教育实证研究中样本选择的原则及品质要求

我国教育研究领域大力倡导实证研究,却面临操作指南缺乏和品质标准不够明晰的问题,导致高质量的实证研究案例不多。研究样本的数量及其代表性或立意是保证实证研究品质的重要因素,讨论了定量研究和质性研究中选择研究样本的原则,明确了实证研究论文写作中研究样本部分的品质指标及内容要求,利用构建的品质指标及内容要求分析了4个教育实证研究论文案例。研究发现,提升我国教育实证研究质量的任务还是比较艰巨的。     

核实数据下响应变量缺失的线性EV模型经验似然推断

考虑响应变量随机缺失而协变量带有误差的线性模型,借助于核实数据和借补方法,构造了回归系数的两种经验似然比,证明了所提出的估计的经验对数似然比渐近于一个自由度为1的独立χ2变量的加权和;而经调整后所得的调整经验对数似然比渐近于自由度为p的χ2分布,该结果可以用来构造未知参数的置信域.此外,我们也构造了响应均值的调整经验对数似然比统计量,并证明了所提出的统计量渐近于x2分布,可用此结果构造响应均值的置信域.通过模拟研究比较了置信域的精度及其平均区间长度.     

基于EMD方法的混沌信号中周期分量的提取

提出一种从Duffing振子产生的混沌信号中提取谐波分量的方法．依据任何信号由不同的固有简单振动模态组成的概念,利用经验模式分解（EMD）方法,将混沌信号分离为不同的内在模态函数(IMF),并在特定参数下从中分解出单一频率成分的谐波信号,从而成功地将混沌信号和谐波分量分离．仿真实验都表明该方法非常有效．     

相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断

本文利用了强平稳$m-$相依序列的特殊性质,讨论了$m-$相依序列密度函数的经验似然推断, 给出了似然比统计量的极限分布,可构造参数的经验似然置信区间. 并且通过模拟计算来说明有限样本下应用经验似然方法的合理性.     

经验正交函数与遗传算法结合的副热带高压位势场非线性模型反演

针对副热带高压的动力预报模型难以准确构建的困难,基于T106数值预报产品500 hPa位势高度场序列,用经验正交函数（EOF）分解方法对位势场序列进行了时、空分解,引入了动力系统重构思想,以EOF分解的空间模态的时间系数序列作为动力模型变量,用遗传算法全局搜索和并行计算优势,进行了动力模型参数的优化反演,建立了客观合理的非线性动力模型．通过对动力模型积分和EOF的时、空重构,实现了副热带高压的中、长期预报．试验结果表明,本文反演的动力模型的副热带高压预报效果优于常规的数值预报产品,该研究工作为副热带高压等复杂天气系统和要素场预报提供了新的方法思路和技术途径．     

Empirical likelihood for AR-ARCH models based on LAD estimation

By employing the empirical likelihood method,confidence regions for the stationary AR(p)-ARCH(q) models are constructed.A self-weighted LAD estimator is proposed under weak moment conditions.An empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic is derived and its asymptotic distribution is obtained.Simulation studies show that the performance of empirical likelihood method is better than that of normal approximation of the LAD estimator in terms of the coverage accuracy,especially for relative small size of observation.     

Unlocking the Hidden Potential of Cosmetics Waste for Building Sustainable Green Pavements in the Future: A Case Study of Discarded Lipsticks

This investigation is dedicated to unlocking the hidden potential of discarded cosmetics towards building green sustainable road pavements in the future. It is particularly aiming at exploring waste lipstick (WLS) as a high-quality functional additive for advanced asphalt mix technologies. To fuel this novel innovation, the effect of various WLS doses (e.g., 5, 10, and 15 wt.%) on the performance of base AP-5 asphalt cement was studied in detail. A wide array of cutting-edge analytical lab techniques was employed to inspect in-depth the physicochemical, microstructural, thermo-morphological, and rheological properties of resultant admixtures including: elemental analysis, Fourier transform-infrared spectroscopy (FT-IR), X-ray diffraction (XRD), thin-layer chromatography-flame ionization detection (TLC-FID), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), atomic force microscopy (AFM), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), needle penetration, ring and ball softening point, Brookfield viscometer, ductility, and dynamic shear rheometer (DSR) tests. Unlike the unstable response of asphaltenes, the additive/artificial aging treatments increased the fraction of resins the most, and decreased that of aromatics; however, asphaltenes did not impair the saturates portion, according to Iatroscan research. FT-IR scan divulged that the WLS-asphalt interaction was physical rather than chemical. XRD diagnosis not only revealed an obvious correlation between the asphaltenes content and the fresh-binder crystallinity but also revealed the presence of fillers in the WLS, which may generate outstanding technical qualities to bituminous mixes. According to AFM/SEM analyses, the stepwise incorporation of WLS grew the magnitude of the “bee-shaped” microstructures and extended the roughness rate of unaged/aged binders. The prolonged consumption of the high thermal-stable additive caused a remarkable drop in the onset degradation and glass transition temperature of mixtures, thus enhancing their workability and low-temperature performance, according to TGA/DTGA/DSC data. The DSR and empirical rheological experiments demonstrated that the WLS could effectively lower the manufacturing and compaction temperatures of asphalt mixes and impart them with valuable anti-aging/fatigue-cracking assets. In a nutshell, the use of waste lipstick as an asphalt modifier is viable and cost-effective and could attenuate the pollution arisen from the beauty sector, while improving the performance of hot/warm asphalt mixes (HAM/WAM) and extending the service life of roadways.     

歧管式微通道流动特性的研究

岐管式微通道(MMC)热沉具有热阻小、结构紧凑、冷却液流量小、流速低、沿流动方向温度分布均匀等优点.本文针对以去离子水为介质的岐管式微通道(宽W=100 μm,深H=300 μm)的流动特性进行了实验研究,实验的雷诺数范围为5O～3500.结果表明工质在微通道内流态由层流向紊流转变的临界雷诺数提前,此外数值模拟结果与实验值也吻合较好.最后在实验基础上,拟合出工质在层流和紊流下的流动阻力经验关联式.     

分析化学教材中关于离子活度系数计算公式的讨论

在处理电解质溶液的化学平衡理论中,有关离子的活度和活度系数的计算或估算都有比较严谨的理论公式或经验公式,而国内分析化学教材中关于经验公式的表述略显随意。以0.050 mol·L^-1AlCl₃水溶液中Cl^-和Al³⁺的活度计算为例,结合国内外分析化学教材中关于活度系数计算的经验公式进行讨论。由计算结果可知,关于活度系数计算的经验公式需给出明确的使用条件。     

Large sample prediction intervals for future geometric mean a comparative study

This paper provides simulation comparisons among the performance of 11 possible prediction intervals for the geometric.mean of a Pareto distribution with parameters (αB, ). Six different procedures were used to obtain these intervals , namely; true inter -val , pivotal interval , maximum likelihood estimation interval, centrallimit teorem interval, variance stabilizing interval and a mixture of the above intervals . Some of these intervals are valid if the observed sample size m,are large , others are valid if both, n and the future sample size m, are large. Some of these intervals require a knowledge of α or B, while others do not. The simulation validation and efficiency study shows that intervals depending on the MLE's are the best. The second best intervalsare those obtained through pivotal methods or variance stabilization transformation. The third group of intervals is that which depends on the central limit theorem when λ is known. There are two intervals which proved to be unacceptable under any criterion.