Nonsensitiveness Regions for Threshold Ellipsoids

The problem is to determine nonsensitiveness regions for threshold ellipsoids within a regular mixed linear model.     

The Nonexistence of Procedures with Bounded Performance Characteristics in Certain Parametric Inference Problems

This paper gives a condition which implies the nonexistence of parametric statistical procedures with bounded risk or error performance characteristics. Many examples for which such a condition is satisfied are considered.     

Confidence regions in a multivariate regression model with constraints II

The multivariate model, where not only parameters of the mean value of the observation matrix, but also some other parameters occur in constraints, is considered in the paper. Some basic inference is presented under the condition that the covariance matrix is either unknown, or partially unknown, or known. Supported by the grant of the Council of Czech Republic MSM 6 198 959 214.     

The many facets of linear programming

We examine the history of linear programming from computational, geometric, and complexity points of view, looking at simplex, ellipsoid, interior-point, and other methods. Received: June 22, 2000 / Accepted: April 4, 2001?Published online October 2, 2001     

串联系统可靠性虚拟系统法置信下限的小样本性质

本文讨论了具有r个成败型元件串联系统可靠性的置信下限问题。研究了虚拟系统法置信下限的小样本性质,证明了,在通常情况下虚拟系统法置信下限要大于常见的L-M法置信下限.更一般地,本文证明了在成败型试验中,当成功数与试验数之比保持不变时,试验次数的增加将直接缩小成功率置信区间的长度。     

火工品可靠性试验数据的综合分析方法

升降法试验数据和固定刺激量下的成败型试验数据,是两种最常见的火工品可靠性试验数据．我们应用Markov链,研究了升降法试验数据下,感度分布参数的极大似然估计的特性．在此基础上,应用Bootstrap方法和Bayes方法,给出了综合分析两种试验数据的方法．最后,将该方法应用于520底火的可靠性鉴定,得出了有益的结论．     

Interval estimation of the critical value in a general linear model

Summary This paper concerns interval estimation of the critical value θ which satisfies under the general linear model,Y _i =μ(x _i )+ε _i (i=1,2,···), where for and the functional forms off _j ^′ s are known. From an asymptotic expansion it is shown that, under reasonable conditions, the limiting distribution of is normal. Thus in the large-sample case a confidence interval for θ can be obtained. Such a result is useful when one is interested in carrying out a retrospective analysis rather than designing the experiment (as in the Kiefer-Wolfowitz procedure). In Section 3 a sequential procedure is considered for confidence intervals with fixed width 2d. It is shown that, for a given stopping variableN, is also asymptotically normal asd→0. Thus the coverage probability converges to 1−α (preassigned) asd→0. An example of application in estimating the phase parameter in circadian rhythms is given for the purpose of illustration. Research partially supported by the NSF Grant DMS-8502346.     

Drag on an ellipsoid particle in free-molecular plasma flow

Based on the analysis of molecular gas dynamics, the drag and moment acting on an ellipsoid particle of revolutionX ²/a ²+Y ²/a ²+Z ²/c ²=1, as an example of nonspherical particles, are studied under the condition of free-molecular plasma flow with thin plasma sheaths. A nonzero moment which causes nonspherical particle self-oscillation and self-rotation around its own axis in the plasma flow—similar to the pitching moment in aerodynamics—is discovered for the first time. When the ratio of axis lengthc/a is unity, the moment is zero and the drag formula are reduced to the well-known results of spherical particles. The effects of the particle-plasma relative velocity, the plasma temperature, and the particle materials on the drag and moment are also investigated.     

巴斯卡分布参数p的置信区间

讨论了巴斯卡分布与Beta分布的联系,并通过F分布的分位点给出了参数p的置信水平为1-α的置信区间.     

Consensus,Polarization and Hysteresis in the Three-State Noisy q-Voter Model with Bounded Confidence

In this work, we address the question of the role of the influence of group size on the emergence of various collective social phenomena, such as consensus, polarization and social hysteresis. To answer this question, we study the three-state noisy q-voter model with bounded confidence, in which agents can be in one of three states: two extremes (leftist and rightist) and centrist. We study the model on a complete graph within the mean-field approach and show that, depending on the size q of the influence group, saddle-node bifurcation cascades of different length appear and different collective phenomena are possible. In particular, for all values of q>1, social hysteresis is observed. Furthermore, for small values of q∈(1,4), disagreement, polarization and domination of centrists (a consensus understood as the general agreement, not unanimity) can be achieved but not the domination of extremists. The latter is possible only for larger groups of influence. Finally, by comparing our model to others, we discuss how a small change in the rules at the microscopic level can dramatically change the macroscopic behavior of the model.