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61.
62.
S. Juneja 《Queueing Systems》2007,57(2-3):115-127
Efficient estimation of tail probabilities involving heavy tailed random variables is amongst the most challenging problems
in Monte-Carlo simulation. In the last few years, applied probabilists have achieved considerable success in developing efficient
algorithms for some such simple but fundamental tail probabilities. Usually, unbiased importance sampling estimators of such
tail probabilities are developed and it is proved that these estimators are asymptotically efficient or even possess the desirable
bounded relative error property. In this paper, as an illustration, we consider a simple tail probability involving geometric
sums of heavy tailed random variables. This is useful in estimating the probability of large delays in M/G/1 queues. In this setting we develop an unbiased estimator whose relative error decreases to zero asymptotically. The key
idea is to decompose the probability of interest into a known dominant component and an unknown small component. Simulation
then focuses on estimating the latter ‘residual’ probability. Here we show that the existing conditioning methods or importance
sampling methods are not effective in estimating the residual probability while an appropriate combination of the two estimates
it with bounded relative error. As a further illustration of the proposed ideas, we apply them to develop an estimator for
the probability of large delays in stochastic activity networks that has an asymptotically zero relative error.
相似文献
63.
Satya Prakash 《Pramana》1989,33(1):109-131
This article summarizes the recent radiochemical investigations on mass, charge kinetic energy and fragment angular distributions
in low energy fission of actinides. 相似文献
64.
If g and G are the pdf and the cdf of a distribution symmetric around 0 then the pdf 2g(u)G(λ
u) is said to define a skew distribution. In this paper, we provide a mathematical treatment of the skew distributions when
g and G are taken to come from one of Pearson type II, Pearson type VII or the generalized t distribution.
相似文献
65.
介绍一种二元阈值方法在股票指数上的应用 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
二元极值的阈值方法的一个发展是用来考虑两个变量的联合分布。这个方法是建立在二元极值的点过程表示法的基础上。本文用参数 (Logistic模型 )和非参数模型对 1992 1999年的上海、深圳日收盘指数对数收益进行分析并给出分析结果。 相似文献
66.
本文研究了未知分布的逼近问题,利用随机加权法,给出了有Edgeworth展式的一类(未知)分布的模拟分布,证明了在一定条件下,模拟分布与未知分布的逼近精度达到O(n^-1√lnlnn),称之为随机加权逼近的重对数律。 相似文献
67.
We consider a retrial queue with a finite buffer of size N, with arrivals of ordinary units and of negative units (which cancel one ordinary unit), both assumed to be Markovian arrival
processes. The service requirements are of phase type. In addition, a PHL,N bulk service discipline is assumed. This means that the units are served in groups of size at least L, where 1≤ L≤ N. If at the completion of a service fewer than L units are present at the buffer, the server switches off and waits until the buffer length reaches the threshold L. Then it switches on and initiates service for such a group of units. On the contrary, if at the completion of a service
L or more units are present at the buffer, all units enter service as a group. Units arriving when the buffer is full are not
lost, but they join a group of unsatisfied units called “orbit”. Our interest is in the continuous-time Markov chain describing
the state of the queue at arbitrary times, which constitutes a level dependent quasi-birth-and-death process. We start by
analyzing a simplified version of our queueing model, which is amenable to numerical calculation and is based on spatially
homogeneous quasi-birth-and-death processes. This leads to modified matrix-geometric formulas that reveal the basic qualitative
properties of our algorithmic approach for computing performance measures.
AMS Subject Classification: Primary 60K25 Secondary 68M20 90B22. 相似文献
68.
The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First, we introduce a new asymptotic expansion in the exponent for the compound binomial
approximation of the generalized Poisson binomial distribution. The dependence of its accuracy on the symmetry and shifting
of distributions is investigated. Second, for compound binomial and compound Poisson distributions, we present new smoothness
estimates, some of which contain explicit constants. Finally, the ideas used in this paper enable us to prove new precise
bounds in the compound Poisson approximation.
Published in Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, Vol. 46, No. 1, pp. 67–110, January–March, 2006. 相似文献
69.
Carsten Franz 《Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society》2006,134(8):2437-2446
A method to approximate the eigenvalues of linear operators depending on an unknown distribution is introduced and applied to weighted sums of squared normally distributed random variables. This area of application includes the approximation of the asymptotic null distribution of certain degenerated U- and V-statistics.
70.
相型同步启动时间的M/M/c排队系统 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
本文研究带有同步启动时间的M/M/c系统,其中启动时间是相型变量,给出了稳态和等待时间分布等结果。 相似文献