Twenty years of linear programming based portfolio optimization

Markowitz formulated the portfolio optimization problem through two criteria: the expected return and the risk, as a measure of the variability of the return. The classical Markowitz model uses the variance as the risk measure and is a quadratic programming problem. Many attempts have been made to linearize the portfolio optimization problem. Several different risk measures have been proposed which are computationally attractive as (for discrete random variables) they give rise to linear programming (LP) problems. About twenty years ago, the mean absolute deviation (MAD) model drew a lot of attention resulting in much research and speeding up development of other LP models. Further, the LP models based on the conditional value at risk (CVaR) have a great impact on new developments in portfolio optimization during the first decade of the 21st century. The LP solvability may become relevant for real-life decisions when portfolios have to meet side constraints and take into account transaction costs or when large size instances have to be solved. In this paper we review the variety of LP solvable portfolio optimization models presented in the literature, the real features that have been modeled and the solution approaches to the resulting models, in most of the cases mixed integer linear programming (MILP) models. We also discuss the impact of the inclusion of the real features.     

Zero-sum risk-sensitive stochastic games on a countable state space

Infinite horizon discounted-cost and ergodic-cost risk-sensitive zero-sum stochastic games for controlled Markov chains with countably many states are analyzed. Upper and lower values for these games are established. The existence of value and saddle-point equilibria in the class of Markov strategies is proved for the discounted-cost game. The existence of value and saddle-point equilibria in the class of stationary strategies is proved under the uniform ergodicity condition for the ergodic-cost game. The value of the ergodic-cost game happens to be the product of the inverse of the risk-sensitivity factor and the logarithm of the common Perron–Frobenius eigenvalue of the associated controlled nonlinear kernels.     

Competitive insurance pricing with complete information,loss-averse utility and finitely many policies

In a recent paper, Ramsay and Oguledo (2012) show that in a competitive insurance market with complete information about individuals’ accident probabilities and production costs, which are proportional to the amount of insurance purchased and to the premium charged, only individuals whose accident probability is in a medium range are insurable and desire insurance. The purpose of this paper is to complement the analysis of Ramsay and Oguledo by considering production costs which are proportional to the number of policies offered by an insurer. In addition to the result of Ramsay and Oguledo we show that the group of individuals who obtain insurance is partitioned into several subgroups, where each subgroup is offered the same insurance policy. To derive this result we introduce the concept of incentive compatibility which ensures that an individual has no incentive to buy another policy. Assuming that individuals have loss-averse utility, we fully characterize the boundaries of these subgroups as the result of an undercutting process in premiums between the insurers.     

具有不确定交易价格的指数跟踪资产组合再平衡问题

本文考虑具有某种不确定性的交易费用及预算约束的指数跟踪资产组合的再平衡问题。在已有的模型中,预算约束中使用的交易价格通常是一个确定值。而在再平衡过程中,股票的实际交易价格是不确定的。本文使用有限状态的离散时间马尔柯夫链模型处理交易价格的不确定性,并基于情景分析方法建立了具有不确定预算关系式的再平衡模型,然后使用股票市场的实际样本数据进行了数值实验,模拟结果说明本文的模型是可行的。     

基于模糊决策的投资组合优化

基于模糊决策理论研究了带有成比例交易费用的证券投资组合优化问题. 首先,基于半绝对偏差风险函数和极大极小原则提出了一种新的风险函数--极大极小半绝对偏差风险函数;然后, 引入一种非线性隶属函数更加形象地描述了投资者对投资收益和投资风险的满意程度;在此基础上, 进一步提出了非线性满意程度的模糊决策投资组合选择模型;最后, 针对提出的模型,利用中国证券市场的真实数据给出了数值算例.     

Continuous time Black-Scholes equation with transaction costs in subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion regime

In this paper, we study the problem of continuous time option pricing with transaction costs by using the homogeneous subdiffusive fractional Brownian motion (HFBM) Z(t)=X(S_α(t)), 0<α<1, here dX(τ)=μX(τ)(dτ)^2H+σX(τ)dB_H(τ), as a model of asset prices, which captures the subdiffusive characteristic of financial markets. We find the corresponding subdiffusive Black-Scholes equation and the Black-Scholes formula for the fair prices of European option, the turnover and transaction costs of replicating strategies. We also give the total transaction costs.     

模糊错误逻辑的增加转化词及其在规避金融衍生交易风险中的应用

研究模糊错误逻辑的增加转化词在错误的传递、转化与消除过程中的性质和规律,建立了避免金融衍生交易风险的数学模型,介绍了增加转化词在避免金融衍生交易风险中的应用方法。     

Comparison of the Parameters of the Exergoeconomic Environmental Analysis of Two Combined Cycles of Three Pressure Levels with and without Postcombustion

Nowadays, in Mexico, most of the installed electricity generation capacity corresponds to combined cycles, representing 37.1%. For this reason, it is important to maintain these cycles in good operating conditions, with the least environmental impacts. An exergoeconomic and environmental analysis is realized to compare the operation of the combined cycle, with and without postcombustion, with the comparison of exergoeconomic and environmental indicators. With the productive structure of the energy system, the process of formation of the final products and the residues are identified, and an allocation criterion is also used to impute the formation cost of residue to the productive components related to its formation. This criterion considers the irreversibilities generated in each productive component that participates in the formation of a residue. The compositions of pollutant gases emitted are obtained, and their environmental impact is determined. The unit exergoeconomic cost of the power output in the gas turbine is lower in the combined cycle with postcombustion, indicating greater efficiency in the process of obtaining this energy stream, and the environmental indicators of global warming, smog formation and acid rain formation are higher in the combined cycle with postcombustion, these differences being 5.22%, 5.53% and 5.30%, respectively.