固定设计下一类半参数回归模型的渐近性质

对固定设计下的一类半参数回归模型yi=xiβ+g(xi)+ei,i=1,2,…,n,综合最小二乘和非参数权函数估计方法,定义了,βg的估计量β∧n,gn∧及误差方差σ2的估计量σ2n∧.在适当条件下,证明它们具有强相合性和p(2)阶平均相合性.模拟的结果表明所得结果具有优良的性质.     

On the Erlang Loss Model with Time Dependent Input

We consider the M(t)/M(t)/m/m queue, where the arrival rate λ(t) and service rate μ(t) are arbitrary (smooth) functions of time. Letting p_n(t) be the probability that n servers are occupied at time t (0≤ n≤ m, t > 0), we study this distribution asymptotically, for m→∞ with a comparably large arrival rate λ(t) = O(m) (with μ(t) = O(1)). We use singular perturbation techniques to solve the forward equation for p_n(t) asymptotically. Particular attention is paid to computing the mean number of occupied servers and the blocking probability p_m(t). The analysis involves several different space-time ranges, as well as different initial conditions (we assume that at t = 0 exactly n₀ servers are occupied, 0≤ n₀≤ m). Numerical studies back up the asymptotic analysis. AMS subject classification: 60K25,34E10 Supported in part by NSF grants DMS-99-71656 and DMS-02-02815     

Bayes估计的进一步研究及其Pitman最优性

对线性模型参数,讨论了Bayes估计的Pitman最优性,将已有结果进行了改进,去掉了附加条件,证明了在Pitman准则下,Bayes估计一致优于最小二乘估计(LSE),在此基础上,提出了一种基于先验信息的方差分量估计,通过和基于LSE的方差分量估计作比较,证明了新估计是无偏估计且有更小的均方误差．最后,证明了在Pitman准则下生长曲线模型参数的Bayes估计优于最佳线性无偏估计．     

武器系统生存能力模型分析

对抗过程中，武器系统的生存概率包括以下的四个方面，即：被发现的可能性、被命中的可能性、易毁性和可修理性。武器系统生存能力的动态描述主要划分为四个阶段：被发现阶段、被命中阶段、被毁伤和修复阶段。本文从这四个阶段给出了对抗过程中武器系统生存能力的动态描述，并分析了各个阶段的计算模型。     

Nonparametric Density Estimation in Hidden Markov Models

Let { X n} be a Markov chain that is either f -mixing or satisfies the Poisson equation.In this note we obtain the convergence rate under L 1 -criterion for bounded functions of the X k 's. And in the hidden Markov model setup { (X n ,Y n ) }we study the kernel estimate of the density of the observed variables { Y n }when a 'stable' status is reached.     

Automatic detection and identification of shocks in Gaussian state‐space models: a Bayesian approach

An automatic monitoring and intervention algorithm that permits the supervision of very general aspects in an univariate linear Gaussian state–space model is proposed. The algorithm makes use of a model comparison and selection approach within a Bayesian framework. In addition, this algorithm incorporates the possibility of eliminating earlier interventions when subsequent evidence against them comes to light. Finally, the procedure is illustrated with two empirical examples taken from the literature. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

高能e+e－湮没强子多重数的质量关系

利用一个描述强子质量谱成功的夸克模型确定出得到的强子多重数普适质量关系〈n〉=aexp(–bm)中的参数b,发现对于介子、重子是一个普适的常数.利用这个质量公式给出计算各种粒子多重数的表达式,进而以高能e⁺e^－湮没为例计算出各种粒子多重数与实验以及其他模型做了比较,表明这个没有任何假定的质量关系同样能够解释实验.     

Detailed Description of Mixed Symmetry States in 94Mo Using Interacting Boson Model

We have investigated the low-lying collective states and electromagnetic transitions in 94Mo within the framework of the interacting boson model. The influence of model parameters on the energy levels and electromagnetic properties has been investigated. The analysis of the obtained results and the parameter values predict that the 23+state is the lowest mixed symmetry state with pure F = Fmax - 1 in this nucleus. The calculated results predicate that the 25+ (two-Q-phonon) mixed symmetry state is closed to the J = 2+ at 2.870 MeV in the experimental data, and the 2.965 MeV state is the lowest mixed symmetry with J = 3+.     

考虑材料熔化潜热的高温高压本构

本文在修正的SCG模型基础上，提出了一种考虑了熔化潜热的高温高压本构.该本构所给出的铝的剪切模量的变化分为三个阶段：加工硬化，温度软化和熔化，并在完全熔化点处变为零.并且在前两个阶段，计算的结果与修正的SCG模型所给出的剪切模量的差别不超过4%，这一差别是在动高压实验误差范围之内的，在熔化区所给出的剪切模量与现有的实验数据相符合. 关键词： 剪切模量 熔化潜热 修正的SCG模型 动高压实验     

T-C模型中虚光子过程对光场压缩效应的影响

利用全量子理论,研究非旋波近似下TC模型中受激场的压缩效应.结果表明:非旋波近似下,由于虚光场的影响,Q的演化曲线出现了“小锯齿状”,表现为系统的量子噪声,随着ω和n的增大,量子噪声分别减小和增大,虚光子过程使光场的压缩程度明显加深;研究结果还揭示了原子场耦合系数λ及原子间耦合系数g与光场压缩效应的关系. 关键词： T-C模型 非旋波近似 压缩效应 量子噪声