Mental representations of important real-life decisions

Two studies investigated how decision makers characterize alternatives in important real-life decisions, which they themselves had made (to leave a partner, to choose an education and to choose a home). First, the participants indicated a very high degree of involvement in the decisions studied and about half of the participants gave maximum involvement ratings for the partner decision. Second, the results showed that concepts that are essential in most decision theories, such as, consequence, probability and value were important characteristics of the decisions. Third, emotion, positive and negative affect were also important characteristics. Fourth, value and emotion were uncorrelated. Fifth, the patterns of characteristics of decisions made in the past did not differ markedly from the characteristics given to future decisions. Principal component analyses were performed on the ratings of applicability of the different characteristics across participants for each decision situation. Three factors were extracted. There was one factor for positive affect/emotions and another factor for negative affect/emotions verified in oblique solutions. Thus, different scales are needed to represent emotion/affect components (and not bipolar scales) in real-life important decisions. The third factor represented the way in which a decision was represented (moving pictures dialogue etc.). An analysis restricted to the participants who rated 100% involvement showed an additional fourth factor with “what others would think”, “similar situations”, “values” and “money” as the most prominent characteristics. This points to the importance of controlling for participant involvement in studies of human decision making to enable generalizations to real-life decisions.     

排球比赛中的二传最优过程

为了研究排球比赛中的二传最优过程 ,本文基于决策论的理论和方法建立了排球二传最优过程的数学模型 .通过对模型的分析研究分别给出了最大概率准则和最大期望准则下的最优传球方式 .本文所得到的结果对排球队的训练和比赛有一定的指导意义 .     

Optimal production and rationing decisions in supply chains with information sharing

This paper considers a two-echelon capacitated supply chain with two non-identical retailers and information sharing. We characterize the optimal inventory policies. We also study the benefits of the optimal stock rationing policy over the first come first served (FCFS) and the modified echelon-stock rationing (MESR) policies.     

凸域内弦的平均长度

本文研究了凸域内弦的平均长度.通过广义支持函数与凸域的弦幂积分,建立了凸域内弦的平均长度的一般公式,并用此公式得出了圆域和矩形域内弦的平均长度.     

Feature Selection using Fuzzy Support Vector Machines

The feature selection consists of obtaining a subset of these features to optimally realize the task without the irrelevant ones. Since it can provide faster and cost-effective learning machines and also improve the prediction performance of the predictors, it is a crucial step in machine learning. The feature selection methods using support machines have obtained satisfactory results, but the noises and outliers often reduce the performance. In this paper, we propose a feature selection approach using fuzzy support vector machines and compare it with the previous work, the results of experiments on the UCI data sets show that feature selection using fuzzy SVM obtains better results than using SVM.     

REM树脂的制备及亲核加成应用研究

用Mitsunobu反应及丙烯酰氯酰化反应制备了用于固相有机合成的载体REM树脂，将REM树脂与苄胺加成，考查了所合成REM树脂的反应性能，并通过元素分析测定氮含量，推出REM树脂的烯丙基固载量。利用所合成的REM树脂进行了与胺、酚的加成反应动力学研究。结果表明，REM树脂与脂肪族伯胺和促胺的加成反应能够进行，与苯胺不发生反应；REM树脂与酚不能发生亲核加成反应。     

基于SVM局部后验概率融合方法研究

研究了基于支持向量机的后验概率的应用,提出了对样本集进行分解,以产生局部后验概率,根据模式的稳健性对局部后验概率进行凸组合融合的方法.     

On the Evaluation of Uncertain Courses of Action

We consider the problem of decision making under uncertainty. The fuzzy measure is introduced as a general way of representing available information about the uncertainty. It is noted that generally in uncertain environments the problem of comparing alternative courses of action is difficult because of the multiplicity of possible outcomes for any action. One approach is to convert this multiplicity of possible of outcomes associated with an alternative into a single value using a valuation function. We describe various ways of providing a valuation function when the uncertainty is represented using a fuzzy measure. We then specialize these valuation functions to the cases of probabilistic and possibilistic uncertainty.     

完全可分的三元系TS(v,4)的支撑集

§ 1　 IntroductionA triple system of order v and indexλ,denoted by TS(v,λ) ,is a collection of3- ele-mentsubsets Aof a v- set X,so thatevery 2 - subsetof X appears in preciselyλ subsets of A.L etλ≥ 2 and (X,A) be a TS(v,λ) .If Acan be partitioned into t(≥ 2 ) parts A1,A2 ,...,Atsuch that each (X,Ai) is a TS(v,λi) for 1≤ i≤ t,then (X,A) is called de-composable.Otherwise it is indecomposable.If t=λ,λi=1for 1≤ i≤ t,the TS(v,λ) (X,A) is called completely decomposable.It …     

加热炉热过程动态操作数学模型

根据加热炉生产特点,建立了钢坯加热过程的动态操作数学模型,分析了待轧时间变化时炉内钢坯温度分布情况。并针对加热炉待轧的灰色性,采用多目标灰色局势决策方法,得出了相应合理的待轧优化控制策略。模拟结果表明:该方法具有良好的动态性能,适合于在线控制。