关于一些概率统计理论的一点认识

近来,林群从哲学的角度用公式相对真理/绝对真理=0.9阐述了微积分的内涵,并探究了计算数学、概率统计等学科领域乃至日常生活现象也同样蕴藏着该哲学公式.基于林群等在《概率论初步设想》中对大数定律和中心极限定理等概率统计学理论的哲学内涵分析,用一些数值算例展示概率统计学中这些常用理论所蕴含的这一哲学公式.     

颈内静脉原位导丝法换置中心静脉长期血液透析导管的临床应用

目的探讨经颈内静脉原位导丝法换置中心静脉长期血液透析导管在维持性血液透析（MHD）患者中的应用价值。方法选取近3年在颈内静脉留置的中心静脉长期血液透析导管因功能障碍后,并经颈内静脉原位导丝法换置长期导管,术后及每次透析后均改用尿激酶封管患者16例（原位换置组）;选取同期首次经颈内静脉留置中心静脉长期血液透析导管,普通肝素封管患者20例作为对照组;分析两组患者围术期泵控血流量及随访期的反应及开存期率、次开存期率。结果围术期泵控血流量原位换置组高于对照组,有统计学差异（P＜0.05）;两组比较感染例次/1000导管日0.9%与1.0%,无统计学差异（P＞0.05）。原位换置组围术期未发生中重度并发症,12个月开存期率81.2%、次开存期率93.8%;对照组开存期率为65%、次开存期率85%;两组比较无统计学差异（P＞0.05）。结论颈内静脉原位导丝法换置中心静脉长期血液透析导管,在MHD患者中的使用是安全的、可行的。     

Commuting traces of multilinear maps on invertible elements

Let R be a unital simple ring. Under some technical restrictions, we characterize m-linear mappings G:R^m→R satisfying [G(u,…,u),u]?=?0 for all unit u∈R.     

The optimal upper bound of the number of generalized Euler configurations

Consider a generalized 3-body problem. The attraction force between any two bodies is proportional to the two masses and the b-th power of the mutual distance. Albouy and Fu have obtained the optimal upper bound of the number of generalized Euler configurations for the cases b 1 and b = 2, 3. This paper obtains the optimal upper bound for the remaining real values of b in a systematic way.     

中西部地区人口就近城镇化意愿的受教育程度差异研究

基于对中西部地区15个省市农业转移人口就近城镇化意愿的问卷调查数据,以社会认同度为研究视角,构建多群组结构方程模型分析中西部地区人口就近城镇化的受教育程度差异及其影响因素。研究结果表明:个人特征差异性对中西部地区不同受教育程度的农业转移人口的就近城镇化意愿影响显著;中西部地区不同受教育程度的农业转移人口的社会认同度与其就近城镇化意愿显著正相关,且社会认同度对中西部地区小学及以下学历的农业转移人口就近城镇化意愿的影响最显著,大专及以上学历的农业转移人口的就近城镇化意愿受社会认同度的影响最小。     

Skewness Term-Structure Tests

In this paper, we conduct skewness term-structure tests to check whether the temporal structure of risk-neutral skewness is consistent with rational expectations. Because risk-neutral skewness is substantially mean reverting, skewness shocks should decay quickly and risk-neutral skewness of more distant option should display the rationally expected smoothing behaviour. Using an equilibrium asset and option-pricing model in a production economy under jump diffusion with stochastic jump intensity, we derive this elasticity analytically. In an empirical application of the model using more than 20 years of data on S&P500 index options, we find that this elasticity turns out to be different than suggested under rational expectations – smaller on the short end (underreaction) and larger on the long end (overreaction) of the ‘skewness curve’.     

相伴随机变量序列的泛函型几乎处处中心极限定理

对于均值为零的平稳相伴随机变量序列,首先证明了在L(n)=EX_1~2 2 sum from n to j=2 Cov(X_1,X_j)是一个缓变函数的条件下的泛函型几乎处处中心极限定理.另外还给出了正则化部分和函数的对数平均几乎处处收敛性.     

A central limit theorem for generalized multilinear forms

Let X₁, …, X_n be independent random variables and define for each finite subset I {1, …, n} the σ-algebra = σ{X_i : i ε I}. In this paper -measurable random variables W_I are considered, subject to the centering condition E(W_I ) = 0 a.s. unless I J. A central limit theorem is proven for d-homogeneous sums W(n) = Σ_{I = d}W_I, with var W(n) = 1, where the summation extends over all (_n^d) subsets I {1, …, n} of size I = d, under the condition that the normed fourth moment of W(n) tends to 3. Under some extra conditions the condition is also necessary.     

关于N（2，2，0）代数的中间幂等元

为了深入研究N（2,2,0）代数的代数结构,在N（2,2,0）代数中建立了中间幂等元的概念,讨论了它的基本性质,给出了中间幂等元关联的集合坞是（S,＊,△,0）的子代数的一个条件．证明了当U（2,2,0）代数中包含一个右零半群时,Mg是幂等元集E（S）的子集．并利用坞定义了一个等价关系．