A general decomposition approach for multi-criteria decision trees

In this paper, we address the dynamic and multi-criteria decision-making problems under uncertainty, generally represented by multi-criteria decision trees. Decision-making consists of choosing, at each period, a decision that maximizes the decision-maker outcomes. These outcomes should often be measured against a set of heterogeneous and conflicting criteria. Generating the set of non-dominated solutions is a common approach considered in the literature to solve the multi-criteria decision trees, but it becomes very challenging for large problems. We propose a new approach to solve multi-criteria decision trees without generating the set of all non-dominated solutions, which should reduce the computation time and the cardinality of the solution set. In particular, the proposed approach combines the advantages of decomposition with the application of multi-criteria decision aid (MCDA) methods at each decision node. A generalization of the Bellman’s principle of decomposition to the multi-criteria context is put forward. A decomposition theorem is therefore proposed. Under the sufficient conditions stated by the theorem, the principle of decomposition will generate the set of best compromise strategies. Seven MCDA methods are then characterized (lexicographic, weighted sum, multi-attribute value theory, TOPSIS, ELECTRE III, and PROMETHEE II) against the conditions of the theorem of decomposition and against other properties (neutrality, anonymous, fidelity, dominance, independency), in order to confirm or infirm their applicability with the proposed decomposition principle. Moreover, the relationship between independency and temporal consistence is discussed as well as the effects of incomparableness, rank reversals, and use of thresholds. Two conjectures resulted from this characterization.     

一类热传导问题源项识别的快速稳定算法

利用正算子的性质和Lax-Milgram定理,将一维热传导方程源项识别问题转化为适定的、第二类Volterra方程的求解,给出一个新的快速稳定算法,并进行理论分析.采用两种实现后验准则的新途径,在输入数据的误差水平已知和未知的情况下,快速地决定正则参数.数值实验证实了算法的有效性.     

Zero-Sum Ergodic Semi-Markov Games with Weakly Continuous Transition Probabilities

Zero-sum ergodic semi-Markov games with weakly continuous transition probabilities and lower semicontinuous, possibly unbounded, payoff functions are studied. Two payoff criteria are considered: the ratio average and the time average. The main result concerns the existence of a lower semicontinuous solution to the optimality equation and its proof is based on a fixed-point argument. Moreover, it is shown that the ratio average as well as the time average payoff stochastic games have the same value. In addition, one player possesses an ε-optimal stationary strategy (ε>0), whereas the other has an optimal stationary strategy. A. Jaśkiewicz is on leave from Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science, Wrocław University of Technology. This work is supported by MNiSW Grant 1 P03A 01030.     

Sufficient conditions for optimality of threat strategies in a differential game

The problem of defining threat strategies in nonzero-sum games is considered, and a definition of optimal threat strategies is proposed in the static case. This definition is then extended to differential games, and sufficient conditions for optimality of threat strategies are derived. These are then applied to a simple example. The definition proposed here is then compared with the definition of threat strategies given by Nash.     

基于随机微分博弈的动态投入产出问题研究

基于W Leontief提出的动态投入产出模型,讨论了考虑随机因素的离散时间下的最优策略设计问题.利用博弈论的思想,把动态投入产出系统抽象为离散时间的博弈模型,运用鞍点均衡策略设计出求解该投入产出问题的新方法,为宏观经济决策提供依据.     

Computation of suboptimal randomized strategies for steering the random motion of a point under partial observation

Consider the random motion in the plane of a pointM, whose velocityv=(v ₁,v ₂) is perturbed by an ²-valued Gaussian white noise. Only noisy nonlinear observations taken on the point location (state) are available toM. The velocityv is of the formv(y)= _u (u ₁,u ₂) _y (du), wherey denotes the value of the observed signal,U is the range of the velocity, and, for eachy, _y is a probability measure on (U). Using the available observations, the pointM wishes to steer itself into a given target set by choosing a randomized strategy ={ _y :y ²}. Sufficient conditions on weak optimal randomized strategies are derived. An algorithm for computing weak suboptimal randomized strategies is suggested, and the strategies are computed for a variety of cases.This work was partially supported by a grant from Control Data.     

电子商务网站竞争模型分析及其策略

研究电子商务网站竞争模型,分析其平衡点的稳定性,给出数值模拟图,建立一系列电子商务网站获胜的新策略.     

Insider Trading in Convergent Markets

Optimal trading strategies are found for an insider who is trading in two convergent stocks and is bound by margin constraints.     

Convex semi-infinite games

This paper introduces a generalization of semi-infinite games. The pure strategies for player I involve choosing one function from an infinite family of convex functions, while the set of mixed strategies for player II is a closed convex setC inR ⁿ. The minimax theorem applies under a condition which limits the directions of recession ofC. Player II always has optimal strategies. These are shown to exist for player I also if a certain infinite system verifies the property of Farkas-Minkowski. The paper also studies certain conditions that guarantee the finiteness of the value of the game and the existence of optimal pure strategies for player I.Many thanks are due to the referees for their detailed comments.