A model of interim information sharing under incomplete information

We propose a two-person game-theoretical model to study information sharing decisions at an interim stage when information is incomplete. The two agents have pieces of private information about the state of nature, and that information is improved by combining the pieces. Agents are both senders and receivers of information. There is an institutional arrangement that fixes a transfer of wealth from an agent who lies about her private information. In our model, we show that (1) there is a positive relation between information revelation and the amount of the transfers, and (2) information revelation has a collective action structure, in particular, the incentives of an agent to reveal decrease with respect to the amount of information disclosed by the other.     

Naive audience and communication bias

We introduce the possibility that the receiver naively believes the sender’s message in a game of information transmission with partially aligned objectives. We characterize an equilibrium in which the communication language is inflated, the action taken is biased, and the information transmitted is more precise than in the benchmark fully-strategic model. We provide comparative statics results with respect to the amount of asymmetric information, the proportion of naive receivers, and the size of the sender’s bias. As the state space grows unbounded, the equilibrium converges to the fully-revealing equilibrium that results in the limit case with unbounded state space.      

Operator-valued free Fisher information and modular frames

We introduce the operator-valued free Fisher information for a random variable in an operator-valued noncommutative probability space and point out its relations to the amalgamated freeness. Using M. Frank and D. Larson's modular frame notion we can construct the conjugate variable for an operator-valued semicircle variable with conditional expectation covariance. Then we obtain its free Fisher information and show it is equal to the index of the conditional expectation. At last the conjugate variable with respect to a modular frame operator for a semicircle variable is also constructed.

     

抗震设防决策中的模糊信息处理

抗震设防决策过程中涉及到许多对整个分析过程都具有重要意义的模糊信息 ,本文提出一种结合模糊信息进行地震危险性概率分析与抗震设防决策的方法 ,介绍了用模糊集模拟模糊信息的原理 ,以及进一步处理模糊信息的区间分析顶点法。作为一例 ,这些方法结合基于泊松分布的地震烈度发生概率模型 ,应用于南京市区未来 5 0年的地震危险性与抗震设防效益分析 ,提供模糊的结论供设防决策参考。     

基于利率市场化的银行贷款竞争导向定价策略研究

本文着重对两个银行之间竞争导向定价策略博弈行为进行了分析，认为在利率管制条件下，银行难以运用利率杠杆在信贷市场进行有效竞争；利率市场化之后，监管者不再对利率进行约束，银行信贷竞争的广度和深度都会随之加大。因此价格竞争将是银行信贷市场竞争的常态。     

电子政务系统中面向公众的个性化信息服务模型

电子政务作为Internet的主要应用领域，已受到世界各国的普遍关注。面对公众各种服务需求日趋个性化，如何打破政府职能机构的条块分割，构建一个一体化的虚拟政府，集成各类信息资源，为公众提供“一站式”的、个性化的服务，是当前电子政务理论和实践的热点课题。本文首先提出一个面向公众的“一站式”服务总体框架；其次，将个性化信息服务的概念引入到电子政务系统中，构建一个个性化信息服务模型；最后，运用数据挖掘技术对模型中的关键技术加以实现。     

The best quadrature formula based on Hermite information for the class KW~2[a,b]

The best quadrature formula has been found in the following sense:for afunction whose norm of the second derivative is bounded by a given constant and thebest quadrature formula for the approximate evaluation of integration of that function canminimize the worst possible error if the values of the function and its derivative at certainnodes are known.The best interpolation formula used to get the quadrature formula aboveis also found.Moreover,we compare the best quadrature formula with the open compoundcorrected trapezoidal formula by theoretical analysis and stochastic experiments.     

物流服务供应商联盟构建及分析

在分析供应链环境下物流服务运作的基础上,建立了信息对称情况下物流服务供应商分散控制和集中控制策略模型,并从物流服务联盟的总体产出效果和物流服务联盟对盟员利润的影响两个方面对其进行了定量分析,结果表明,建立物流服务联盟有利于增加联盟产出,抑制竞争对手的产出;如果物流服务企业之间有增加合作利润的需要,则都有建立联盟的积极性.最后对物流服务联盟的实现机理进行了分析.     

Aggregation of ordinal information

Our interest is with the fusion of information which has an ordinal structure. Information fusion in this environment requires the availability of ordinal aggregation operations. Basic ordinal operations are first introduced. Next we investigate conjunctive and disjunction aggregations of ordinal information. The idea of a pseudo-log in the ordinal environment is presented. We discuss the introduction of a zero like point on an ordinal scale along with the related ideas of bipolarity (positive and negative values) and uni-norm aggregation operators. We introduce mean like aggregation operators as well weighted averages on a ordinal scale. The problem of selecting between ordinal models is considered.