for webpage ranking have been successfully applied in ranking disease candidate genes because web networks share topological properties with protein interaction networks. However, these algorithms have not yet been utilized for disease microRNA prediction.MethodsWe constructed microRNA functional similarity networks based on shared targets of microRNAs, and then we integrated them with a microRNA functional synergistic network, which was recently identified. After analyzing topological properties of these networks, in addition to RWR, we assessed the performance of (i) PRINCE (PRIoritizatioN and Complex Elucidation), which was proposed for disease gene prediction; (ii) PageRank with Priors (PRP) and K-Step Markov (KSM), which were used for studying web networks; and (iii) a neighborhood-based algorithm.ResultsAnalyses on topological properties showed that all microRNA functional similarity networks are small-worldness and scale-free. The performance of each algorithm was assessed based on average AUC values on 35 disease phenotypes and average rankings of newly discovered disease microRNAs. As a result, the performance on the integrated network was better than that on individual ones. In addition, the performance of PRINCE, PRP and KSM was comparable with that of RWR, whereas it was worst for the neighborhood-based algorithm. Moreover, all the algorithms were stable with the change of parameters. Final, using the integrated network, we predicted six novel miRNAs (i.e., hsa-miR-101, hsa-miR-181d, hsa-miR-192, hsa-miR-423-3p, hsa-miR-484 and hsa-miR-98) associated with breast cancer.ConclusionsNetwork-based ranking algorithms, which were successfully applied for either disease gene prediction or for studying social/web networks, can be also used effectively for disease microRNA prediction.     

改进种群多样性的双变异差分进化算法

差分进化算法(DE)是一种基于种群的启发式随机搜索技术,对于解决连续性优化问题具有较强的鲁棒性.然而传统差分进化算法存在种群多样性和收敛速度之间的矛盾,一种改进种群多样性的双变异差分进化算法(DADE),通过引入BFS-best机制(基于排序的可行解选取递减策略)改进变异算子"DE/current-to-best",将其与DE/rand/1构成双变异策略来改善DE算法中种群多样性减少的问题.同时,每个个体的控制参数基于排序自适应更新.最后,利用多个CEC2013标准测试函数对改进算法进行测试,实验结果表明,改进后的算法能有效改善种群多样性,较好地提高了算法的全局收敛能力和收敛速度.     

Sharper asset ranking from total drawdown durations

The total duration of drawdowns is shown to provide a moment-free, unbiased, efficient and robust estimator of Sharpe ratios both for Gaussian and heavy-tailed price returns. We then use this quantity to infer an analytic expression of the bias of moment-based Sharpe ratio estimators as a function of the return distribution tail exponent. The heterogeneity of tail exponents at any given time among assets implies that our new method yields significantly different asset rankings than those of moment-based methods, especially in periods large volatility. This is fully confirmed by using 20 years of historical data on 3449 liquid US equities.     

Only the first term of some series counts

Let X,X₁,X₂,… be i.i.d. random variables, and set S_n=X₁+?+X_n. We prove that for three important distributions of X, namely normal, exponential and geometric, series of the type ∑_n≥1a_nP(|S_n|≥xb_n) or ∑_n≥1a_nP(S_n≥xb_n) behave like their first term as x→∞.     

ELECTRE: Robust ordinal regression for outranking methods

We present a new method, called ELECTRE^GKMS, which employs robust ordinal regression to construct a set of outranking models compatible with preference information. The preference information supplied by the decision maker (DM) is composed of pairwise comparisons stating the truth or falsity of the outranking relation for some real or fictitious reference alternatives. Moreover, the DM specifies some ranges of variation of comparison thresholds on considered pseudo-criteria. Using robust ordinal regression, the method builds a set of values of concordance indices, concordance thresholds, indifference, preference, and veto thresholds, for which all specified pairwise comparisons can be restored. Such sets are called compatible outranking models. Using these models, two outranking relations are defined, necessary and possible. Whether for an ordered pair of alternatives there is necessary or possible outranking depends on the truth of outranking relation for all or at least one compatible model, respectively. Distinguishing the most certain recommendation worked out by the necessary outranking, and a possible recommendation worked out by the possible outranking, ELECTRE^GKMS answers questions of robustness concern. The method is intended to be used interactively with incremental specification of pairwise comparisons, possibly with decreasing confidence levels. In this way, the necessary and possible outranking relations can be, respectively, enriched or impoverished with the growth of the number of pairwise comparisons. Furthermore, the method is able to identify troublesome pieces of preference information which are responsible for incompatibility. The necessary and possible outranking relations are to be exploited as usual outranking relations to work out recommendation in choice or ranking problems. The introduced approach is illustrated by a didactic example showing how ELECTRE^GKMS can support real-world decision problems.     

On distorted probabilities and m-separable fuzzy measures

Fuzzy measures are used in conjunction with fuzzy integrals for aggregation. Their role in the aggregation is to permit the user to express the importance of the information sources (either criteria or experts). Due to the fact that fuzzy measures are set functions, the definition of such measures requires the definition of 2ⁿ parameters, where n is the number of information sources. To make the definition easier, several families of fuzzy measures have been defined in the literature.In this paper m-separable fuzzy measures are introduced. We present some results on this type of measures and we relate them to some of the previous existing ones. We study generating functions for m-separable fuzzy measures and some properties related to these generating functions.     

DEA有效单元排序的一种新方法

通过对DEA有效单元排序中超有效性方法的探讨,提出了一种新的方法.利用对构造模型目标函数的处理,新的方法能够实现对有效单元的完全排序.最后,通过两个算例进一步验证了新方法的可行性和优越性.     

基于SMAA和公共权重的决策单元效率评价与排序

在数据包络分析(DEA)中,公共权重模型是决策单元效率评价与排序的常用方法之一。与传统DEA模型相比,公共权重模型用一组公共的投入产出权重评价所有决策单元,评价结果往往更具有区分度且更为客观。本文考虑决策单元对排序位置的满意程度,提出了基于最大化最小满意度和最大化平均满意度两类新的公共权重模型。首先,基于随机多准则可接受度分析(SMAA)方法,计算出每个决策单元处于各个排名位置的可接受度;然后,通过逆权重空间分析,分别求得使最小满意度和平均满意度最大化的一组公共权重;最后,利用所求的公共权重,计算各决策单元的效率值及相应的排序。算例分析验证了本文提出的基于SMAA的公共权重模型用于决策单元效率评价与排序的可行性。