Optimal risk and dividend control of an insurance company with exponential premium principle and liquidation value

Assume that an insurer can control it’s surplus by paying dividends, purchasing reinsurance and injecting capital. The exponential premium principle is used when pricing insurance contract instead of the expected value principle. Under the objective of maximizing the company’s value, we identify the optimal strategies with liquidation value and transaction costs. The results illustrate that the insurer should buy less reinsurance when the surplus increases, capital injection should be considered if and only if the transaction costs and the liquidation value are relatively low, dividends are paid according to barrier strategy if the dividend rate is unrestricted or threshold strategy if the dividend rate is bounded.     

Explicit representations for the expectations of exponential functionals of the multi-factor variance gamma process and their applications

In this paper we discuss exponential functionals of the multi-factor variance gamma (VG) process. This process is a generalization of the well-known VG process. We obtain analytically the expectations of the considered functionals. Derived formulas are based on values of generalized hypergeometric functions. Applications of the established results to option pricing are given.     

基于不确定理论的风险中性测度及其在欧式期权定价中的应用

首先运用不确定理论推导了相应的不确定风险中性测度,修正了已有文献中涨跌期权不满足无套利原则的问题.然后将所得的风险中性测度用于欧式看涨和看跌期权的定价,并验证了涨跌期权价格之间的平价关系.最后研究了一类利差期权的定价问题,结合定义的风险中性测度给出了期权的定价公式.所推导的不确定风险中性测度与经典的无套利原则相吻合,而且考虑到了问题描述过程中存在的不精确性,弥补了单纯依赖随机理论的不足,可广泛地应用于金融衍生品的定价过程,为投资分析提供一定的理论依据.     

零售商回收电子废弃物条件下的定价模型研究

以废旧手机为例,在分散决策和集中决策条件下建立了零售商单独回收的定价模型.然后,分别求得了在分散决策下的Stackelberg均衡解与集中决策时的最优决策,并作了对比分析.结果表明:集中决策下的系统利润优于分散决策下的系统利润.最后,通过数值验证了相关结论.     

Application of the phase‐type mortality law to life contingencies and risk management

The class of phase‐type distributions has recently gained much popularity in insurance applications due to its mathematical tractability and denseness in the class of distributions defined on positive real line. In this paper, we show how to use the phase‐type mortality law as an efficient risk management tool for various life insurance applications. In particular, pure premiums, benefit reserves, and risk‐loaded premiums using CTE for standard life insurance products are shown to be available in analytic forms, leading to efficient computation and straightforward implementation. A way to explicitly determine provisions for adverse deviation for interest rate and mortality is also proposed. Furthermore, we show how the interest rate risk embedded in life insurance portfolios can be analyzed via interest rate sensitivity index and diversification index which are constructed based on the decomposition of portfolio variance. We also consider the applicability of phase‐type mortality law under a few non‐flat term structures of interest rate. Lastly, we explore how other properties of phase‐type distributions may be applied to joint‐life products as well as subgroup risk ordering and pricing within a given pool of insureds. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Combined pricing and inventory control with multiple unreliable suppliers

We study a general finite horizon, periodic review combined inventory and pricing model with N suppliers and T periods, where both the demands and the supply mechanisms are random. The random supply mechanisms are of a general type that includes most structures encountered in practice. Demands are price dependent according to general, stochastic demand functions. We characterize the optimal combined pricing and ordering policies to all N suppliers. The general results pertain to general independent supply mechanisms. Under random capacities—one of the special random supply mechanisms—they also extend to suppliers that are positively dependent on each other.     

基于随机双曲折现的投资消费及效用无差别定价

在随机双曲折现条件下,显式地给出了具有指数函数(CARA)效用的最优跨期消费与投资组合;在非完备市场下,显式给出了基于CARA效用的收益流的效用无差别价格.结果表明:最优投资比例以及收益流的价值不受随机双曲折现因子的影响;在低折扣阶段,本文的最优消费水平高于Merton模型下的对应值,低折扣时期越短或高低折扣值相差越大,消费差距越明显.     

一种无风险利率时变条件下的Black-Scholes期权定价模型

本文研究了无风险利率改进的Black-Scholes期权定价模型问题.利用指数函数和Ito公式的方法,获得了一种改进的Black-Scholes期权定价模型,推广了现有Black-Scholes期权定价模型的结果.     

Network structure,perception level,and participants' welfares

Based on a market consisting of one monopoly and several customers who are embedded in an economic network, we study how the different perception levels about the network structure affect the two kinds of participants' welfares, and then provide some good strategies for the monopoly to mine the information of the network structure. The above question is the embodiment of the “complex structure and its corresponding functions” question often mentioned in the field of complexity science. We apply a two‐stage game to solve for the optimal pricing and consumption at different perception levels of the monopoly and further utilize simulation analysis to explore the influence patterns. We also discuss how this theoretic model can be applied to a real world problem by introducing the statistical exponential random graph model and its estimation method. Further, the main findings have specific policy implications on uncovering network information and demonstrate that it is possible for the policy‐maker to design some win–win mechanisms for uplifting both the monopoly's profit and the whole customers' welfare at the same time. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 21: 349–362, 2015