关于保险精算函数的几点讨论

对目前精算教材中的有关保险精算函数作了较为细致的分析和比较,较为深入地讨论了均衡净保费的责任准备金计算的未来法及过去法的联系.     

约束最小二乘估计的优良性

对于线性模型y=Xθ ε,ε服从椭球等高单峰分布,未知参数θ满足不等式约束a′θ≥0,证明了在参数估计优良性的集中概率准则下,θ的约束最小二乘估计θ~*优于最小二乘估计θ.     

基于模糊评价的学生综合素质挖掘方法

运用数据挖掘思想,运用模糊数学中的综合评判方法对学生信息管理系统中的学生成绩进行挖掘,得到学生综合素质分类,为教育管理中运用数据挖掘这一前沿信息技术提供了示例。     

Age Analysis of Status Updating System with Probabilistic Packet Preemption

The age of information (AoI) metric was proposed to measure the freshness of messages obtained at the terminal node of a status updating system. In this paper, the AoI of a discrete time status updating system with probabilistic packet preemption is investigated by analyzing the steady state of a three-dimensional discrete stochastic process. We assume that the queue used in the system is Ber/Geo/1/2*/η, which represents that the system size is 2 and the packet in the buffer can be preempted by a fresher packet with probability η. Instead of considering the system’s AoI separately, we use a three-dimensional state vector (n,m,l) to simultaneously track the real-time changes of the AoI, the age of a packet in the server, and the age of a packet waiting in the buffer. We give the explicit expression of the system’s average AoI and show that the average AoI of the system without packet preemption is obtained by letting η=0. When η is set to 1, the mean of the AoI of the system with a Ber/Geo/1/2* queue is obtained as well. Combining the results we have obtained and comparing them with corresponding average continuous AoIs, we propose a possible relationship between the average discrete AoI with the Ber/Geo/1/c queue and the average continuous AoI with the M/M/1/c queue. For each of two extreme cases where η=0 and η=1, we also determine the stationary distribution of AoI using the probability generation function (PGF) method. The relations between the average AoI and the packet preemption probability η, as well as the AoI’s distribution curves in two extreme cases, are illustrated by numerical simulations. Notice that the probabilistic packet preemption may occur, for example, in an energy harvest (EH) node of a wireless sensor network, where the packet in the buffer can be replaced only when the node collects enough energy. In particular, to exhibit the usefulness of our idea and methods and highlight the merits of considering discrete time systems, in this paper, we provide detailed discussions showing how the results about continuous AoI are derived by analyzing the corresponding discrete time system and how the discrete age analysis is generalized to the system with multiple sources. In terms of packet service process, we also propose an idea to analyze the AoI of a system when the service time distribution is arbitrary.     

Open-Source Browser-Based Tools for Structure-Based Computer-Aided Drug Discovery

We here outline the importance of open-source, accessible tools for computer-aided drug discovery (CADD). We begin with a discussion of drug discovery in general to provide context for a subsequent discussion of structure-based CADD applied to small-molecule ligand discovery. Next, we identify usability challenges common to many open-source CADD tools. To address these challenges, we propose a browser-based approach to CADD tool deployment in which CADD calculations run in modern web browsers on users’ local computers. The browser app approach eliminates the need for user-initiated download and installation, ensures broad operating system compatibility, enables easy updates, and provides a user-friendly graphical user interface. Unlike server apps—which run calculations “in the cloud” rather than on users’ local computers—browser apps do not require users to upload proprietary information to a third-party (remote) server. They also eliminate the need for the difficult-to-maintain computer infrastructure required to run user-initiated calculations remotely. We conclude by describing some CADD browser apps developed in our lab, which illustrate the utility of this approach. Aside from introducing readers to these specific tools, we are hopeful that this review highlights the need for additional browser-compatible, user-friendly CADD software.     

有雨概率与分维数关系的初步研究

对武汉地区１９８２～１９９４年有雨分维数与有雨概率之间的关系进行了初步的分析和研究，并给出了研究结果．为今后修改降雨衰减预报模型作准备．     

关联规则增量式更新的改进算法

关联规则是数据挖掘中的重要研究内容之一，对在事务数据库不变，只对最小支持度和最小可信度进行改变的情况下，针对关联规则的维护问题，设计了一个增量式更新的改进算法AIUA。     

基于关联规则和技术功效矩阵的企业技术创新机会发现和辅助决策方法

为助力科技型创新企业准确且快速地从外部捕获创新技术机会, 提出一种企业技术机会发现和辅助决策方法. 首先, 挖掘领域内的技术热点、技术重点和有潜力的技术作为领域技术创新机会. 然后, 通过关联规则分析领域技术机会和企业已有技术之间的相关性, 进一步结合技术掌握度和新颖度, 识别更适合企业的技术创新机会. 最后, 创新性地采用Sen-BERT语言模型和K-means聚类方法构建技术功效矩阵, 辅助企业从功能需求的角度进行技术创新决策. 以电动汽车领域为例验证了该方法的可行性.     

7-Aminoalkoxy-Quinazolines from Epigenetic Focused Libraries Are Potent and Selective Inhibitors of DNA Methyltransferase 1

Inhibitors of epigenetic writers such as DNA methyltransferases (DNMTs) are attractive compounds for epigenetic drug and probe discovery. To advance epigenetic probes and drug discovery, chemical companies are developing focused libraries for epigenetic targets. Based on a knowledge-based approach, herein we report the identification of two quinazoline-based derivatives identified in focused libraries with sub-micromolar inhibition of DNMT1 (30 and 81 nM), more potent than S-adenosylhomocysteine. Also, both compounds had a low micromolar affinity of DNMT3A and did not inhibit DNMT3B. The enzymatic inhibitory activity of DNMT1 and DNMT3A was rationalized with molecular modeling. The quinazolines reported in this work are known to have low cell toxicity and be potent inhibitors of the epigenetic target G9a. Therefore, the quinazoline-based compounds presented are attractive not only as novel potent inhibitors of DNMTs but also as dual and selective epigenetic agents targeting two families of epigenetic writers.     

超强激光场中氘原子电离几率的研究

研究了在相对论领域内,超强激光场的不同条件（频率、强度、脉冲波形磁场分量）对氘原子电离几率的影响,研究表明：电离几率随激光强度的增加而增加,随激光频率的增加而减少。而激光脉冲波形对电离几率的影响仅在激光无磁场分量时比较显著。激光场的磁场分量对原子的电离有一定的影响。