Stochastic delay foraging arena predator–prey system with Markov switching

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce white noise, telegraph noise and time delay to the two-dimensional foraging arena population system describing the prey and predator abundance. The aim is to find out how the interactions between white noise, telegraph noise and time delay affect the dynamics of the population system. Firstly, the existence of a global positive solution is verified. Then the long-time properties including the stochastically ultimate boundedness, extinction and some other asymptotic pathwise estimation of this population system are studied. Finally, the main results are illustrated by two examples.     

Optimal investment strategies and risk-sharing arrangements for a hybrid pension plan

A continuous time stochastic model is used to study a hybrid pension plan, where both the contribution and benefit levels are adjusted depending on the performance of the plan, with risk sharing between different generations. The pension fund is invested in a risk-free asset and multiple risky assets. The objective is to seek an optimal investment strategy and optimal risk-sharing arrangements for plan trustees and participants so that this proposed hybrid pension system provides adequate and stable income to retirees while adjusting contributions effectively, as well as keeping its sustainability in the long run. These goals are achieved by minimizing the expected discount disutility of intermediate adjustment for both benefits and contributions and that of terminal wealth in finite time horizon. Using the stochastic optimal control approach, closed-form solutions are derived under quadratic loss function and exponential loss function. Numerical analysis is presented to illustrate the sensitivity of the optimal strategies to parameters of the financial market and how the optimal benefit changes with respect to different risk aversions. Through numerical analysis, we find that the optimal strategies do adjust the contributions and retirement benefits according to fund performance and model objectives so the intergenerational risk sharing seem effectively achieved for this collective hybrid pension plan.     

On the Glivenko-Cantelli problem in stochastic programming: Mixed-integer linear recourse

Expected recourse functions in linear two-stage stochastic programs with mixed-integer second stage are approximated by estimating the underlying probability distribution via empirical measures. Under mild conditions, almost sure uniform convergence of the empirical means to the original expected recourse function is established.     

商品价格极端波动影响期现价格联动及套期保值吗?

试图将极端价格波动成因归结于系统惯性因素和极端随机冲击因素,借助Copulas-GARCH模型,将其引入期货和现货价格联动的计量模型之中,以持有便利收益高的沪铜作为研究样本,实证研究发现:1)引入极端价格波动因素后将显著提升价格联动计量模型的解释能力;2)当负向基差扩大,系统惯性因素引起商品价格剧烈变动,将导致市场联动性下降,而极端随机冲击却具有正向效应,即市场受到极端随机冲击时会增强期现价格联动关系;3)极端随机冲击效应中正向冲击和负向冲击的非对称性特征不显著;4)考虑极端价格波动效应可明显降低生产企业的套期保值成本.研究结论对于商品期货市场套期保值等期货交易具有重要管理启示.     

Second-order hyperbolic s.p.d.e.'s driven by homogeneous Gaussian noise on a hyperplane

We study a class of hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equations in Euclidean space, that includes the wave equation and the telegraph equation, driven by Gaussian noise concentrated on a hyperplane. The noise is assumed to be white in time but spatially homogeneous within the hyperplane. Two natural notions of solutions are function-valued solutions and random field solutions. For the linear form of the equations, we identify the necessary and sufficient condition on the spectral measure of the spatial covariance for existence of each type of solution, and it turns out that the conditions differ. In spatial dimensions 2 and 3, under the condition for existence of a random field solution to the linear form of the equation, we prove existence and uniqueness of a random field solution to non-linear forms of the equation.

     

随机Gilpin-Ayala竞争模型的稳定性

本文主要研究了一类随机Gilpin—Ayala竞争模型，它比经典Lotka—Volterra竞争模型更具一般性和实际意义．通过应用M矩阵的性质，得出随机Gilpin—Ayala竞争模型的稳定性的一些结论。     

Stochastic resonance in an ion channel following the non-Arrhenius gating rate

Stochastic resonance (SR) is a novel cooperative phenomenon occurring in nonlinear systems due to coupling of an ambient noise and an external signal. Biological systems may use SR mechanism to detect the signal efficiently from an external environment. A number of studies have addressed the SR in artificial ion channels considering external voltages as noises. More important than these external noises is the internal, thermal noise which changes the channel conformations essential for biological functions. In this work, we consider that the channel gating rates follow a non-Arrhenius temperature dependence derived from experimental data of a real biological channel. Using the Monte-Carlo simulations, we find that in this channel SR occurs near a physiological temperature in a very distinctive manner compared with that for the Arrhenius gating model.     

Stabilization of stochastic singular nonlinear hybrid systems

This paper deals with the control of the class of singular nonlinear stochastic hybrid systems. Under some appropriate assumptions, results on stochastic stability and stochastic stabilization are developed. Two state feedback controllers (linear and nonlinear) that stochastically stabilize the class of systems we are considering are designed. LMI sufficient conditions are developed to compute the gains of these controllers.     

Morse inequalities, a function space integral approach

In this paper we prove the Morse inequalities in the non-degenerate and degenerate cases. Like the approach of J.-M. Bismut, ours is based on the idea suggested by Witten. In fact, if anything, our approach is closer to Witten's original idea than Bismut's.