随机截尾情形下Rayleigh分布参数的最大似然估计

研究了随机截尾情形下Rayleigh分布参数的最大似然估计,研究了最大似然估计的存在唯一性;在很一般的条件下证明了估计的强、弱相合性和渐近正态性.     

同时带有强迫项和有限时滞的Lienard方程周期解的存在性

利用Mawhin延拓定理证明了一类具有强迫项的有限时滞Lienard方程x″(t)+f_1(x)x′(t)+f_2(x)(x′(t))~2+g(x(t-τ))=e(t)存在周期解的充分条件.     

Optimality of Base-Stock and (s, S) Policies for Inventory Problems with Information Delays

Information delays exist when the most recent inventory information available to the inventory manager (IM) is dated; namely, the IM observes only the inventory level of an earlier period. We introduce information delays into the standard multiperiod stochastic inventory problem with backorders. We consider two types of information delays: (i) a constant delay and (ii) a random delay. We define an appropriate reference inventory position, which is a sufficient statistics for finding the optimal order quantity. We show that the optimal ordering policy is of base-stock type with respect to the reference inventory position and is of (s, S) type if there is also a fixed cost of ordering.All authors were supported in part by NSF Grant DMS-0509278.     

有重复观测时变系数线性结构关系EV模型的参数估计

利用重复观测数据和加权方法给出了有重复观测时变系数一维线性结构关系EV模型中的参数估计,证明了估计的弱相合性和强相合性．     

Unscented filtering algorithm using two-step randomly delayed observations in nonlinear systems

An unscented filtering algorithm is derived for a class of nonlinear discrete-time stochastic systems using noisy observations which can be randomly delayed by one or two sample times. The update and the possible delays (of one and two sampling times) of any observation are modelled by using three Bernoulli random variables such that only one of them takes the value one. The algorithm performs in two-steps, prediction and update, and it uses a scaled unscented transformation to approximate the conditional mean and covariance of the state and observation at each time. The performance of the proposed filter is shown in a simulation example which uses a growth model with randomly delayed observations; in this example, the proposed filter is compared with the extended one obtained by linearizing the state and the observation equations and, also, with the unscented Kalman filter. A clear superiority of the proposed filter over the others is inferred.     

具有修理延迟的两不同部件冷贮备系统的可靠性分析

研究了有修理延迟的两个不同部件和两个修理工组成的冷贮备系统.假定部件的工作寿命服从一般分布,故障后的延迟修理时间和修理时间均服从指数分布.利用马尔可夫更新过程、拉普拉斯变换和拉普拉斯-司梯阶变换工具,得到了系统的首次故障前时间、可用度和平均故障次数等可靠性指标.     

Cost-benefit analysis of one-server n-unit adaptive system with slow switch

This paper considers a shared parallel system consisting of n-units supported by single service facility to carry out both installation and repair of a unit. Initially, all the n units share the total load equally and when one or more units fail, they go for repair while the other surviving units share the entire load equally till the failed units are ready for operation after installation. The installation time (switchover time) of a repaired unit is assumed to be non-negligible and random. The system will be down when all the units are non-operative , Assuming that the failure rates are different when the units function under varying loads, the system characteristics, namely, (1) the expected up-time of the system during (0, t], (2) the expected repair time of the units which failed due to varying failure rates during (0, t] and (3) the expected time spent by the units in the installation state during the period (0, t], are obtained by identifying the system at suitable regeneration epochs. The repair time and the switchover time of the units are arbitrarily distributed. The failure rate of unit is assumed to be constant. It depends on the number of surviving units at any instant. The cost-benefit analysis is also carried out using these system characteristics     

Global dissipativity of mixed time-varying delayed neural networks with discontinuous activations

In this paper, the problems of global dissipativity are investigated for neural networks with mixed time-varying delays and discontinuous activations. Some new criteria for checking the global dissipativity of the addressed neural networks are established by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functionals and employing the theory of Filippov systems and M-matrix properties. Finally, two numerical examples with simulations are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the theoretical results.     

基于两种不同延迟过程的退化系统之最优更换策略

将延迟几何过程进行推广并引入延迟α-幂过程,以用于处理退化过程会发生延迟且延迟发生的概率会随故障次数的增多而减小的系统.以系统的故障次数为更换策略,以平均费用率为目标函数,建立了维修更换模型,证明了最优维修更换策略的存在性.最后,通过一个数值例子验证了方法的有效性.     

具有常数利率的延迟更新风险模型

考虑常数利率情形下的延迟更新风险过程．得到了该延迟更新风险模型下的Gerber-Shiu期望折现罚金函数的表达式,并得到了常数利率下的一种特殊的延迟更新风险模型的破产概率的显示表达式.