New global stability conditions for a class of difference equations

In this paper we consider some classes of difference equations, including the well-known Clark model, and study the stability of their solutions. In order to do that we introduce a property, namely semicontractivity, and study relations between ‘semi-contractive’ functions and sufficient conditions for the solution of the difference equation to be globally asymptotically stable. Moreover, we establish new sufficient conditions for the solution to be globally asymptotically stable, and we improve the ‘3/2 criteria’ type stability conditions.      

Reflected BSDE Driven by a Lévy Process

In this paper, we study the reflected solution of one-dimensional backward stochastic differential equation driven by Teugels martingales and an independent Brownian motion. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution using a penalization method combined with Snell envelope theory.      

A mathematical model for the first-pass dynamics of antibiotics acting on the cardiovascular system

We present a preliminary first-pass dynamic model for delivery of drug compounds to the lungs and heart. We use a compartmental mass-balance approach to develop a system of nonlinear differential equations for mass accumulated in the heart as a result of intravenous injection. We discuss sensitivity analysis as well as methodology for minimizing mass in the heart while maximizing mass delivered to the lungs on a first circulatory pass.     

Permanence of a delayed discrete mutualism model with feedback controls

This paper discusses a two species discrete model of mutualism with delays and feedback controls. Sufficient conditions are obtained for the permanence of the system. The results show that feedback control variables have no influence on the persistence property of the system.     

一类非齐次树上的Shannon-McMillan定理

通过构造适当的辅助鞅差序列,利用鞅差序列的收敛定理给出了一类特殊非齐次树上具有a.e.收敛性质的Shannon-M cM illan定理.     

非线性Black-Scholes模型下Bala期权定价

在非线性Black-Scholes模型下,研究了Bala期权定价问题.首先利用双参数摄动方法,将Bala期权适合的偏微分方程分解成一系列常系数抛物方程.其次通过计算这些常系数抛物型方程的解,给出了Bala期权的近似定价公式.最后利用Green函数分析了近似结论的误差估计.     

误差合成空间固定系数模型的多阶段广义最小二乘估计

本文对时变系数的空间面板数据模型进行了研究,所研究的模型利用扰动项中的空间个体成分将不同时期的方程联系起来,同时,自变量系数和空间自回归系数是时变的,但不会随着观测个体的变动而变动。本文利用基于可行的广义最小二乘估计的多阶段方法对模型参数进行了估计,研究了估计量的大样本性质,并利用Monte Carlo方法模拟了其小样本性质。模拟结果表明,估计量的渐近性质随着样本容量的增加而改善。对中国省级地区间财税策略互动行为的实证案例也体现了本文理论模型的应用价值。     

城市区域性人口承载力动态综合测度

对马尔萨斯人口增长模型进行研究,设计人口承载力发展路径和基于增长模型的隶属函数,从概率角度构建人口承载力动态综合测度模型,同时,以城市区域为研究对象,以经济作为人口承载力主导影响因素,辅之以自然、环境、资源与科技因素,构建人口承载力综合评价指标体系,多角度、多因素分析区域人口承载力,寻找人口承载短板,为人口承载力研究提供新的研究方法和视角.实证研究结论显示,研究区域人口承载力当前处于承载力强阶段,并开始向适度阶段过渡,其内部指标和子系统发展不平衡,人口系统自身发展稳定,经济和环境人口承载力强,资源和科技承载力较弱,随着区域经济的发展,在相当长一段时间内可进入适度人口阶段.     

Price competition in the Hotelling model with uncertainty on costs

For the linear Hotelling model with firms located at the boundaries of the segment line, we study the price competition in a scenario of incomplete information in the production costs of both firms. We introduce the bounded uncertain costs (BUC) condition in the production costs and we prove that there is a local optimum price strategy if and only if the BUC condition holds. We compute explicitly the local optimum price strategy and we prove that it does not depend upon the distributions of the production costs of the firms, except on their first moments. We prove that the ex-post profit of a firm is smaller than its ex-ante profit if and only if the production cost of the other firm is greater than its expected cost.     

优化MGM(1,n)模型及其应用研究

从最小二乘估计的适用条件出发,在建立MGM(1,n)模型前,先采用BoxCox变换对原始数据进行变换,以解决或缓解误差项的正态性偏离问题.首先,以模型拟合平均误差最小化为目标,建立非线性优化模型,在参数的置信区间内,应用PSO(Particle Swarm Optimization)算法求最优解.然后,应用求解得到的参数,建立优化MGM(1,n)模型.在实例分析中,将优化MGM(1,n)模型应用于深基坑围护结构变形预测,实验结果表明通过对原始数据做合适的Box-Cox变换,能够有效提高模型的拟合及预测精度,拓广多变量灰色预测模型的适用范围.