市场低迷时期证券投资风险的度量

当股票市场处于疲软状态，即通常所说的熊市时，证券投资风险的评估和规避就显得尤为重要。本从保险中的破产理论出发，运用复合泊松过程的方法，在一个事例的基础上，提出一种当市场比较疲软时在短期内评估投资风险的方法，并以2002年9月2日到2002年12月31日这79个交易日中具有代表性的一支股票——深发展(000001)为例，进行了模型的求解和分析，并在此基础上提出了几套改进模型的方案和本方法的扩展应用。     

对Treynor-Black投资组合模型的推广

Treynor-Black在1973年给出了一种不考虑交易成本，没有卖空、投资比例限制的基于单指数模型投资组合构建方法[1]，该模型这种方法相比Markowitzl952年的方法更为简单，并且容易推广。本将该模型的限制卖空和具有投资比例限制以及多因子的情形，推广的结果使得该模型在实际投资中更为适用。     

状态信息不确定的组合投资决策方法

本将组合投资理论与不确定型决策方法结合起来，提出了在未来自然状态不确定的情形下的组合投资决策模型，并给出了应用案例。     

我国科技投入对GDP拉动效应的实证分析

文章通过研究我国科技投入与经济增长之间的依存关系,建立了相关的计量经济学模型,利用模型测算出我国科技投入对经济增长的拉动效应,并在此基础上提出相应的政策建议.     

Program portfolio selection for reducing prioritized security risks

The methodology presented here solves an R&D program portfolio selection problem that arises in critical infrastructure protection and similar security risk reduction problems. It requires priorities to be assigned to the risks, existing risk levels to be assessed, and the effectiveness of alternative risk reduction programs to be estimated. A lexicographic optimization procedure involving mixed integer programming with preemptive priorities is developed and illustrated, and extensions are discussed.     

Decision-Making for Long Memory Data in Technical-Economic Design, Fractals and Decision Area Bubbles

Economic and management theories are very often based in their applications on the perception of homogeneity of the application space. The purpose of this article is to query such a conviction and indicate new possible directions of discipline development. The article deals with symbiosis of process and his steering model as a process of management. It is possible that in relative near future it will be necessary to accept approaches and changes in interpretations of decision-making. Applications of fractals can be one of the interesting stimulations.     

延迟期权与风险投资决策研究

本在传统投资方法基础上，通过引入延迟期权定价理论，建立风险投资项目时机选择模型，增加了风险投资项目决策的科学性。     

投资项目的期权评价与最优投资规则

本文介绍了不确定环境下的投资项目的期权评价方法和最优投资规则，研究了单期项目和连续投资项目的投资决策问题，探讨了实物期权评价方法与传统的净现值评价方法中最优投资规则的差异，并对影响最优投资规则的差异因素进行了敏感性分析，得出了直观而有实用价值的结论。     

Control of ruin probabilities by discrete-time investments

The control problem of controlling ruin probabilities by investments in a financial market is studied. The insurance business is described by the usual Cramer-Lundberg-type model and the risk driver of the financial market is a compound Poisson process. Conditions for investments to be profitable are derived by means of discrete-time dynamic programming. Moreover Lundberg bounds are established for the controlled model.     

有交易成本的模糊最优化投资

本文针对交易成本在证券组合投资中的重要地位 ,提出了考虑交易成本 ,并兼顾收益与风险的模糊最优化投资模型 ,分析了交易成本对投资有效边界的影响 ,并给出了最优投资比例公式 .这对投资者进行投资有重要的理论与实践意义 .最后 ,通过释例进行了说明 .