NA序列广义Jamison型加权和的几乎处处收敛性

本文从随机变量序列广义Ｊａｍｉｓｏｎ型加权和的一个系数指标函数自身性质出发，讨论了广义Ｊａｍｉｓｏｎ型加权和的强稳定性，避免了控制函数的引入， 进一步还得到了更一般的ＮＡ序列广义Ｊａｍｉｓｏｎ型加权和的几乎处处收敛的条件，并将前人的若干结论包含为特例．     

NSD序列加权和的中心极限定理及其在EV回归模型中的应用

基于负超可加相依(简称为NSD)随机序列的性质及其一些不等式,利用随机变量的截断方法建立了NSD随机序列加权和的中心极限定理,从而推广了负相协NA随机序列的相应结论.并将其应用到变系数EV回归模型,得到了未知参数LS估计的渐近正态性.     

基于Bootstrap的厚尾相依序列持久性变点检验

基于修正方差比率函数给出一种检验厚尾序列持久性变点的统计量.在无变点的假设下得到了统计量的渐近分布.为避免检验渐近分布中的厚尾指数,构造Bootstrap抽样方法来确定渐近分布的经验临界值.数值模拟研究结果说明修正方差比率统计量及Bootstrap抽样方法的有效性.     

Limit Theorems for the Maximum Terms of a Sequence of Random Variables with Marginal Geometric Distributions

Let X _n1 ^* , ... X _nn ^* be a sequence of n independent random variables which have a geometric distribution with the parameter p _n = 1/n, and M _n ^* = \max\{X _n1 ^* , ... X _nn ^* }. Let Z ₁, Z₂, Z₃, ... be a sequence of independent random variables with the uniform distribution over the set N _n = {1, 2, ... n}. For each j N _n let us denote X _nj = min{k : Z_k = j}, M _n = max{X_n1, ... X_nn}, and let S _n be the 2nd largest among X _n1, X_n2, ... X_nn. Using the methodology of verifying D(u_n) and D'(u_n) mixing conditions we prove herein that the maximum M _n has the same type I limiting distribution as the maximum M _n ^* and estimate the rate of convergence. The limiting bivariate distribution of (S_n, M_n) is also obtained. Let _n, _n N_n, , and T _n = min{M(A_n), M(B_n)}. We determine herein the limiting distribution of random variable T _n in the case _n , _n/_n > 0, as n .     

Compound Poisson Approximation of the Number of Exceedances in Gaussian Sequences

Consider a finite sequence of Gaussian random variables. Count the number of exceedances of some level a, i.e. the number of values exceeding the level. Let this level and the length of the sequence increase simultaneously so that the expected number of exceedances remains fixed. It is well-known that if the long-range dependence is not too strong, the number of exceeding points converges in distribution to a Poisson distribution. However, for sequences with some individual large correlations, the Poisson convergence is slow due to clumping. Using Steins method we show that, at least for m-dependent sequences, the rate of convergence is improved by using compound Poisson as approximating distribution. An explicit bound for the convergence rate is derived for the compound Poisson approximation, and also for a subclass of the compound Poisson distribution, where only clumps of size two are considered. Results from numerical calculations and simulations are also presented.     

Extended well-posedness of optimization problems

The well-posedness concept introduced in Ref. 1 for global optimization problems with a unique solution is generalized here to problems with many minimizers, under the name of extended well-posedness. It is shown that this new property can be characterized by metric criteria, which parallel to some extent those known about generalized Tikhonov well-posedness.This work was partially supported by MURST, Fondi 40%, Rome, Italy.     

A Feigenbaum sequence of bifurcations in the Lorenz model

For some high values of the Rayleigh numberr, the Lorenz model exhibits laminar behavior due to the presence of a stable periodic orbit. A detailed numerical study shows that, forr decreasing, the turbulent behavior is reached via an infinite sequence of bifurcations, whereas forr increasing, this is due to a collapse of the stable orbit to a hyperbolic one. The infinite sequence of bifurcations is found to be compatible with Feigenbaum's conjecture.     

Conditions for the convergence in distribution of maxima of stationary normal processes

The asymptotic distribution of the maximum M_n=max_1?t?nξ_t in a stationary normal sequence ξ₁,ξ,… depends on the correlation r_t between ξ₀ and ξ_t. It is well known that if r_t log t → 0 as t → ∞ or if Σr²_t<∞, then the limiting distribution is the same as for a sequence of independent normal variables. Here it is shown that this also follows from a weaker condition, which only puts a restriction on the number of t-values for which rt log t islarge. The condition gives some insight into what is essential for this asymptotic behaviour of maxima. Similar results are obtained for a stationary normal process in continuous time.     

Central limit theorem and weak law of large numbers with rates for martingales in Banach spaces

This paper is concerned with large-$\text{O}$ error estimates concerning convergence in distribution as well as norm convergence for Banach space-valued martingale difference sequences. Indeed, two general limit theorems equipped with rates of convergence for such difference sequences are established. Applications of these lead to the central limit theorem and the weak law of large numbers with rates for Banach space-valued martingales.