The asymptotic equivalence of Bayes and maximum likelihood estimation

Let (X, $\text{A}$) be a measurable space, Θ ? $\text{R}$ an open interval and P_Ω ∥ $\text{A}$, Ω ? Θ, a family of probability measures fulfilling certain regularity conditions. Let $\text{Ω}{}_{\mathrm{n}}$ be the maximum likelihood estimate for the sample size n. Let λ be a prior distribution on Θ and let $\text{R}{}_{\mathrm{<mtext>n,</mtext><mtext>x</mtext>}}$ be the posterior distribution for the sample size n given $\text{x}\text{? X}{}^{\mathrm{n}}$. $\text{L:}\text{Θ}\text{× Θ →}\text{R}$ denotes a loss function fulfilling certain regularity conditions and T_n denotes the Bayes estimate relative to λ and L for the sample size n. It is proved that for every compact K ? Θ there exists c_K ≥ 0 such that

This theorem improves results of Bickel and Yahav [3], and Ibragimov and Has'minskii [4], as far as the speed of convergence is concerned.     

On the ν-dimensional one-component classical plasma: The thermodynamic limit problem revisited

We prove theH-stability property and the existence of the thermodynamic limit of the free energy density of the two-dimensional, one-component classical plasma. We give lower and upper bounds on the free energy density in any dimensionv and draw some consequences.     

Modified Wave Particle Duality and Black Hole Physics

de Broglie relation is revisited, in consideration of a generalization of canonical commuting relation. The possible effects on particle's localization and black hole physics are also discussed, in a heuristic manner.     

Oblique Perforation of Thick Metallic Plates by Rigid Projectiles

Oblique perforation of thick metallic plates by rigid projectiles with various nose shapes is studied in this paper. Two perforation mechanisms, i.e., the hole enlargement for a sharp projectile nose and the plugging formation for a blunt projectile nose, are considered in the proposed analytical model. It is shown that the perforation of a thick plate is dominated by several non-dimensional numbers, i.e., the impact function, the geometry function of projectile, the non-dimensional thickness of target and the impact obliquity. Explicit formulae are obtained to predict the ballistic limit, residual velocity and directional change for the oblique perforation of thick metallic plates. The proposed model is able to predict the critical condition for the occurrence of ricochet. The proposed model is validated by comparing the predictions with other existing models and independent experimental data.The English text was polished by Keren Wang     

巴斯卡分布参数p的置信区间

讨论了巴斯卡分布与Beta分布的联系,并通过F分布的分位点给出了参数p的置信水平为1-α的置信区间.     

一种吸油烟机声品质满意度分级限值评定方法

声品质作为一种描述吸油烟机噪声听觉感知特性的手段已经被行业所接受,团体标准T/CAS 341–2019《吸油烟机噪声声品质测试方法》给出了吸油烟机声品质测试与建模方法,同时通过声品质指数给出了声品质的数值化表达.该标准为各厂商定量描述声品质提供了依据,但目前仍缺乏对产品声品质满意度级别的划分方法,这不利于声品质技术的推...     

CHAOTIC MOTIONS AND LIMIT CYCLE FLUTTER OF TWO-DIMENSIONAL WING IN SUPERSONIC FLOW

Based on the piston theory of supersonic flow and the energy method, the flutter motion equations of a two-dimensional wing with cubic stiffness in the pitching direction are established. The aeroelastic system contains both structural and aerodynamic nonlinearities. Hopf bifurcation theory is used to analyze the flutter speed of the system. The effects of system parameters on the flutter speed are studied. The 4th order Runge-Kutta method is used to calculate the stable limit cycle responses and chaotic motions of the aeroelastic system. Results show that the number and the stability of equilibrium points of the system vary with the increase of flow speed. Besides the simple limit cycle response of period 1, there are also period-doubling responses and chaotic motions in the flutter system. The route leading to chaos in the aeroelastic model used here is the period-doubling bifurcation. The chaotic motions in the system occur only when the flow speed is higher than the linear divergent speed and the initial condition is very small. Moreover, the flow speed regions in which the system behaves chaos axe very narrow.     

混沌系统平均初始误差增长饱和特性研究

在非线性误差增长理论框架下研究了混沌系统平均初始误差增长饱和特性 以及误差饱和值同系统可预报期限的关系.首先探索了Lorenz96系统中平均相对初始误差增长饱和规律, 发现平均相对初始误差增长饱和值同初始误差的自然对数存在简单的线性关系: 其二者自然对数之和为一常量,且该常量同初始误差无关.实验表明该结论对其他混沌系统也适用. 因此对给定混沌系统,在计算出和常数后可以外推得到任意固定初始误差的平均相对误差增长饱和值. 为进一步研究误差饱和值同可预报期限的关系,给出了平均绝对误差增长的定义. 理论分析表明混沌系统平均绝对误差增长也会达到饱和.其饱和值为常量, 与初始误差无关,混沌系统控制参数确定,饱和值就固定.依据上述研究, 最后给出一个定量计算可预报期限的模型T_p=1/∧ln(E_s/δ₀)+c, E_s为绝对误差增长饱和值.实验研究表明对于复杂的高阶混沌系统,该预报期限模型都能较好地适用.     

Harmonic operation of high gain harmonic generation free electron laser

In high gain harmonic generation (HGHG) free electron laser (FEL), with the right choice of parameters of the modulator undulator, the dispersive section and the seed laser, one may make the spatial bunching of the electron beam density distribution correspond to one of the harmonic frequencies of the radiator radiation, instead of the fundamental frequency of the radiator radiation in conventional HGHG, thus the radiator undulator is in harmonic operation (HO) mode. In this paper, we investigate HO of HGHG FEL.Theoretical analyses with universal method are derived and numerical simulations in ultraviolet and deep ultraviolet spectral regions are given. It shows that the power of the 3rd harmonic radiation in the HO of HGHG may be as high as 18.5% of the fundamental power level. Thus HO of HGHG FEL may obtain short wavelength by using lower beam energy.     

厄尔尼诺和南方涛动海气耦合模型中参数估计的变分方法

提出一种基于变分原理估计厄尔尼诺和南方涛动海气耦合模型中未知参数的方法. 首先将所研究的非线性海气耦合动力方程引入到目标泛函中; 接着利用变分方法导出伴随方程和待辨识参数泛函梯度的公式; 然后设计了估计未知参数的算法.数值试验结果表明变分方法是一 种能有效估计海气耦合非线性系统未知参数的方法.