The measurement assurance concept in calibration and traceability at NBS/NIST

During the last quarter of the twentieth century, The United States National Bureau of Standards (NBS), later the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), introduced a measurement quality control concept called ”measurement assurance,” and developed measurement assurance programs, or MAPs, for high-level calibration processes. The measurement assurance approach has, over time, become increasingly popular in the metrology community, and in recent years has become well accepted both inside and, to some extent, outside the United States as a rigorous way to ensure the quality of calibrations. The concept has also found application in defining traceability to national standards. This paper traces the history of the measurement assurance concept. Received: 23 October 2000 Accepted: 2 November 2000     

A distance-based statistical analysis of fuzzy number-valued data

Real-life data associated with experimental outcomes are not always real-valued. In particular, opinions, perceptions, ratings, etc., are often assumed to be vague in nature, especially when they come from human valuations. Fuzzy numbers have extensively been considered to provide us with a convenient tool to express these vague data. In analyzing fuzzy data from a statistical perspective one finds two key obstacles, namely, the nonlinearity associated with the usual arithmetic with fuzzy data and the lack of suitable models and limit results for the distribution of fuzzy-valued statistics. These obstacles can be frequently bypassed by using an appropriate metric between fuzzy data, the notion of random fuzzy set and a bootstrapped central limit theorem for general space-valued random elements. This paper aims to review these ideas and a methodology for the statistical analysis of fuzzy number data which has been developed along the last years.     

一种基于模糊集值统计的集对预测方法

在集对分析中,差异度系数i是体现系统不确定性的重要变量,但如何取值一直在理论上没有解决,本文根据i的取值的不确定性与模糊性,提出了一种基于模糊集值统计的差异度系数取值方法.对于原始数据中的噪声,本文提出了一种基于模糊软阈值的小波去噪方法,并利用支持向量回归方法来进行同异反预测,在一定程度上克服了线性建模技术的不足.此外,为了克服同一度、差异度与对立度之间的归一化约束,本文还提出了一种熵变换的方法.     

A simplified approach to the estimation of analytical measurement uncertainty

The present study summarizes the measurement uncertainty estimations carried out in Nestlé Research Center since 2002. These estimations cover a wide range of analyses of commercial and regulatory interests. In a first part, this study shows that method validation data (repeatability, trueness and intermediate reproducibility) can be used to provide a good estimation of measurement uncertainty.In a second part, measurement uncertainty is compared to collaborative trials data. These data can be used for measurement uncertainty estimation as far as the in-house validation performances are comparable to the method validation performances obtained in the collaborative trial.Based on these two main observations, the aim of this study is to easily estimate the measurement uncertainty using validation data.     

Ups and downs of economics and econophysics — Facebook forecast

What is econophysics and its relationship with economics? What is the state of economics after the global economic crisis, and is there a future for the paradigm of market equilibrium, with imaginary perfect competition and rational agents? Can the next paradigm of economics adopt important assumptions derived from econophysics models: that markets are chaotic systems, striving to extremes as bubbles and crashes show, with psychologically motivated, statistically predictable individual behaviors? Is the future of econophysics, as predicted here, to disappear and become a part of economics? A good test of the current state of econophysics and its methods is the valuation of Facebook immediately after the initial public offering — this forecast indicates that Facebook is highly overvalued, and its IPO valuation of 104 billion dollars is mostly the new financial bubble based on the expectations of unlimited growth, although it’s easy to prove that Facebook is close to the upper limit of its users.     

Do people react more strongly to aircraft noise today than in the past?

Some researchers have suggested that recent studies of aircraft noise annoyance indicate that people react more strongly to a given noise exposure level today than in the past, but is there good statistical evidence to support this hypothesis? This paper reviews the correspondence between aircraft noise exposure and annoyance responses reported in aircraft noise study analyses undertaken over a period of decades. Simple linear regression models and textbook statistical analyses are used to test the data. There are some indications of an upward trend in annoyance versus noise exposure over the last 25 years, but basic tests show that the statistical evidence for an upward trend is weak, and may simply be due to sampling and/or methodological differences between the studies. The survey collection method may play a role. In some cases, study participation rate effects may exaggerate community responses.     

Time-series analysis of pressure fluctuations in gas–solid fluidized beds – A review

This work reviews methods for time-series analysis for characterization of the dynamics of gas–solid fluidized beds from in-bed pressure measurements for different fluidization regimes. The paper covers analysis in time domain, frequency domain, and in state space. It is a follow-up and an update of a similar review paper written a decade ago. We use the same pressure time-series as used by Johnsson et al. (2000). The paper updates the previous review and includes additional methods for time-series analysis, which have been proposed to investigate dynamics of gas–solid fluidized beds. Results and underlying assumptions of the methods are discussed.     

Entanglement propagation and typicality of measurements in the quantum Kac ring

We study the time evolution of entanglement in a new quantum version of the Kac ring, where two spin chains become dynamically entangled by quantum gates, which are used instead of the classical markers. The features of the entanglement evolution are best understood by using knowledge about the behavior of an ensemble of classical Kac rings. For instance, the recurrence time of the quantum many-body system is twice the length of the chain and “thermalization” only occurs on time scales much smaller than the dimension of the Hilbert space. The model thus elucidates the relation between the results of measurements in quantum and classical systems: While in classical systems repeated measurements are performed over an ensemble of systems, the corresponding result is obtained by measuring the same quantum system prepared in an appropriate superposition repeatedly.     

Generating and improving orthogonal designs by using mixed integer programming

Analysts faced with conducting experiments involving quantitative factors have a variety of potential designs in their portfolio. However, in many experimental settings involving discrete-valued factors (particularly if the factors do not all have the same number of levels), none of these designs are suitable.In this paper, we present a mixed integer programming (MIP) method that is suitable for constructing orthogonal designs, or improving existing orthogonal arrays, for experiments involving quantitative factors with limited numbers of levels of interest. Our formulation makes use of a novel linearization of the correlation calculation.The orthogonal designs we construct do not satisfy the definition of an orthogonal array, so we do not advocate their use for qualitative factors. However, they do allow analysts to study, without sacrificing balance or orthogonality, a greater number of quantitative factors than it is possible to do with orthogonal arrays which have the same number of runs.