我国居民收入、人口、教育、财政政策和货币政策与居民消费模型的实证分析

本文从影响消费的各个因素:居民收入、人口、教育、国家宏观政策等着手,对各因素进行了相关分析,运用多元统计中的岭回归估计法建立消费模型。从定量和定性分析的角度,分析了我国居民消费水平、居民收入、人口增长率、各层次教育、国家财政支出和银行利率等相关因素之间相互影响的数量变动关系和内在规律,就如何提高居民消费水平促进经济协调发展提出若干对策。     

Lehmer序列中的平方数

设V_n(R,Q)表示参数为R和Q的Lehmer伴随序列,如果R和Q为互素奇数且D=R-4Q>0,我们找出了满足Q_n(R,Q)或nQ_n(R,Q)是平方数的所有奇数n,这里Q_n(R,Q)R~(1/2)=V_n(R,Q)。     

A new algorithm for fixed design regression and denoising

In this paper, we present a new algorithm to estimate a regression function in a fixed design regression model, by piecewise (standard and trigonometric) polynomials computed with an automatic choice of the knots of the subdivision and of the degrees of the polynomials on each sub-interval. First we give the theoretical background underlying the method: the theoretical performances of our penalized least-squares estimator are based on non-asymptotic evaluations of a mean-square type risk. Then we explain how the algorithm is built and possibly accelerated (to face the case when the number of observations is great), how the penalty term is chosen and why it contains some constants requiring an empirical calibration. Lastly, a comparison with some well-known or recent wavelet methods is made: this brings out that our algorithm behaves in a very competitive way in term of denoising and of compression.     

Partially Strictly Monotone and Nonlinear Penalty Functions for Constrained Mathematical Programs

We introduce the concept of partially strictly monotone functions and apply it to construct a class of nonlinear penalty functions for a constrained optimization problem. This class of nonlinear penalty functions includes some (nonlinear) penalty functions currently used in the literature as special cases. Assuming that the perturbation function is lower semi-continuous, we prove that the sequence of optimal values of nonlinear penalty problems converges to that of the original constrained optimization problem. First-order and second-order necessary optimality conditions of nonlinear penalty problems are derived by converting the optimality of penalty problems into that of a smooth constrained vector optimization problem. This approach allows for a concise derivation of optimality conditions of nonlinear penalty problems. Finally, we prove that each limit point of the second-order stationary points of the nonlinear penalty problems is a second-order stationary point of the original constrained optimization problem.     

Space–time integrated least squares: a time‐marching approach

A time‐marching formulation is derived from the space–time integrated least squares (STILS) method for solving a pure hyperbolic convection equation and is numerically compared to various known methods. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

半参数回归模型估计的平均相合性

在误差序列为Lqmixingale情形下，给出了半参数回归模型中β和g(t)估计，研究了估计量的q阶平均相合性在较一般的条件下，得到了理想的结果     

高阶微商系统Dirac猜想的一个反例

由扩展正则作用量导出了高阶微商奇异Lagrange量系统的扩展正则Noether恒等式.从广义约束Hamilton系统相空间中对称性分析，给出高阶微商系统Dirac猜想的一个反例. 用正则Noether定理、 正则Noether恒等式和扩展正则Noether恒等式说明在此反例中Dirac猜想失效, 讨论中没有将约束线性化. 关键词： 高阶微商系统 约束Hamilton系统 正则对称性 Dirac猜想     

半参数回归模型中小波估计的随机加权逼近速度

把小波光滑方法和随机加权方法结合在一起，获得了半参数回归模型中参数分量的小波估计的随机加权逼近速度为σ(n^-1/2)。因此，从大样本意义上说，小波光滑方法和随机加权方法对半参数回归模型是可用的。     

Making Use of Incomplete Observations for Regression in Bivariate Normal Model

Two estimates of the regression coefficient in bivariate normal distribution are considered: the usual one based on a sample and a new one making use of additional observations of one of the variables. They are compared with respect to variance. The same is done for two regression lines. The conclusion is that the additional observations are worth using only when the sample is very small.     

A statistical study of the analysis of congested spectra by total spectrum fitting

Heavily overlapped, or congested spectra often display much structure but few individual “lines.” Methods have been devised for analyzing such spectra through nonlinear least-squares fitting of the intensity as a function of wavelength or wavenumber. Such total spectrum fitting (TSF) methods are examined statistically for a simple diatomic model and compared with the standard “measure-assign-fit” (MAF) approach in use since the dawn of spectroscopy. Monte Carlo computations on typically 1000 synthetic spectra at a time verify that the predictions of the variance-covariance matrix are reliable under many circumstances. However in regions where the P and R branches double up, the predicted standard errors in the key spectroscopic constants rise sharply and greatly exceed estimates from the Monte Carlo ensemble statistics. In the same regions, the MAF method actually gives better precision. However, for imperfectly overlapped R and P branches, the MAF standard errors are typically three times larger than the TSF values; moreover, the MAF statistical errors are dwarfed by bias. The TSF approach, while clearly superior in these tests, has a practical drawback: it, too, can give significant bias if the spectra are analyzed with an incorrect model, as illustrated here through calculations employing the wrong function to describe the spectral lineshape.