径流中长期预报模糊识别优化模型及应用

对水文中长期预报模糊识别方法进一步研究,基于模糊环境下的目标函数,提出了具有主观监督因子和稳定系数的模糊识别预报模型.根据已知样本的最优模糊划分建立预报模型,利用已知样本的指标和样本的最优模糊划分计算预报模型的参数,给定模型的稳定系数,再通过调整主观监督因子对预报模型参数进行优化.径流中长期预报实例的模型检验平均相对误差为7.84%.     

不确定条件下工程项目的多目标模糊均衡优化

在工程项目多目标优化问题研究基础上,研究不确定环境下工程项目多目标均衡优化问题.利用模糊数表示费用变化率和质量变化率,考虑模糊集的不同可能性水平,建立工程项目多目标模糊均衡优化模型,给出模型的求解方法和步骤,得到不同可能性水平下多目标优化问题的最优折衷解变化范围.优化方法使决策者能够根据决策风险的大小进行最优目标值的确定.     

模糊数的正向和反向表述及模糊数运算的拓展

模糊数运算的存在不可逆等问题,主要在于传统(正向)区间数严格限定所致.因此,提出了"反向区间数"的概念,利用该概念,能够给经典模糊分解定理、扩张原理新的表达形式.之后,分别以正(反)向区间为基础,分析模糊数的结构元表达形式,得到正(反)向区间对应结构元理论中单调增(减)函数.定义了反向区间数和反向区间数加、乘运算法则,利用结构元理论,证明了正、反向模糊数的加、乘运算解析表达式,得到了模糊方程解的判断定理.在保持传统运算法则不变的同时,对模糊数概念进行正(反)向的表述,并定义了二者的运算法则,这拓展了传统模糊数解的空间,进而解决模糊方程求解、不可逆等问题.通过算例看出,这两种表述在实际的计算过程中具有明显的意义.     

110警车配置及巡逻方案

针对110警车调度问题,引入了图论中的最短路算法以及计算几何的相关理论,建立了车辆调配模型、巡逻路线模型以及基于模糊数学的评价指标模型.另外,用C++编写了一个可视化的软件,不仅实现了手动描点,自动求出覆盖线段集合的功能,同时利用计算机模拟警车的巡逻路线,最后通过计算机检验得到结果,其合理性和实用性都令人满意.针对问题一,通过人机结合,配置17辆警车就能实现D1的目标,很好地兼顾了警车巡逻的运行成本,减少公安部门车辆和人员等的投入.针对问题二,采用模糊数学相关理论使评价指标实现了从定性到定量的转变.针对问题三和六,在D1的基础上,兼顾了巡逻效果的显著性,采用最少被巡逻道路优先的贪心算法建立了动态巡逻模型,得到了合理的巡逻方案.在此方案中,我们动用了30辆警车完成了问题一的目标.另外还额外考虑了案发事件概率不均匀分布的情况,建立了改进模型.针对问题四,在完成问题三指标的基础上,为了尽可能提高巡逻车辆的隐蔽性和增强巡逻效果,采用轮盘赌算法来引入随机性.针对问题五,采用最远距离道路优先贪心策略,使模型尽可能满足条件D1,D2.针对问题七,提出了一些额外因素及其解决方案,进一步完善了模型,使模型更贴近现实.     

Synchronization of Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy stochastic discrete-time complex networks with mixed time-varying delays

In this paper, we propose and investigate a new general model of fuzzy stochastic discrete-time complex networks (SDCNs) described by Takagi–Sugeno (T–S) fuzzy model with discrete and distributed time-varying delays. The proposed model takes some well-studied models as special cases. By employing a new Lyapunov functional candidate, we utilize some stochastic analysis techniques and Kronecker product to deduce delay-dependent synchronization criteria that ensure the mean-square synchronization of the proposed T–S fuzzy SDCNs with mixed time-varying delays. These sufficient conditions are computationally efficient as it can be solved numerically by the LMI toolbox in Matlab. A numerical simulation example is provided to verify the effectiveness and the applicability of the proposed approach.     

Fuzzy decision-making method based on the weighted correlation coefficient under intuitionistic fuzzy environment

A multicriteria fuzzy decision-making method based on weighted correlation coefficients using entropy weights is proposed under intuitionistic fuzzy environment for some situations where the information about criteria weights for alternatives is completely unknown. To determine the entropy weights with respect to a set of criteria represented by intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFSs), we establish an entropy weight model, which can be used to get the criteria weights, and then propose an evaluation formula of weighted correlation coefficient between an alternative and the ideal alternative. The alternatives can be ranked and the most desirable one(s) can be selected according to the weighted correlation coefficients. Finally, two illustrative examples demonstrate the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed method.     

基于核的区间直觉模糊信息集成的一类算子及其决策应用

定义了区间数核、区间直觉模糊数核的概念.并以此为基础,提出了区间直觉模糊数表示的模糊信息的几个集成算子:IIFKWA,IIFKWG,IIFKOWA IIFKOWG,IIFKHA,IIFKHG,研究了算子性质.探讨了集成算子在多属性决策中的应用,算例分析表明其具有可行性与有效性.     

含一般模糊弹性约束的广义模糊变量线性规划

建立并讨论了一类含有一般模糊弹性约束的广义模糊变量线性规划问题.首先,简单介绍了结构元方法并对结构元加权排序中权函数表征决策者风险态度进行了深入分析.然后选取风险中性的决策者来定义序关系,应用Verdegay模糊线性规划方法将含一般模糊弹性约束的广义模糊变量线性规划转化经典的线性规划问题,简化了原问题的求解.最后通过数值算例进一步说明了该方法的有效性.     

Forecasting stock index price based on M-factors fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization

In real time, one observation always relies on several observations. To improve the forecasting accuracy, all these observations can be incorporated in forecasting models. Therefore, in this study, we have intended to introduce a new Type-2 fuzzy time series model that can utilize more observations in forecasting. Later, this Type-2 model is enhanced by employing particle swarm optimization (PSO) technique. The main motive behind the utilization of the PSO with the Type-2 model is to adjust the lengths of intervals in the universe of discourse that are employed in forecasting, without increasing the number of intervals. The daily stock index price data set of SBI (State Bank of India) is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. The proposed model is also validated by forecasting the daily stock index price of Google. Our experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed model in comparison with existing fuzzy time series models and conventional time series models.     

Exact analytical inversion of TSK fuzzy systems with singleton and linear consequents

In literature, exact inversion methods for TSK fuzzy systems exist only for the systems with singleton consequents. These methods have binding limitations such as strong triangular partitioning, monotonic rule bases and/or invertibility check. These extra limitations lessen the modeling capabilities of the TSK fuzzy systems. In this study, an exact analytical inversion method for TSK fuzzy systems with singleton and linear consequents is presented. The only limitation of the proposed method is that the inversion variable should be represented by piecewise linear membership functions (PWL-MFs). In this case, the universe of discourse of the inversion variable is divided into specific regions in which only one linear piece exists for each PWL-MF at most. In the proposed method, the analytical formulation of TSK fuzzy system is expressed in terms of the inversion variable by using linear equations of PWL-MFs. Thus, the fuzzy system output in any region can be obtained by using the appropriate parameters of the linear equations of PWL-MFs defined within the related region. This expression provides a way to obtain linear and quadratic equations in terms of the inversion variable for TSK fuzzy systems with singleton and linear consequents, respectively. So, it becomes very easy to find exact inverse solutions for each region by using explicit analytical solutions for linear or quadratic equations. The proposed inversion method has been illustrated through simulation examples.