Visualizing parameters from loglinear models

Summary  This paper presents a graphical display for the parameters resulting from loglinear models. Loglinear models provide a method for analyzing associations between two or several categorical variables and have become widely accepted as a tool for researchers during the last two decades. An important part of the output of any computer program focused on loglinear models is that devoted to estimation of parameters in the model. Traditionally, this output has been presented using tables that indicate the values of the coefficients, the associated standard errors and other related information. Evaluation of these tables can be rather tedious because of the number of values shown as well as their rather complicated structure, mainly when the analyst needs to consider several models before reaching a model with a good fit. Therefore, a graphical display summarizing tables of parameters could be of great help in this situation. In this paper we put forward an interactive dynamic graphical display that could be used in such fashion.     

污染数据线性回归模型参数估计的两个问题

研究了简单回归模型中响应变量在某一时刻受到另一随机变量序列污染时,模型参数和污染系数的估计方法及其相合性与渐近正态性,并证明了第Ⅰ类污染数据回归模型在假定22σ=l221σ(其中21σ和22σ未知,l2已知)下,其参数的矩估计不存在.     

Multidimensional Scaling With Very Large Datasets

Multidimensional scaling has a wide range of applications when observations are not continuous but it is possible to define a distance (or dissimilarity) among them. However, standard implementations are limited when analyzing very large datasets because they rely on eigendecomposition of the full distance matrix and require very long computing times and large quantities of memory. Here, a new approach is developed based on projection of the observations in a space defined by a subset of the full dataset. The method is easily implemented. A simulation study showed that its performance are satisfactory in different situations and can be run in a short time when the standard method takes a very long time or cannot be run because of memory requirements.     

Spectral estimation of the Lévy density in partially observed affine models

The problem of estimating the Lévy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the conditional characteristic function of an affine process and local linear smoothing in time. We derive almost sure uniform rates of convergence for the estimated Lévy density both in mixed-frequency and low-frequency setups and prove that these rates are optimal in the minimax sense. Finally, the performance of the estimation algorithms is illustrated in the case of the Bates stochastic volatility model.     

Analysis of ordered categorical data to develop control charts for monitoring customer loyalty

In the highly competitive business environment of today, the cost to attract new customers is much higher than the cost required to maintain the existing ones. To keep the balance between the acquisition rate and defection rate through executing offensive and defensive marketing policies, it is required to have real time information using an efficient method to monitor customer loyalty. The relationship between customer loyalty and customer satisfaction should be kept in mind when one develops a method for loyalty monitoring. This paper presents several control charts classified in two groups based on the scale used to assess customer loyalty. In the first group of control charts, customer loyalty is considered as a binary random variable modeled by Bernoulli distribution whilst in the second group, an ordinal scale is considered to report loyalty level. Performance comparison of the proposed techniques using ARL criterion indicates that chi‐square and likelihood‐ratio control charts developed based on Pearson chi‐square statistic and ordinal logistic regression model respectively are able to rapidly detect the significant changes in loyalty behavior. To show how to apply the procedures and how to interpret their results, two illustrative synthetic cases are also explained. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

High frequency forcing on nonlinear systems

High-frequency signals are pervasive in many science and engineering fields.In this work,the effect of high-frequency driving on general nonlinear systems is investigated,and an effective equation for slow motion is derived by extending the inertial approximation for the direct separation of fast and slow motions.Based on this theory,a high-frequency force can induce various phase transitions of a system by changing its amplitude and frequency.Numerical simulations on several nonlinear oscillator systems show a very good agreement with the theoretic results.These findings may shed light on our understanding of the dynamics of nonlinear systems subject to a periodic force.     

A simple construction of optimal estimation in multivariate marginal Cox regression

The multivariate extension of the Cox model proposed by Wei,Lin and Weissfeld in 1989 has been widely used for analyzing multivariate survival data.Under the model assumption,failure times from an individual are assumed to marginally follow their respective proportional hazards regression relation,leaving the joint distribution completely unspecified.This paper presents a simple approach to efficiency improvement through segmentation of stochastic integrals in the marginal estimating equations and incorporation of the limiting covariance structure.It is shown that when partition of the time interval is done at a suitable rate,the resulting estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal.Through the reproducing kernel Hilbert space arising from the covariance function of the limiting Gaussian process,it is also shown that the proposed estimator is asymptotically optimal within a reasonable class of estimators under marginal specification.Simulations are conducted to assess the finite-sample performance of the proposed method.     

A note on the compactness of the index set in convex optimization. Application to metric regularity

We consider the linear quadratic optimal control problem in the infinite time horizon case for a class of discrete-time systems controlled by a continuous inputs. We show that, under certain hypothesis, the Hilbert uniqueness method can be used to determine the optimal control.     

A Factor Analysis Perspective on Linear Regression in the ‘More Predictors than Samples’ Case

Linear regression (LR) is a core model in supervised machine learning performing a regression task. One can fit this model using either an analytic/closed-form formula or an iterative algorithm. Fitting it via the analytic formula becomes a problem when the number of predictors is greater than the number of samples because the closed-form solution contains a matrix inverse that is not defined when having more predictors than samples. The standard approach to solve this issue is using the Moore–Penrose inverse or the L2 regularization. We propose another solution starting from a machine learning model that, this time, is used in unsupervised learning performing a dimensionality reduction task or just a density estimation one—factor analysis (FA)—with one-dimensional latent space. The density estimation task represents our focus since, in this case, it can fit a Gaussian distribution even if the dimensionality of the data is greater than the number of samples; hence, we obtain this advantage when creating the supervised counterpart of factor analysis, which is linked to linear regression. We also create its semisupervised counterpart and then extend it to be usable with missing data. We prove an equivalence to linear regression and create experiments for each extension of the factor analysis model. The resulting algorithms are either a closed-form solution or an expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm. The latter is linked to information theory by optimizing a function containing a Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence or the entropy of a random variable.