基于Delphi-可拓理论的大型酒店消防安全评价研究

针对大型酒店消防管理的复杂性,综合考虑高层建筑空间火灾发生及消防救援的特点,建立全面多系统的消防安全综合评价指标体系.采用Delphi法将定性指标量化,引入物元可拓理论分析法构建综合可拓评价模型,得到各准则层及系统整体的风险等级和偏离所属等级的趋向程度.以长春市某大型酒店为例,验证了该体系的科学性和可行性.     

高等级公路路线方案的多目标量化优选

应用最小二乘法准则,并改进了层次分析法判断矩阵的构成,获得考虑专家评价水平的诸影响因素权向量;基于集值统计法和属性数学原理,建立了对高等级公路路线方案量化综合评价优选模型,并给出了计算实例.     

Review of recent developments in OR/MS research in disaster operations management

Potential consequences of disasters involve overwhelming economic losses, large affected populations and serious environmental damages. Given these devastating effects, there is an increasing interest in developing measures in order to diminish the possible impact of disasters, which gave rise to the field of disaster operations management (DOM). In this paper we review recent OR/MS research in DOM. Our work is a continuation of a previous review from Altay and Green (2006). Our purpose is to evaluate how OR/MS research in DOM has evolved in the last years and to what extent the gaps identified by Altay and Green (2006) have been covered. Our findings show no drastic changes or developments in the field of OR/MS in DOM since the publication of Altay and Green (2006). Additionally to our comparative analysis, we present an original evaluation about the most common assumptions in recent OR/MS literature in DOM. Based on our findings we provide future research directions in order to make improvements in the areas where lack of research is detected.     

Bankruptcy prediction in banks and firms via statistical and intelligent techniques – A review

This paper presents a comprehensive review of the work done, during the 1968–2005, in the application of statistical and intelligent techniques to solve the bankruptcy prediction problem faced by banks and firms. The review is categorized by taking the type of technique applied to solve this problem as an important dimension. Accordingly, the papers are grouped in the following families of techniques: (i) statistical techniques, (ii) neural networks, (iii) case-based reasoning, (iv) decision trees, (iv) operational research, (v) evolutionary approaches, (vi) rough set based techniques, (vii) other techniques subsuming fuzzy logic, support vector machine and isotonic separation and (viii) soft computing subsuming seamless hybridization of all the above-mentioned techniques. Of particular significance is that in each paper, the review highlights the source of data sets, financial ratios used, country of origin, time line of study and the comparative performance of techniques in terms of prediction accuracy wherever available. The review also lists some important directions for future research.     

求解指派问题的一个算法

为了便于建立与指派问题有关的决策支持系统，本给出了一个求解指派问题的数值算法，证明了算法的理论依据。该算法能求得问题的最优解，并具有易于编程实现、收敛性好等优点，大量数值实验表明该算法非常实用有效。     

海水富营养化评价的主成分-聚类分析方法

根据主成分分析和聚类分析理论 ,针对海水富营养化评价因子间的相关性 ,提出了海水富营养化的主成分 -聚类分析综合评价方法 .该方法能根据实测资料对海水富营养化状况客观地分类并计算出评价权值 ,避免了主观随意性 .将其应用于 2 0 0 0年 5月至 2 0 0 1年 5月柘林湾海水富营养化程度的分类与评价 ,结果与实际吻合 .     

基于语言评价信息的知识资本要素识别方法

知识资本是组织创造价值和获取竞争优势的关键资源, 其要素通常具有复杂的关联性, 如何识别知识资本的核心要素、原因要素和结果要素,对于组织进行知识资本管理具有重要意义.本文在构建了知识资本要素识别体系的基础上,借鉴决策试验和评价实验室报告的思想提出了一种基于语言评价信息的知识资本要素识别方法,通过处理和集结专家针对知识资本要素关联给出的语言评价信息,对知识资本要素进行排序与归类.最后通过一个实例分析说明了该方法的应用, 并说明了如何根据识别结果制定相应的策略以便进行知识资本的投资和控制.     

例谈物理核心素养视角下培养学生策略性学习的实践研究

文章结合自身教学实践,针对在物理核心素养背景下,从"借助项目设计,培养学习习惯,促进学生‘策略性学习’反应程序化""借助过程优化,积累学习方法,促进学生‘策略性学习’研究深度化""借助物理与生活互动,提高学生对学习理解,促进学生‘策略性学习’运用实践化"3个途径来提升学生思维水平,发展学生思维品质,进而提高学生物理核心素养.     

Evaluation of Transparent Optical Network Performance in Presence of Incoherent Homodyne Crosstalk

A simple method to evaluate the performance of transparent optical networks (TON) that takes into account the incoherent homodyne crosstalk, signal distortion, inter-symbol interference (ISI), amplified spontaneous emission (ASE) noise, and arbitrary optical and electrical filters is proposed. This method combines the effect of the incoherent homodyne crosstalk with an exhaustive Gaussian approximation for the influence of ASE noise, signal distortion, and ISI. It is shown that the incoherent homodyne crosstalk penalty depends on the ASE noise accumulated in the TON, ISI, and extinction ratio. The proposed method estimates are compared with experimental results published by other authors. Good agreement is observed for one, two, and four incoherent homodyne crosstalk signals, revealing that the proposed method provides accurate estimates even when the methods based on a Gaussian approximation for the incoherent homodyne crosstalk fail. The proposed method is used to assess the performance of a TON composed by optical add-drop multiplexers based on arrayed waveguide gratings. Results reveal that incoherent homodyne crosstalk, ASE noise, and ISI impair the TON performance and, therefore, none can be neglected in the TON design.     

Perpendicular magnetic recording—Its development and realization

Development of perpendicular magnetic recording is summarized along with learning from the research study. The early stage of perpendicular recording was conducted with the research philosophy of complementarity between perpendicular and horizontal recordings. Although present production of the perpendicular recording HDDs exceeds 600 million per year, development of perpendicular recording experienced the valley of death in the 1990s. The difficult period was overcome by the collaboration system of industrial and academic communities. The research on perpendicular recording brought about development of new research model as well as the historical view of the development of technology and innovation. The huge influence of perpendicular recording on society also taught us the relationship between science and technology with culture and civilization.