We develop a theory for option pricing with perfect hedging in an inefficient market model where the underlying price variations are autocorrelated over a time τ0. This is accomplished by assuming that the underlying noise in the system is derived by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, rather than from a Wiener process. With a modified portfolio consisting in calls, secondary calls and bonds we achieve a riskless strategy which results in a closed and exact expression for the European call price which is always lower than Black-Scholes price. We obtain the same price and a modified delta hedging if we start from an effective one-dimensional market model. We compare these strategies and study the sensitivity of the call price to several parameters where the correlation effects are also observed. 相似文献
Stochastic models with varying degrees of complexity are increasingly widespread in the oceanic and atmospheric sciences. One application is data assimilation, i.e., the combination of model output with observations to form the best picture of the system under study. For any given quantity to be estimated, the relative weights of the model and the data will be adjusted according to estimated model and data error statistics, so implementation of any data assimilation scheme will require some assumption about errors, which are considered to be random. For dynamical models, some assumption about the evolution of errors will be needed. Stochastic models are also applied in studies of predictability.
The formal theory of stochastic processes was well developed in the last half of the twentieth century. One consequence of this theory is that methods of simulation of deterministic processes cannot be applied to random processes without some modification. In some cases the rules of ordinary calculus must be modified.
The formal theory was developed in terms of mathematical formalism that may be unfamiliar to many oceanic and atmospheric scientists. The purpose of this article is to provide an informal introduction to the relevant theory, and to point out those situations in which that theory must be applied in order to model random processes correctly. 相似文献
In this paper, we consider a class of nonstationary control systems. We obtain some conditions for stationary optimal controls of such systems. The results are then applied to a linear-quadratic system. 相似文献
A novel experiment is proposed to provide inter-residue sequential correlations among carbonyl spins in (13)C detected, protonless NMR experiments. The COCO-TOCSY experiment connects, in proteins, two carbonyls separated from each other by three, four or even five bonds. The quantitative analysis provides structural information on backbone dihedral angles phi as well as on the side chain dihedral angles of Asx and Glx residues. This is the first dihedral angle constraint that can be obtained via a protonless approach. About 75% of backbone carbonyls in Calbindin D(9K), a 75 amino acid dicalcium protein, could be sequentially connected via a COCO-TOCSY spectrum. 49 [Formula: see text] values were measured and related to backbone phi angles. Structural information can be extended to the side chain orientation of aminoacids containing carbonyl groups. Additionally, long range homonuclear coupling constants, (4)J(CC) and (5)J(CC), could be measured. This constitutes an unprecedented case for proteins of medium and small size. 相似文献
We study the effects of noise intensity fluctuations on the stationary and dynamical properties of an overdamped Langevin model with a bistable potential and external periodical driving force. We calculated the stationary distributions, mean-first passage time (MFPT) and the spectral amplification factor using a complete set expansion (CSE) technique. We found resonant activation (RA) and stochastic resonance (SR) phenomena in the system under investigation. Moreover, the strength of RA and SR phenomena exhibit non-monotonic behavior and their trade-off relation as a function of the squared variation coefficient of the noise intensity process. The reliability of CSE is verified with Monte Carlo simulations. 相似文献
The quantum trajectory renders the optimal estimation of quantum state. It is a classical Itô stochastic differential equation. The Lyapunov global stabilization problem is solved for squeezed noise quantum trajectory. Lyapunov control stabilizes the quantum system toward one eigenstate. A two-level bistable quantum system is simulated as an example. 相似文献
A generalized probability density function (PDF) describing the distribution of inter-inclusion distances in finite, isotropic, binary stochastic materials with fixed diameter inclusions has been developed and tested. The new probability density function explicitly accounts for edge effects present in finite two- and three-dimensional stochastic materials. The generalized PDF is shown to include factors that are dependent on both the geometry of the material region as well as the statistical properties of the material. A discussion of the properties and application of this newly developed PDF is provided along with supporting numerical results for case studies in one- and two-dimensions. These numerical results demonstrate the ability of the newly derived PDF to correctly account for edge effects in finite stochastic materials, while still reproducing the expected distribution within the bulk material region. 相似文献